[ad_1]
We can not just look at end-of-the-game production because this late-game production is not everything.
Scratch it. How a player produces – his last line of statistics – is everything in fantastic football. That's how your fantasy team accumulates points. But this is not all from the point of view of sustainability. And if you think about it, what we are really trying to discover throughout a fantastic football season is what is sustainable and what is not. We try to answer the question: "Will this player's production continue, or is it some kind of outlier?"
That's why we look at the numbers of devices such as the number of snapshots, the share of the target, the average depth of the target – the list goes on and on. We try to piece together this sustainability puzzle which, if we are honest, is really very difficult to solve.
But that does not mean we should not try. This does not mean that these 15 transactions are worthless.
Even if you can only answer a part of the puzzle, you will be one step ahead of your league companions.
Sell Derrick Henry
In the first week, the Titans beat the Browns convincingly. The following week, Tennessee played a tight game against Indianapolis. Last Thursday, the Titans were fired for the majority of their fight against the Jaguars. and lost.
Why talk about it? Because even though Derrick HenryThe end-of-game production of appearance was good in each of these contests, the numbers of peripherals were sufficiently shifted to bring a little concern.
Henry's week 1 catch was 59%, which fell to 50% in week 2. The Titans were the furthest behind in this second competition, which pushed them to use the captured passport Dion Lewis a bit more. Then, in week 3, Henry played fewer shots than his teammate, with a snapshot of 47.5%.
And it's always worrying players like Henry. This is a solid beginner rider who has a grounded touchdown, but the lack of receiving ability means that it can be scripted outside of the matches. Or at least, that's what his coaches have felt throughout his three-year career.
So, Henry is a little scary to be enrolled in fantasy football because there is a very good chance that he does not lead his own field back into snaps in a given match. It's not as if Tennessee had the opportunity to win every week. This will force the negative game scripts, which will not benefit Henry.
Let's go back to that touch, though. He scored 12 times last year, so it clearly exists. Right?
Not exactly.
In 2018, Henry rushed for 1,059 yards. We know that the yards have a strong correlation with the affected. The more yards a player has, the more chances he has to score.
From 2014 to 2018 – a five-year period – the halfbacks scored a run-in touch at 144.9 rushing yards. Last year, Henry scored 88.3 yards rushing.
He got better opportunities than most of the backs, but even according to ESPN analyst Mike Clay, Henry surpassed his touchdown score by nearly three last year, the latest one. one of the best scores in the league.
Now, in 2019, Henry got a hurried score for 70 rushing yards. He also touched a touchdown, which he has not managed to accomplish in 2018.
These are two big red flags for Henry: he can be discarded when the Titans are lagging behind, and even if he has odds above average compared to other players, it's still unlikely that he's out. he maintains his current pace of scoring, especially in offensive cases. not moved the ball well in two of the three games played.
This makes him an unequivocal sales candidate before the fourth week.
Add Wayne Gallman
The biggest injury of week 3 was inflicted on Saquon Barkley, who now has an ankle injury. Wayne Gallman, third year half replaced Barkley at the giants& # 39; win, run the ball five times while seeing a target. The use was not great, but Gallman was the only other New York player to come back and see what he had touched while playing over 63% of the team's shots. It's a top priority to waive this week, since Barkley will be away for several weeks.
Buy Davante Adams
Things have not been ideal for those of you who have written Davante Adams. In three games, he has less fantastic points than DeSean Jackson, which has only played one game so far. It's not great, Bob!
There is at least one reason for that. Week 1 saw the Packers ride against the bears in Chicago, one of the most difficult fights you will find. After the bears, they saw the Vikings, another tough match for Adams. And then last week, Green Bay faced Denver. That meant a lot of Chris Harris.
The good news is that Adams still saw 23.6% of the Green Bay targets and that he totaled nearly 31% of the yards in receiving the team. This is not like it was unused and inefficient. And the tough clashes are mostly out of the way: Adams has at least completed his rounds in high – end turns week after week. Things could really revolve around this Thursday against Philly, a team that has allowed three top-10 performances and four top-15 finishes in the first three games of the season.
