NFL Week 10 Picks, Odds: Bears Bounce, Bengals Hang On To Steelers, Justin Hebert Knocks Down Tua

Happy – * check the grades * – Masters Week ??? For the first time ever, we’re going to have a ridiculous weekend of the best golf available on the planet coupled with football. As a rule, masters represent the beginning of spring and a kind of rebirth. Maybe it happens!

It would be nice if things turned out to be a turning point. And by “things” I mean “my terrible choices”, of course. They’ve been hot rubbish the past two weeks after a hot run. It’s okay, we’re only halfway through the season so it’s time to turn around and run here.

While you’re here, be sure to check out the latest episode of the Pick Six podcast below and, since you’re dying for some golf tips, check out the First Cut podcast as well. They’re crushing it on the PGA Tour stuff and will recap each round of the Masters.

Anywho, your choice. And a better future! All odds provided by our friends at William Hill Sportsbook.

NFL Week 10 Pick

Indianapolis (5-3) at Tennessee (6-2)

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (Fox / NFL Network / Amazon)

The NFL is weird. I’m very confident that the Ravens should have beaten the Steelers and maybe even more confident that the Colts should have beaten the Ravens. Sometimes the ball bounces funny! This happens when it is oblong and made of leather and is thrown by 22 people over a gigantic field. My problem with the Titans here is that they are not good at defense. And if you can bottle their racing game – which isn’t easy to do – you can make them a bit one-dimensional. I’m scared of Derrick Henry on Thursday but I’m going to ride with the Colts there.

Projected score: Colts 28, Titans 24

Best bet: Foals (pk)

What choices can you confidently make in Week 10, and which Super Bowl contender falls hard? Visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams cover over 50% of the sims, all from the model that topped $ 7,600 on its top-rated picks.

Washington (2-6) at Detroit (3-5)

1 p.m. (Fox)

Propagation: OFF

One thing I love to preach (and sometimes not follow) is the importance of adjusting your preseason expectations. You may be caught broadcasting wishes on some teams, and I did with the Lions. It’s not a good football team. Neither do Washington, but the Lions are unlikely to be favored by more than three people just yet. Not with the pressure Washington can exert and Detroit’s utter lack of shutdown power. Washington will get it by three or four late worst cases.

Projected score: Lions 21, Washington State 17

Jacksonville (1-7) at Green Bay (6-2)

1 p.m. (Fox)

While I’m really proud of the Jags for ruining my Sunday last week and storming the backdoor against Houston, I can’t support them here. They are terrible and Green Bay is not. The Packers have a rugged running game to complement Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams. The Jaguars can win on the pitch, and Green Bay’s race defense isn’t great, but that should be tempered by the fact that the weather is a serious issue here. Lambeau expects winds of over 20 mph. That bodes well for the Sub and the Packers, who can stack the box against James Robinson and force a thing named Jake Luton to beat them.

Projected score: Packers 34, Jaguars 17

Best bet: N / A (if the weather is really bad I like the sub at 51 or less)

Tampa Bay (6-3) at Carolina (3-6)

1 p.m. (Fox)

It’s a very fickle league. Remember when the Bucs were the best football team? It was less than a week ago. Now we wonder about the future of their attack and Bruce Arians openly calls out Antonio Brown’s tally. This should keep you entertained for the next few weeks. It stinks of Tom Brady who eliminates his frustrations. Carolina is dashing as they all come out, but they’re not great defensively and I think the Tampa top four can create problems for Teddy Bridgewater. Mike Davis is a great DFS game here at a nominal price.

Projected score: Boucaniers 35, Panthères 21

Best bet: Buccaneers -5.5

1 p.m. (Fox)

Name something more boring in your life than the NFC East. Please do it. And tweet it to me @WillBrinson. This division should be loaded into a very small space rocket and sent to Mars as soon as possible. Or put on prime time every week. It doesn’t matter. It’s a bad line, however. The Eagles are much better and the game is horrible. They have a good defensive line, the Giants’ offensive line is not good. Carson Wentz can spread it a bit here and avoid James Bradberry. They should roll.

Projected score: Eagles 24, Giants 17

Best bet: Eagles -3

Houston (2-6) at Cleveland (5-3)

1 p.m. (Fox)

WEATHER ALERT: tons of wind here. Took the under 51 on Wednesday and would recommend anything under 49 starting Thursday, assuming the 21 mph winds hold up. The Browns’ stadium is a major wind and rain issue, as evidenced by their clash against the Raiders. I don’t hate the -3 Browns either – they’re great at running the ball, Houston is abominable against running, and the Texans only stay in games when Deshaun Watson throws the ball to Will Fuller and Brandin Cooks. Maybe they can drop some crossers and prove me wrong, but I bet it goes REALLY low in the first half and in the worst case you can come back in the middle of the second if Watson is down. and forced to throw.

