MLB 2019 Project: The final series of mock projects, all say the Orioles will take Adley Rutschman

The draft draft of MLB 2019 is in hours. No one outside the warehouse knows for sure who the Orioles are taking, and maybe they do not even know inside the warehouse. However, all those whose job it is to guess who the Orioles will be will remain loyal to the player they declared in their fake drafts: Oregon State receiver Adley Rutschman.

This is the unanimous opinion of ESPN's Keith Law, the pair of Fangraphs prospectors consisting of Kiley McDaniel and Eric Longenhagen, Baseball America's JJ Cooperand Jim Callis and Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com. They all say the same thing: Rutschman, Rutschman, Rutschman, Rutschman. It's better to start learning how to spell to be sure you do not end up as if the Orioles fans were still talking about Matt "Weiters" years after he left.

Even though they always talked about Rutschman, there was coverage, and it continues even until the day of writing. By law, it is "still possible" for O & # 39; s to face the first baseman of the University of California, Andrew Vaughn, and attempt to turn him into a third base player, or that # 39, they can take Texas high school striker, Bobby Witt Jr.

In his mock editorial, Mayo writes that "the chatter was loud" that the O's could go in a different direction, supposed to be Vaughn or Vanderbilt's champion, J.J. Bleday. When these journalists write about "gossip" of this nature, they talk about what other teams, or even player advisers, are speculating on the Orioles based on what they think they know to be true.

Fangraphs goes a little further on what went into their prediction:

The crew retains control over the situation and does not call on someone's advisor to seriously tackle serious matters before the end of the afternoon. Even the counselors of these potential backup options do not know yet whether they achieve a 1-1, nor how to handicap him. We have not contacted the Rutschman representatives for weeks, which should also help maximize leverage.

In Ben Reiter's Astroballe, there is an entire chapter on the selection of the team by Carlos Correa with the # 1 pick in the 2012 draft. Only Astros General Managers Jeff Luhnow, Mike Elias or Sig Mejdal did not know who the Astros were going to pick until about 30 minutes before the repechage. Their own scouts did not know. The other teams did not know. Even the team's public relations department, which had pre-written biographies of several choices, was not prepared for Correa.

So, when they write about "this crew keeps a tight lid", it means that Elias probably kept the secret that the Astros had on Luhnow. It is unlikely that Elias and Mejdal are exchanging texts with Law, Callis or McDaniel, or any of these people, and if the writers have spoken to O scouts, these scouts probably do not know what will happen .

Reporters can call any of the Royals, White Sox or Marlins, who choose 2nd and 4th place, to see which players these teams think they can choose. They could call the advisers of Rutschman, Witt, Vaughn, Bleday, and ask them if they had news of the Orioles and when and what was said.

Maybe these calls would provide reliable information and maybe not. A team source or agent may not know the truth, but speculate anyway. They can know the truth and choose not to reveal it or choose to say something they know to be wrong. This is what these authors must understand.

For their part, the authors of Fangraphs indicated that he had a 80% chance that the Orioles write Rutschman. Law, during a chat on his personal blog last week, felt it was more likely that the O's are taking Rutschman on 50/50. A coin is not very certain. 80% is a little safer, if not certain, that you should already plan to purchase a custom Roleschman Orioles jersey. I mean, you do not know which number he will wear anyway, right?