Polls announce warning for 2020 for Trump

According to early polls, President Trump will have a hard time getting re-elected to a second term.

Trump's upset victories in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin propelled him to the White House in 2016. He was the first Republican presidential candidate to win one of those states since 1988.

Today, most polls show that Trump is behind the former vice president Joe BidenJoe BidenOvernight Energy: Biden Unveils $ 1-billion Climate Plan | The plan included passages from green groups | Warren proposes a $ 1 trillion green manufacturing plan | Ocasio-Cortez congratulates Inslee for its night climate Energy: Biden unveils its $ 1 trillion climate plan | The plan included passages from green groups | Warren proposes a $ 1 trillion green manufacturing plan | Ocasio-Cortez praises Inslee on climate Ocasio-Cortez qualifies Jay Inslee's climate plan as "absolute norm" CONTINUED – the current leader in the Democratic race – in all these states of swing.

This is a problem, because if the 2016 card remains the same, a Democratic candidate who wins these three states will win the Electoral College.

"Wisconsin seems to be a real problem, the 2018 mid-term changes have been a disaster for Republicans, and Biden seems to have a unique appeal in Pennsylvania," said Alex Conant, partner of GOP Firehouse Strategies.

"Trump seems to run the strongest in Michigan, and he really only has to keep one of these to be reelected. But it will be very competitive and Trump will have to spend a lot of time in these three states and hope to have the kind of participation we had in 2016, "he said.

Worse for Trump, the polls also show it behind Biden and Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersHouse Jury Sets Medicare Insurance for All Next Week House Jury Sets Medicare Hearing for All Next Week Sanders Approves Lipinski PLUS's Leading Progressive Challenger (I-Vt.) In a number of other states swing.

A North Carolina poll released this week showed Biden 12 points more than Trump and Sanders leading him 8 points. Former President Obama is the only Democratic presidential candidate to win the Tarheel State, with an earlier victory in 1976.

Meanwhile, a trio of states that Trump easily won in 2016 – Texas, Arizona and Iowa – seems to be up for grabs, with some investigations revealing that Biden was leading in the three States. According to a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday, Biden led Trump between 48% and 44% in Texas, followed closely by other Democrats.

He is very early in the race and the Trump campaign thinks that a stronger economy will help him win another four years. They also note that the president has been counted several times in the 2016 race, with experts saying that polls would reduce the chances of the Republican.

There is also no guarantee that Biden will emerge from a Democratic primary primary as a party candidate.

This has been proved by the aftermath of this week after stating that he still supported a ban banning the use of federal funds for some abortion services and after his campaign lifted some lines to D & D. Other groups at the unveiling of its plan to fight climate change.

The experts also believe that Trump could record gains once the Democratic challenger has begun to hit under the weight of the election campaign.

But the first polls have warning signs for Trump and the Republicans, especially in the Rust Belt, if Biden or Sanders run as a Democratic candidate.

A survey released last month by Priorities USA, the largest super-PAC Democrat, revealed a generic Democrat candidate leading Trump in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Florida with a 9-point lead.

Priorities USA said that if the elections were held today, the three Rust Belt states would be returned to the Democratic column, giving the party's candidate a 279-259 victory at the Electoral College.

In Michigan, which Trump won with just over 10,000 votes in 2016, polls seem to be running against the president.

In a survey conducted in March, Firehouse-Optimus had Trump shoulder to shoulder with Biden and Sanders, both leading by a narrow margin of 46-45.

Investigations published since revealed that Trump was in the state of Wolverine, an opinion poll of the group Glengariff published Tuesday by The Detroit News having revealed to Biden and Sanders a 50% course and a lead of 12 points on Trump.

This poll also revealed that South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPeter (Pete) Paul ButtigiegTillis is 7 points ahead of his Democratic challenger in North Carolina. Tillis is 7 points ahead of his Democratic challenger in North Carolina. Gillibrand defends the call for Franken's resignation: "I would come back to these women" CONTINUED and Sens. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenOvernight Energy: Biden Unveils $ 1 Billion Climate Plan | The plan included passages from green groups | Warren proposes a $ 1 trillion green manufacturing plan | Ocasio-Cortez congratulates Inslee for its night climate Energy: Biden unveils its $ 1 trillion climate plan | The plan included passages from green groups | Warren proposes a $ 1 trillion green manufacturing plan | Ocasio-Cortez praises Inslee on climate Ocasio-Cortez qualifies Jay Inslee's climate plan as "absolute norm" CONTINUED (Mass.) And Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisDemocrats Celebrate History: LGBTQ Democrats pride month legislators highlight history: Lawmakers of LGBTQ pride month Poll: Biden leads Trump double-digit on the battlefield North Carolina MORE (Calif.) With a modest lead in face-to-face clashes with the president.

An Emerson College poll found that Biden was 8 points ahead of Michigan and 52% of respondents said they did not vote for Trump, compared to 37% of them.

Meanwhile, Democrats have won major victories in Wisconsin in 2018, under the leadership of Governor Tony Evers, who overthrew former Gov. Scott Walker (R).

Nearly all the first polls of the Badger State revealed that leading Democratic candidates had a lead over Trump, who won Wisconsin by less than 25,000 votes over Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonExclusive: Top Trump super PACs join forces to mobilize voters Exclusive: Trump's super PACs mobilize to mobilize voters Report: Christopher Steele agrees to be questioned by US officials about his relationship with the FBI in 2016.

An investigation by Emerson College revealed that Biden was leading Trump 54-46. According to a Firehouse-Optimus survey, Biden has 13 points and Sanders 7 points. Zogby Analytics at Biden increased by 10 points. The Republican WPA Intelligence polling station is the only company to find Trump with a lead over Biden, showing him a 46-42 advantage.

Trump may be questioning the weakest in Pennsylvania.

An Emerson College poll reveals Biden and Sanders both have a 10-point lead over Trump in Keystone.

According to the latest poll by Quinnipiac University Poll, Biden had an 11-point lead in Pennsylvania, boosted by a 14-point advantage among independents, 24 points for women and 43 points for non-white voters.

The economy seems to be giving a boost to Trump in Pennsylvania. Fifty-four percent of the state's voters said they had a better financial situation than in 2016 and 71% rated the economy as excellent or good.

According to GOP pollster David Winston, Trump's rates have injected volatility into the markets and negatively impacted the rather optimistic view of the economy on the part of voters.

"There is a feeling of uncertainty," Winston said. "Trump needs to restore the clear sense that the economy is going in the right direction and until it does, these investigations will be tricky to him and I guess that's what we see in these reverse-state polls. "

Several other problems have materialized for Trump all over the map, highlighted by his surprisingly low polls in Texas and North Carolina.

The president had raised Iowa by nearly 10 points in 2016, but a poll by Emerson in March estimated Biden had a 6-point lead.

And Trump won Arizona by 3 1/2 percentage points in 2016, but a poll of OH Predictive Insights revealed that Biden was leading by 5 points.

Republicans do not sound the alarm yet, convinced that their constituents will come home for Trump when it matters the most. The Trump campaign is also looking for other ways to win, especially in Nevada, where polls are tight, as well as in Minnesota, New Hampshire and New Mexico, which have the potential to be Republican.

"We are hundreds of news cycles and a whole Democratic primary process away from a head-to-head poll," said Robert Blizzard, a GOP investigator. "Public polls showed that Trump had lost those states in the fall of 2016 and that he had won them. The horse race is fun and interesting, but has no meaning until the end.