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By Mark Murray
WASHINGTON – Sixty percent of Americans say that President Donald Trump has been dishonest in the investigation conducted in Russia, while only one third believes that Special Advocate Robert Mueller's report clears the president of his wrongdoing.
Nevertheless, the public remains divided on the impeachment of Trump, nearly half of those polled opposed to holding impeachment hearings, the other half supporting either an immediate impeachment proceeding or future congressional inquiries to investigate the matter further.
These are the findings of the latest national NBC News / Wall Street Journal poll, which was conducted after the publication of Mueller's 448-page report, released on April 18.
It is not surprising that the survey reveals a significant gap between parties on these issues, with Democrats unanimously agreeing that the president was dishonest and guilty of wrongdoing and that Republicans were defending him by an overwhelming majority.
And the results of the survey are remarkably consistent with previous results on these same issues over the past year.
The investigation into Russia's interference in the 2016 campaign and the links to the Trump campaign "very little shakes the Americans from their partisan standpoints," said Republican pollster Micah Roberts, who conducted this survey with the Democratic pollster Peter Hart and his company Hart Research Associates.
And this partisan division – for the moment – has created a political stalemate with regard to Trump and the investigation of Russia.
"The American public has formed a suspended jury," Hart said. "Neither innocent nor guilty, and they have not reached a consensus."
According to the survey, 60% of respondents disagree with the statement that Trump was honest and honest about Russia's interference in the 2016 campaign, while only 37% Okay.
These figures are essentially unchanged since the last time the NBC / WSJ survey asked this question in February and December 2018.
By party, 92% of Democrats and 63% of independents believe that Trump did not tell the truth, against only 23% of Republicans.
Forty-two percent of Americans say that what they read, heard or seen about Mueller's report does not negate the president of wrongdoing, compared to 29 percent who say so.
29% say they are not sure.
Once again, these figures are almost identical to the findings on the same March issue – after Attorney General William Barr published his initial four-page summary of Mueller's findings.
By party, 68% of Democrats and 44% of independents say that the Mueller report does not exonerate the president, against only 11% of Republicans who agree.
"Move on" versus "dig"
And on the issue of the impeachment, the public remains divided: 48% of Americans – including 8 out of 10 Republicans – believe that Congress should not hold impeachment hearings and that Trump should finish his term as president.
This is a comparison with 49% of respondents who feel that Congress should start imputation hearings now (17%) or continue with investigations if there is enough evidence to retain them in the future (32%) .
Of the Democratic respondents, 30% now want imputation hearings, while 50% prefer to wait for more evidence.
"We see a country divided with Republicans calling for action, democrats who say digging and independents who stand by while waiting," said Jeff Horwitt, a pollster from Hart Research Associates.
Trump Employment Index: 46%
The NBC / WSJ survey also reveals that 46% of Americans approve of Trump's job, up 3 points since March, although the change is within the poll's margin of error.
Ninety percent of those surveyed in the GOP party congratulated the president, against only 11% of Democrats and 38% of Independents.
Trump gets higher marks on the economy, with 51% of all respondents approving his treatment of the issue.
(The survey was conducted prior to Friday's news, concerning 263,000 jobs created in April and an unemployment rate falling to 3.6%.)
Nevertheless, the president's main economic policy – the tax cuts that he promulgated at the end of 2017 – remains underwater – 27% said it was a good idea, compared to 36 % who thought it was a bad idea (-9).
In contrast, the attitude to Barack Obama's health law is above water, 41% think it's a good idea, while 37% say it's a good idea. bad idea (+4).
Measure the race of 2020
According to the NBC / WSJ poll for the 2020 presidential election, 41 percent of all registered voters said they were either enthusiastic or comfortable with Trump and his re-election, while 59 percent some voters say they have some. reservations (10%) or very uncomfortable (49%).
For former Vice President Joe Biden, who announced his candidacy for the presidency in late April, 47% are enthusiastic / comfortable, compared with 49% who have reservations (25%) or who are very uncomfortable (24%).
The last two NBC / WSJ polls – this one and the March poll – used the same measure to look at the Democratic 2020 field.
Among the Democratic primary voters only:
Biden: 70 enthusiastic / comfortable, 27% reservations / uncomfortable.
Senator Bernie Sanders, I-Vt.62% enthusiastic / comfortable, 36% reservations / uncomfortable (March poll).
Senator Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass.: 58% enthusiastic / comfortable, 33% reservations / uncomfortable (March).
Senator Kamala Harris, D-Calif .: 52% enthusiastic / comfortable, 27% reservations / uncomfortable (March).
Former Texas Representative Beto O'Rourke: 49% enthusiastic / comfortable, 29% reservations / uncomfortable (March).
South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg: 44% enthusiastic / comfortable, 13% reservations / uncomfortable.
Senator Cory Booker, D-N.J .: 38% enthusiastic / comfortable, 28% reservations / uncomfortable.
Senator Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn .: 27% enthusiastic / comfortable, 23% reservations / uncomfortable.
Old HUD Sec. Julian Castro: 22% enthusiastic / comfortable, 29% reservations / uncomfortable.
Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y.: 28% enthusiastic / comfortable, 30% reservations / uncomfortable.
The next NBC / WSJ polls will test the remaining candidates for Democracy 2020.
Main issues: health care, immigration
Finally, they were asked what was the main concern of the federal government: 24% responded with health care, while 18% responded with immigration and border security.
Next come job creation and economic growth (14%), followed by national security, climate change and deficit (11% each).
The NBC / WSJ poll was conducted from April 28 to May 1 on 900 adults – nearly half of them reached by cell phone – and has an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.
The margin of error for the 765 registered voters is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points and over 6.0 percent for the 268 primary Democratic voters.
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