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Believe it or not, the Golden Globes will wield even more influence than usual this year. While the Oscar nominee vote is scheduled to take place March 5-10, the February 28 Globes ceremony falls just five days before Academy members receive their ballots.
The Globes will gain more weight because normal industry groups – such as the Producers Guild, Directors Guild, American Society of Cinematographers, and BAFTA – will announce their nominations in the middle of the Oscar voting window. And American film editors, always a strong indicator of the best nominees and photo winners, will announce their names after the voting period closes on March 11.
Whatever films and performances Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. the selections will impact Academy voters, as they will not have any ballots in their possession, and the Globes will be the last industry televised event to take place before they are received. A victory at this ceremony for an underdog movie could cause Oscar voters to check out this sieve before making their choices.
Here are my latest predictions for the winners of the 78th Golden Globes. You can see the full rankings on the individual Golden Globes prediction pages.
Film (Drama) – “Nomadland” (Searchlight Pictures)
“Nomadland” could go down in history as the first female-directed film to win the award for best dramatic film.
Film (comedy or musical) – “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” (Amazon Studios)
It would be the first comedy sequel to win the category since animated “Toy Story 2” and the first film from a streaming platform to win the same award.
Film (animated) – “Soul” (Pixar)
Disney Plus will celebrate its first Globe victory.
Film (foreign language) – “Another Round” (Denmark)
It would mark Denmark’s fourth victory, after “Ordet” (1955), “Pelle the Conqueror” (1987) and “In a Better World” (2010).
Actor (Drama) – Chadwick Boseman, “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” (Netflix)
The late actor is said to be the second posthumous winner for lead actor in a drama after Peter Finch for “Network” (1976).
Actor (comedy or musical) – Sacha Baron Cohen, “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” (Amazon Studios)
Cohen would be the first actor to win for a sequel, playing the same character.
Actress (Drama) – Carey Mulligan, “Promising Young Woman” (Focus Features)
Mulligan would be the first actress of British origin to win this award since Kate Winslet for “Revolutionary Road” (2008).
Actress (comedy or musical) – Maria Bakalova, “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” (Amazon Studios)
She would be the third person to win the award for a first performance after Barbra Streisand in “Funny Girl” (1968) and Julie Andrews in “Mary Poppins” (1964).
Supporting Actor (Film) – Sacha Baron Cohen, “The Trial of the Chicago Seven” (Netflix)
If Cohen managed to win the category – and for “Borat 2” – he would be the first male actor to win two acting awards on the same night. Four women achieved the feat: Sigourney Weaver in 1983, Joan Plowright in 1993, Helen Mirren in 2007 and Kate Winslet in 2008.
Supporting Actress (Film) – Olivia Colman, “The Father” (Sony Pictures Classics)
If she wins here and for her performance in “The Crown,” she will have five for five at the Golden Globes.
Director – Chloé Zhao, “Nomadland” (Searchlight Pictures)
Zhao would be the second female director after Barbra Streisand for 1983’s “Yentl” (Streisand did not receive an Oscar nomination).
Screenplay – Aaron Sorkin, “The Chicago Trial 7” (Netflix)
Sorkin is already the most nominated screenwriter in the history of this category; if he wins, he will join Robert Bolt and Quentin Tarantino as the most awarded, with three wins.
Original Music – Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross, “Mank” (Netflix)
Former winners of “The Social Network” (2010), if they win for “Mank”, they will be the first composers honored for a black and white film since “The Artist” in 2011.
Original song – “Tigress & Tweed”, “The United States vs. Billie Holiday” (Hulu)
Andra Day would be the first winner in this category for a streamer, and would mark the third time that a team of black Globe-winning songwriters failed to win an Oscar nomination because they were not on the shortlist.
2021 Golden Globes Predictions (Film)
2021 Golden Globes Final Predictions (TV)
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