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Despite a 33-28 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs last week, the Baltimore Ravens are up for grabs by winning a 4th week game against the Browns. Quarterback Lamar Jackson has made great strides as a passer, leading the NFL's highest attack in three weeks. The Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers, their main competitor in AFC North, are about to take a dull color, giving Baltimore the only possession of first place. Baltimore needs a win to win, and is a seven-point home favorite on Cleveland, according to the last odds of Week 4 of the NFL. It's one of the biggest lines of the week in the NFL. Elsewhere, rookie quarterback Daniel Jones and the New York Giants are the three-point home favorites against the Redskins in a game against NFC East. Before making a NFL week 4 choice, listen to the NFL's predictions from the proven SportsLine computer model.
This model, which simulates 10,000 times each game, represents an increase of over $ 7,000 for $ 100 players among its best selections in the NFL since its inception four years ago. He has nailed his recent top picks in the NFL, entering the fourth week of the 2019 NFL season on a solid 17-10 run. It's also on a 79-53 result among the NFL's top picks that goes back to the 2017 season. And by week 3, the Saints (+5) were everywhere without Drew Brees protecting himself against the Seahawks and Daniel Jones lead the Giants (+5) to cover against the Bucs.
Last season, the model was in the top 10 of NFLPickWatch for the third year in a row among consecutive playoffs in the NFL and beat more than 96% of the players in the CBS Sports pool. Anyone who followed is up.
Now, he's been reviewing the latest odds and NFL lines of the 4th week, simulated with every shot, and his football predictions are known. One of the most recommended model predictions for the NFL's 4th week recommended by the model: the Bears' (-2.5) coverage against the Vikings in a NFC Battle of the North at Soldier's Field.
Chicago's defense is among the best in the NFL with 13 points per game. The mass attack was very visible Monday night against Washington, while the Bears forced five turnovers, including a choice of six by Ha Ha's Clinton-Ten safety in the win.
Quarterback Kirk Cousins fought for Minnesota, making only 58.7 percent of his passes this season with just three touchdowns and two interceptions. While the Vikings seemed largely unidimensional over three weeks, the model predicts that the Cousins will score less than 200 yards against the Bears, with Chicago completing more than 50% of the simulations. There is also value for the minus (38) because it affects nearly 60% of the time.
Another choice among NFL week 4 players in this model: the Colts are favorites 6.5 points from the local against the Raiders Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium.
The Colts have recovered well from Andrew Luck's sudden retirement. Quarterback Jacoby Brissett has been accurate and wise in football. Brissett completed 71.7% of his passes and collected 646 yards with seven touchdowns while leading the Colts to a 2-1 start.
Meanwhile, the Raiders were surprised by a confident win against the Broncos in the first week, despite the drama of the off season with Antonio Brown. However, they lost 18 to the Chiefs and 20 to the Vikings in the past two weeks, failing more than two digits in both losses. Oakland ranks 23rd or worse in terms of score offense, total defense, score defense and total defense. That's why Colts cover more than 50% of the simulations performed with the under-45s, also hitting more than half the time.
The model also has a strong predilection for the battle between the undefeated leaders and the Lions, and calls on a Super Bowl contender to beat hard in a surprise you will not see coming. You can only get each choice for each match at SportsLine.
What NFL choices can you confidently make in Week 4? And which Super Bowl candidate is absolutely stunned? Check out the latest NFL ratings below, then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams win over 50% of the simulations, all from the $ 7,000 plus model on their top NFL choices.
Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers (-4.5, 46)
Carolina Panthers in Houston Texans (-4, 46.5)
Cleveland Browns among Baltimore Ravens (-7, 45.5)
Washington Redskins at the New York Giants (-3, 49)
Miami Chargers at Miami Dolphins (+15.5, 44)
Oakland Raiders at Indianapolis Colts (-6.5, 45)
Kansas City Chiefs at Detroit Lions (+6.5, 54)
The New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (+7, 42.5)
Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons (-4, 45)
The buccaneers of Tampa Bay on the Los Angeles Rams (-10, 49.5)
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals (+5, 48)
Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears (-2.5, 38)
Jaguars from Jacksonville to the Denver Broncos (-3, 38.5)
Dallas Cowboys to the Saints of New Orleans (+2.5, 47)
Cincinnati Bengals in the Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.43.5)
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