Model projection suggests betting advantage in Citrus Bowl (Friday January 1)

Citrus Bowl Odds: Auburn vs Northwestern

The New Year’s six bowl games may have technically started on Wednesday night, but the New Year’s bowl slate has been the one that has captured the attention of punters for the past few weeks.

It’s also the one that lit some of our PRO betting tools, including our model’s projections, at least in the case of the Auburn vs Northwestern Citrus Bowl.

Note: Odds, data at 7 p.m. ET Friday.

Citrus bowl projection edge

The betting market lists No.14 Northwestern as a 3.5-4 point favorite, but our model isn’t as bullish on the Wildcats. In fact, he sees this game being much closer to a draw, favoring the Big Ten finalist by just 1.8 points.

And while a difference of 2.2 points may not seem like a huge amount, it is much more important because in crosses one of the most important numbers in football betting, given the frequency of the final scoring margins. of 3 points.

This gives Auburn a ranked B betting advantage, the third biggest remaining advantage of the bowling season.

PRO Projection Edge: Auburn