If he is unable to play in this match, it is at that time that we should sound the alarm.
Sell Aaron Jones
As auditor Aaron Jones, it hurts to write. It's a sales candidate, and it's unfortunately pretty obvious.
In three games, Jones has seen 64 percent of Green Bay's losses and about 9 percent of the team's targets. There is nothing wrong with that, but these numbers are also supported by a Week 2 performance that allowed him to capture 72% of their back-ball attempts and nearly 18% of their looks in the air. In weeks 1 and 3, you are looking for a target share south of 4%.
What is probably more disturbing about Jones, is his success rate of the third week. Weeks 1 and 2 saw in the range of 58% instant stock, but this one dropped during week 3, where its share was only 39%. This comes after a message from head coach Matt LaFleur last week, where he said, according to the Ryan Wood, Green Bay Newspaper, that he wanted "even" the contacts between Jones and his teammate Jamaal Williams. That's precisely what happened, with a Williams win 35 to 22 against the Broncos.
Am I a believer that Jones is superior talent compared to Williams? Yes. Do I think that he should see more work? Of course. But you have the opportunity to sell Jones after a two touchdown game, so it may not be a bad idea to do it.
Buy Marquise Brown
If you did not take a chance with a dart thrown at the end of the game against Marquise Brown, your buying window is announcing now after a disappointing performance compared to Kansas City.
Because the non-production figures are there. My God are they there. After three games, Brown has seen 26% of Baltimore's targets, he has 31% of the yardage in team receiving, he is third in the NFL in the air rushing yards and he is tied with Mike Evans. and Keenan Allen for most targets that have traveled 15 meters or more in the air. Huge performances are coming for Hollywood Brown. After a two-take and 49-yard match in the third week, there is someone to buy.
Drop Corey Davis
The Titans have now played three games, like all other NFL teams. In one way or another, there are five players on the Titans with more yards receiving than Corey Davis.
This is not just a matter of talent. It's a lot of different things. The Tennessee crossing attack has not been ultra-efficient for the most part this season, and there are many viable attackers in the attack. That only led to a 13.8% target share for Davis, which corresponds to an offense that is expected to have one of the lowest football passing pass ratios in football. this year.
You can safely drop Davis. It may have good weeks, but it will not be easy to predict these performances.
Buy Devonta Freeman
Freeman may not be the same dynamic as we saw in 2015, but talent is not everything that matters to runners, let alone fantastic football.
Freeman was disappointed in the first two weeks of the season with only 41 yards. He was facing two of the league's toughest defenses in Minnesota and Philadelphia, so the difficulties were somewhat understandable.
In Week 3, Freeman ran for 88 yards in 16 races. He looked much better in a stronger match. His teammate Ito Smith suffered a concussion in the match, which allowed Freeman to account for more than 90% of the catch. If Smith is running out of time, it's a benefit for Freeman.
Whatever the case may be, the type of Freeman has been neglected this season because of the idea that he is not playing with the same brilliance. It may be true, but he still saw 76% of the Falcons runners and nearly 10% of the team's goals. Only nine halves can say that they have reached these marks this season.
Only the volume will make it usable from now on. Since it has not yet found the goal zone, it is a cheap option.
Add Will Dissly
The tight end continues to be a dumpster shot from a position, so any player at the position who sees the volume is viable. This is Will Dissly.
Over the past two weeks, Dissly has seen about 15% of Seattle's goals, which is a good target for a tight end. And according to Pro Football Focus, it is among the top 15 routes at the time of the race.
He was also productive, finding the end zone three times while reaching 112 yards. That should continue in week 4 against Arizona, a team that has now made five touchdowns and 348 yards rushing in the first three games of the season.
Buy Rashaad Penny, Add C.J. Prosise
Chris Carson now has four fumbles in three games. It's disturbing if you have Carson enrolled in fantasy football.
