Issues and Prospects for US 5G Deployment



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In recent weeks, several major developments affecting the deployment of 5G systems in the United States have highlighted the promise and challenges of short-term deployment of this transformation technology. British intelligence services published a report noting its deep suspicions about the security of Huawei's 5G system, which reinforces the US view that Chinese society should not play a role in providing equipment for commercial wireless systems. The White House then issued a strong statement that any 5G commercial system would be based on the principle of private sector wireless operators now operating in the United States. Finally, Apple has settled its disputes with Qualcomm, one of the leading innovators in the field of 5G technology., which was necessary for Apple to be able to offer competitive 5G-enabled mobile devices by 2020. & nbsp; Apple's dependence on other semiconductor companies, including Intel and its own research units, had not kept pace with Qualcomm and threatened to put the iPhone behemoth at risk of a deficit important technology with its competitors.

Although these developments show the way forward for the future of 5G in the United States – a private sector system primarily using traditional national and European technologies – they do not eliminate some serious problems related to the rapid construction of new wireless networks, nor suggest an economically convincing solution. alternative in the rest of the world to Huawei, its competitor increasingly sophisticated and supported by the state.

5G wireless abstract wifi technology

Getty

A major problem in the coming years will be the costs of installing the 5G infrastructure and necessary software upgrades in the United States. Effective deployment will require hundreds of thousands of new or upgraded cell sites, connection nodes, and central switches, new software, and a complete redesign. mobile devices. Cost estimates run in the hundreds of billions of dollars for the complete transition. Since the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) has decided to auction the necessary electromagnetic spectrum, competing companies will increase the price of this spectrum. Large wireless service providers, such as AT & T and Verizon, are already heavily indebted. AT & T will also have to absorb the costs complex management of the purchase and integration of Time Warner also. & nbsp; If Sprint and T-Mobile succeed in merging, this transaction will add already high levels of debt in these companies. The high costs and the level of indebtedness will slow deployment to a minimum, which will allow Huawei subsidized systems in China and the countries of Europe and Asia that adopt its products to play a role. engine in the practical applications of the new technology. The first company on the market often ensures lasting dominance.

Given the high cost of implementing an entirely new infrastructure, the installation of 5G in the United States is expected to upgrade existing 4G systems by enclosing key wireless operators in existing hardware providers ( mainly Nokia and Ericsson). These suppliers are not as advanced as Huawei, which is able to offer completely new and integrated systems at reasonable prices (often subsidized). This dynamic will also slow down the deployment of the most advanced new technologies and 5G features in the United States.

In this emerging scenario, it is also important to remember that Qualcomm is the leading American innovator in wireless communications. imminent judgment in US Federal Trade Commission case accusing it of anti-competitive IP licensing. If the San Diego company loses this business, its business model will be severely compromised and could deprive the company of the benefits needed to regain its leading position in research. Qualcomm invests more than 20% of its revenues in research and development. The United States has only a limited capability to provide the hardware backbone for the installed wireless base, which will be the 5G system structure in the emerging deployment plan. The Apple-Qualcomm April ruling confirms the importance of the company's 5G core technology. As Huawei advances with the new 5G infrastructure in China and around the world, China's superior size and incentives to non-market economies enable it to outperform and outpace Nokia, Ericsson, Samsung and others. perfecting new technologies. Huawei is able to allocate significant new funds for research work, reducing Qualcomm's lead and aligning it with infrastructure companies.

There is, however, a more recent approach to the 5G deployment story that could offer an alternative to the current US plan and allow US suppliers to better compete with Huawei: virtual networks. & nbsp; The new scenario, now built by Rakuten in Japan and smaller operators in Mexico City and even Alaska, and by the US military, involve replacing most of the hardware-based point-to-point connectivity, with a direct connection of wireless signals to the Internet. In this type of configuration, the hardware (remember the problem of the installed base) is replaced by the software and powered by mainframes instead of expensive switching equipment. This system could prevent each wireless network operator from having to maintain a proprietary system. A key element would be advanced computers and cloud systems for which the United States has leading vendors such as Microsoft, Oracle, Amazon, Cisco, HP, Juniper Networks and Micron. The United States is also the leading software provider, with companies such as Microsoft, Red Hat, Nvidia, Oracle and others. & Nbsp; Qualcomm, Intel and AMD are among the leading providers of communications software for semiconductors and related software that would be important to this approach. Japanese and wireless companies and semiconductors Samsung and would also be competing providers. In contrast to the evolution of the installed base as a model for 5G deployment, this configuration offers wireless carriers many choices of providers and promotes faster adoption of new technologies. It is also less capital intensive. Altogether, such a system could be an effective and economical alternative to Huawei and help mitigate its emerging dominance in the global race to dominate 5G.

Virtual networks deserve to be explored before the United States finds itself caught in the slow deployment of a solution that is more based on the current installed base. & Nbsp; The purchase is expected to come from leading wireless service providers and new ideas from the FCC, Congress and the White House. & Nbsp; Given the implications for national security of not having an effective alternative to compete with Huawei and purely commercial implications for 5G but also for related new technologies such as artificial intelligence and the Internet of Things, which are powered and activated by the 5G, this idea deserves to be examined. good appearance.

