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It takes 60 votes to pass this organizational resolution. That means McConnell dares Democrats not to blow up the filibuster in a disagreement over whether they promise not to blow up the filibuster. Once again: To pass this resolution without Republicans, Democrats would have to change the rules to allow it to pass a simple majority of 51 votes. That would – in essence – eradicate the filibuster.
What we told us last night about bipartisanship
Everything you need to know: After the meeting, Senator Susan Collins, a Republican from Maine who is widely regarded as one of the most “captivating” Republican senators are on this package released a statement to CNN saying, “He seems premature to consider a package of this size and scope. “
In other words: if Biden and his team want this done quickly, they may have to withdraw their goal of signing 10 Republicans and move (AKA as early as a week or two) to the next step. : a procedural budgetary maneuver that would only require 51 votes.
Small reminder on this great old process: reconciliation
This is a process that requires the House and Senate Budget Committees to first pass a budget with specific instructions to the House Ways and Means and Senate Finance Committees to write a draft. Covid relief law. The Senate should then pass this budget with 51 votes, but when it does, it will unlock a long Senate budget vote that will keep us awake all night as MPs propose hundreds of political amendments.
- Supporters of the proposal must prove that the bill in question increases income or reduces expenses.
- That these changes are not just “incidental”.
- That all changes fall within the remit of the committees described in the reconciliation instructions.
- Senators for their proposal must realize at least the same amount of savings as the House bill. And you have to achieve the same goals within the one-year and five-year windows.
- The proposal cannot have any impact on social security.
- The allowance must not increase expenses or decrease income outside the budget window if you want it to be permanent.
There are already extensive discussions underway in the House and in the Senate Budget, Finance, and Ways and Means committees as to what provisions would be acceptable under these guidelines. There is currently a vigorous debate as to whether certain appropriation arrangements would be acceptable (traditionally, appropriations are not reconciled). There are debates on whether the minimum wage of $ 15 would meet the criteria. There are a lot of very smart people on the Republican and Democratic side who have been wrestling with these issues for weeks now. And that’s because there’s always been an expectation that at some point Democrats would have to pull the plug from bipartisan talks and do it without Republicans.
Not so fast
Moving forward with reconciliation would still require Democrats to be fully united. This means that it is not just progressive members like Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren who are leading this charge. Democrats need 100% unity. They need Joe Manchin from West Virginia, Senator from Montana Jon Tester and Senator from Maine Angus King, Kyrsten Sinema and Mark Kelly from Arizona. We don’t yet know how these MPs would vote if the reconciliation process begins within the next week or two. Would they argue that there was not enough good faith negotiations with the Republicans? We just don’t know at the moment.
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