Republican support for Trump's dismissal doubled in wake of Ukrainian scandal

President Nancy Pelosi and Vice President Mike Pence watch US President Donald Trump deliver the state of the union address to the US House of Representatives at the United States Capitol on February 5, 2019 in Washington, DC.Doug Mills-Pool / Getty Images

• Morning Consult has released a new poll that reveals that 43% of voters think congress should begin impeachment.
• They have been asking this question for months and support for indictment has fluctuated between 35% and 38% during this period.
• The 9-point rise in just a few days is due to the convergence of several factors resulting from a conversation between the president and his Ukrainian counterpart in July.
• According to Morning Consult, the percentage of Republicans in favor of impeachment has doubled since the last question on impeachment was raised.

• Visit the Business Insider home page for more stories.

While important details and documents have been circulating in recent days as part of a growing scandal related to Ukraine, the number of US voters – including Republicans – declaring themselves more favorable to the dismissal of Donald Trump, according to a new survey Morning Consult.

The poll, which began on the same day as Democratic House members launched a formal imputation inquiry into Trump, asked voters whether Congress should "initiate impeachment proceedings to remove President Donald Trump from his post. functions. "

According to Morning Morning, 43% of voters said Congress should initiate impeachment proceedings to dismiss President Trump, 9 points higher than when the question was asked from September 20th to 22nd.

The sonar analysis is significant, both by the size of the sample and by its history on the question that it poses since the spring of 2018. It is a step forward substantial compared to the norm.

• Among Democrats, 79% support impeachment procedures, up 13 points from 66% last weekend.
• Among the independents, 39% were waiting for an impeachment procedure, up 6 points since last weekend.
• More interestingly, the number of independents who had no opinion in one way or the other also increased.
• That means the percentage of independents who opposite The impeachment procedure overall decreased by 9 points, from 45% to 36% in several days.
• Among Republicans, the percentage of people in favor of impeachment has doubled from 5% to 10%.

The survey covered 1,640 registered voters and had a 2-point margin of error.

It's early, but polls all say similar things

This survey is particularly interesting because Morning Consult asked this question conscientiously for two years. After the publication of the Mueller report in early May, the figures for the indictment remained unchanged according to their investigation. Support has ranged from 35% to 38% in the 12 previous surveys, Morning Consult, from May to September. A jump of 9%, although it is only a single survey, is therefore related to the knowledge of this context.

Other polls published today regarding impeachment have less results on the issue, but confirm the main finding that the events of recent days have significantly displaced the needle. A YouGov poll found that 55 percent of adults favored removal, including an impressive percentage of Republicans.

In addition, a PBS NewsHour / NPR / Marist poll released on Thursday revealed that 49 percent of US adults said they supported the House of Representatives in launching a dismissal investigation by the president. This represents a significant advance since a similar question was posed in a PBS NewsHour / NPR / Marist poll in May, following the release of former Special Advisor Robert Mueller's report on election interference. in Russia, according to which only 39% of Americans thought that Congress should move to hold impeachment hearings.

Earlier in the day, Insider released a poll by SurveyMonkey Audience that revealed that 53% of respondents support a formal survey and that 45% of respondents support the impeachment.

Details continue to come

The increase in support for the dismissal of all voters has occurred in concert with a series of major events in Washington related to a July 25 phone call between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

In the midst of the growing pressure brought on by this call, a series of media reports related to a whistleblower report from an American intelligence official, the White House released Wednesday a memo on the conversation.

The memo on the phone call showed that Trump was regularly pressuring Zelensky to investigate former vice president Joe Biden and his son, Hunter Biden, confirming the media reports of the news. last week.

On Thursday, the whistleblower's complaint was made public, laying overwhelming accusations against Trump in connection with the call.

Read more: A majority of the House is now in favor of some form of impeachment investigation, reaching the magic number that could be decisive in Trump's dismissal.

"In the performance of my official duties, many US government officials have informed me that the President of the United States used the power of his office to solicit the intervention of a country. abroad in the US elections of 2020, "said the complaint.

According to the complaint, White House officials were "deeply troubled" by the call and worried about seeing Trump "using his office for personal purposes".

On Tuesday, Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, announced the launch of an official imputation investigation on Trump. The publication of the Telephone Service Note and the whistleblower complaint has only exacerbated support for a certain degree of impeachment of legislators – a majority of members of the House now support at least the conducting an impeachment investigation. According to the new survey of Morning Consult, it seems that a large part of the public is swept away by this momentum.