Projected score: Brown 17, Texans 10

Best bet: Under 51 (up to 49) plus overs on Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt rushing

Buffalo (7-2) at Arizona (5-3)

4:05 p.m. (CBS)

The game here is over. Ideally, it will go down a bit of 56, as the NFL overs just don’t hit 60 without some buyout, but if not, you can still play it. Cardinals have decent defense, but they can be scored (see: Tua last week). And Buffalo won’t be able to stop Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins. It stinks of a shooting. I’m going to take the dog to this place too, because I don’t trust Kliff Kingsbury after that Zane Gonzalez field goal last week. The Cardinals just don’t seem to be overdue on purpose.

Projected score: Bills 41, Cardinals 34

Best bet: Over 55

LA Chargers (2-6) at Miami (5-3)

4:05 p.m. (CBS)

First of all, we have a ton of late games this week! Second, is the right team favored here? The Chargers are finding ways to lose every week so it’s probably not advisable to bet on them, but I’m not sure we should be hanging the crown in Miami just yet. Justin Herbert vs. Tua Tagovailoa is the fixture television. The Chargers’ defense may not be great and Miami can cause problems, but Herbert is on historic pace right now as a rookie. If you extrapolate his stats to 16 games, he would complete 67% of his passes for 4,900 yards, 39 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Put some conservative qualifiers around it and you realize the only people to hit those kinds of numbers are 2011 Drew Brees, 2013 Peyton Manning, and 2013 Drew Brees. SHEESH.

Projected score: Chargers 28, Dolphins 27

Best bet: Chargers +2.5 (prefer 3, duh)

San Francisco (4-5) at New Orleans (6-2)

4:05 p.m. (Fox)

Looks like the saints are about to run. They do this every year, fooling us out of the gate into struggling and then suddenly ripping a ton of games. Sean Payton is dancing in the locker room and Michael Thomas’ problems magically disappeared with a productive outing on the pitch. The defense played their best game of the year against Tampa Bay. Not a good sign for the 49ers, the most injured team in football.

Projected score: Saints 34, 49ers 17

Best bet: Saints -9.5

Seattle (6-2) at LA Rams (5-3)

4:05 p.m. (Fox)

Heeeee-yuge showdown in NFC West here. And that will depend on how Sean McVay plays this one. If he’s smart, he won’t bother running too much and just let Jared Goff hit a crossover after a crossover against the Seahawks defense. Surely they won’t blitz like crazy this week? It didn’t work out well against Josh Allen. The pressure makes Goff’s crater, but if McVay prepares it well, they can slice up Seattle in the passing game. I love it here, but if McVay comes out running a ton he will lose and the game will crash, so watch out for that (see the 49ers game a few weeks ago). If the Rams can have a lead, it’s live play like crazy. Russell Wilson passes aggressively and the other team knows they have to keep scoring? That’s a ton of points last week.

Projected score: Rams 45, Seahawks 37

Best bet: Over 55.5, Rams TT O 28 – and bet as much as you can on live if the Seahawks fall

Cincinnati (2-5-1) at Pittsburgh (8-0)

4:25 p.m. (Fox)

Propagation: OFF

Is this game played? It should, depending on how things progress from a COVID standpoint. But this is obviously not a guarantee. I like a lot of points here, but I’m afraid it will end up like Baltimore-Cincy, where Joe Burrow is just under siege all the time. Pittsburgh has some great passing throwers, they beat in the division, they just had a nasty win over the Cowboys and people are doubting their good faith. I will take the Bengals VERY reluctantly here.

Projected score: Steelers 24, Bengals 17

Baltimore (6-2) at New England (3-5)

8:20 p.m. (NBC)

Is it a trap? How did the Patriots open at +7, almost lose to the Jets and climb back to +7? The Ravens are better than the Jets. Maybe Lamar Jackson isn’t as good a passer as Joe Flacco (idk, man), but Baltimore should be running all day against New England. This line makes no sense. 2020. I’m tired of being cheated on. Just give me the obvious bet.

Projected score: Ravens 24, Patriots 14

Best bet: Ravens -7, under 44

Minnesota (3-5) at Chicago (5-4)

Monday, 8:15 p.m. (ESPN)

It will sound like sarcasm but it isn’t: this game is HUGE for NFC North. The bears are in shock (for my part, I am shocked) and the Vikings are coming in strong. Dalvin Cook is the MVP buzz. Minnesota’s schedule after this game is ideal for making a push to the playoffs. But I don’t think they match at all here. They want to run, and Chicago is good against running. The Vikings struggle with big physical receivers and Allen Robinson could eat in this game. I love the Vikings tale of really implementing the Bears’ playoff hopes, but Kirk Cousins ​​has to beat Chicago convincingly before I can buy into it.

Projected score: Bear 24, Vikings 17