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In recent weeks, several major developments affecting the deployment of 5G systems in the United States have highlighted the promise and challenges of short-term deployment of this transformation technology. British intelligence has released a report stating its deep suspicions about the security of Huawei's 5G system, reinforcing the US view that Chinese society should not play a role in providing equipment for commercial wireless systems. The White House subsequently issued a strong statement that any 5G trading system would be the focus of the principle, with private sector wireless operators now operating in the United States. Finally, Apple has settled its disputes with leading 5G technology innovator, Qualcomm, needed if Apple will succeed in providing competitive 5G compatible mobile devices by 2020. Apple 's dependence on Other semiconductor companies, including Intel and its own research units, had not kept pace with Qualcomm and were threatening to put the heavyweight in jeopardy of significant technological shortfall with rivals.

Although these developments show the way forward for the future of 5G in the United States – a private sector system primarily using traditional national and European technologies – they do not eliminate some serious problems related to the rapid construction of new wireless networks, nor suggest an economically convincing solution. alternative in the rest of the world to Huawei, its competitor increasingly sophisticated and supported by the state.

5G wireless abstract wifi technology

Getty

A major problem in the coming years will be the costs of installing the 5G infrastructure and necessary software upgrades in the United States. Effective deployment will require hundreds of thousands of new or upgraded cell sites, connection nodes, and central switches, new software, and a complete redesign. mobile devices. Estimated costs reach hundreds of billions of dollars for a complete transition. Since the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) has decided to auction the necessary electromagnetic spectrum, competing companies will increase the price of this spectrum. Major wireless service providers, such as AT & T and Verizon, are already heavily indebted. AT & T will also have to absorb the costs and complexity of managing the purchase and integration of Time Warner. If Sprint and T-Mobile succeed in merging, this transaction will add already high levels of debt in these companies. The high costs and the level of indebtedness will slow deployment to a minimum, which will allow Huawei subsidized systems in China and the countries of Europe and Asia that adopt its products to play a role. engine in the practical applications of the new technology. The first company on the market often ensures lasting dominance.

Given the high cost of implementing an entirely new infrastructure, the installation of 5G in the United States is expected to upgrade existing 4G systems by enclosing key wireless operators in existing hardware providers ( mainly Nokia and Ericsson). These suppliers are not as advanced as Huawei, which is able to offer completely new and integrated systems at reasonable prices (often subsidized). This dynamic will also slow down the deployment of the most advanced new technologies and 5G features in the United States.

In this emerging scenario, it is also important to remember that Qualcomm is America's leading innovator in wireless communications. He faces an imminent judgment in a lawsuit filed against him by the US Federal Trade Commission accusing him of anti-competitive practices in intellectual property licensing. If the San Diego company loses this business, its business model will be severely compromised and could deprive the company of the benefits needed to regain its leading position in research. Qualcomm invests more than 20% of its revenues in research and development. The United States has only a limited capability to provide the hardware backbone for the installed wireless base, which will be the 5G system structure in the emerging deployment plan. The Apple-Qualcomm April ruling confirms the importance of the company's 5G core technology. As Huawei advances with the new 5G infrastructure in China and around the world, China's superior size and incentives to non-market economies enable it to outperform and outpace Nokia, Ericsson, Samsung and others. perfecting new technologies. Huawei is able to allocate significant new funds for research work, reducing Qualcomm's lead and aligning it with infrastructure companies.

There is, however, a more recent approach to the 5G deployment story that could offer an alternative to the current US plan and allow US vendors to better compete with Huawei: virtual networks. The new scenario, currently being built by Rakuten in Japan and smaller operators in Mexico City and even in Alaska and by the US Army, is to replace most hardware-based point-to-point connections, through a direct connection of wireless signals to the Internet. In this type of configuration, the hardware (remember the problem of the installed base) is replaced by software and powered by mainframes instead of expensive switching equipment. This system could prevent each wireless network operator from having to maintain a proprietary system. A key element would be advanced computers and cloud systems for which the United States has leading vendors such as Microsoft, Oracle, Amazon, Cisco, HP, Juniper Networks and Micron. The United States is also the leading software provider, with companies such as Microsoft, Red Hat, Nvidia, Oracle, and so on. Qualcomm, Intel and AMD are among the leading providers of communications software for semiconductors and related software that would be important to this approach. Japanese and wireless companies and semiconductors Samsung and would also be competing providers. In contrast to the evolution of the installed base as a model for 5G deployment, this configuration offers wireless carriers many choices of providers and promotes faster adoption of new technologies. It is also less capital intensive. Altogether, such a system could be an effective and economical alternative to Huawei and help mitigate its emerging dominance in the global race to dominate 5G.

Virtual networks are worth exploring before the United States finds itself caught in the slow deployment of a solution that is more based on the current installed base. The purchase should come from leading wireless service providers and new ideas from the FCC, Congress and the White House. Given the implications for national security of not having an effective alternative to compete with Huawei and purely commercial implications for 5G but also for related new technologies such as artificial intelligence and the Internet of Things, which are powered and activated by the 5G, this idea deserves to be examined. good appearance.

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