We saw Carson get caught by the medal of C.J. against the Saints. Sunday, and that could have had something to do with trial and error problems. It could also have been simply a game script, as Seattle lost a lead early in the game. Anyway, that's reason enough to make a speculative add the waiver wire with Prosise, and it's not a bad idea to launch an offer using one of your bench's players to capture Rashaad Penny, who missed Sunday's game with a thigh injury.
Sell Adam Thielen
Dalvin Cook is the only vikings player for whom you should feel really good about football. This new offensive has been heavy (no team has made fewer passes than Minnesota in three weeks), and it hurts Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. Highligths.
The difference between Thielen and Diggs – apart from a slightly higher target in favor of Thielen – lies in the fact that Thielen was able to find the end zone. He scored in the first week, and then twice in the third week, one of those touchdowns being an urgent touchdown. That's two touchdowns on just 173 passing yards, while the last five years have averaged 164 yards in total failure. Add the hurried touchkey, and it's clear that Thielen will probably regress in the touchdown column.
It is difficult to be in these receivers Vikings with the way the defense plays and the offensive philosophy they apply. They also have the bears, Giantsand Redskins in three of their next five games, which could result in positive gameplay and even more operation.
Add Darrel Williams
Damien Williams did not play Sunday due to a knee injury. Despite a dubious label, LeSean McCoy did, but he 's again hurt his ankle, which almost kept him out of the way. Williams 'and McCoy' s injuries do not seem very serious, but it would still be interesting to take on Darrel Williams. Last week, the players were eliminated from the match. They were the most striking for the Chiefs in the third week. We are in a few games in the final and the two defenders in front of Williams on the table of depths of the best attack of the league are hit. up. You must add it.
Buy or own Nick Chubb
During the first two weeks of the season, Nick Chubb failed to gain a 70% market share in the Cleveland offensive. In turn, Chubb's target share was limited to about 12% in both games and he even lost an in-goal run in the first week against Dontrell Hilliard..
Week 3 was totally different. Chubb managed all the work for the Browns backfield and ended the game with 23 races and 7 targets. He has now witnessed 92% of Cleveland's halfback attempts this season and more than 14% of the team's goals. These figures were only affected by Christian McCaffrey and Leonard Fournette.
There is a buying opportunity here as he has only found the goal area one time this season and he has not yet of real escape game. It's understandable if you worry about what could happen when Kareem Hunt returns, however. We only have one sample of a Chubb match dominating the backfield, and Hunt will have some role when he comes back.
If there is a concern about Hunt, then Chubb is simply outstanding. It really has the opportunity to produce up to that time. If you do not see Hunt take a lot of work, then Chubb is an obvious player to buy this week.
Add Dawson Knox
Many of you are probably looking for precarious help, so Dawson Knox is another interesting addition this week – remember, there was talk of Dissly. The billsThe rookie actually ranks in the top 20 routes run at the end of the tight season this season and with Tyler Kroft banged up, this type of use could continue. Knox has now seen at least 12% of Buffalo's targets in each of his last two games and the Bills will face New England in Week 4, where they could be forced to throw more than usual. This is not a bad streaming option.
Add Daniel Jones
You all saw what Daniel Jones could do against Tampa Bay on Sunday. The nice part of the performance was that it showed his athletic abilities, and we like him a lot when quarterbacks play ball in fantasy football. Jones did a great job in the air, but he added a pair of scores with his legs as well, really putting his fantasy total above the limit.
It must be the best streamer of the quarter of week 4 against Washington. The Giants are the favorites of the three-point match, they are at home and, on what could be a less deserving roadmap, FanDuel Sportsbook has a success rate well above 46.5 points. Without Saquon Barkley, New York will have to rely more on his aerial attack, which should result in fantastic points for Jones.
Add the Pittsburgh Steelers defense
The criterion for finding a valid defense on the waiver wire is that they should play at home, be their favorites and play against a bad quarter that turns the ball or takes a lot of sacks. The Steelers have that. They will play at Heinz Field Monday night, on FanDuel Sportsbook as favorites at 4.5 points, and Andy Dalton has been sacked six times more often in football for three weeks.
[ad_2]
Source link