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Just a few years ago, the idea of driving cars in our streets seemed like a delusional fantasy fantasy. However, the rapid progress of machine learning and autonomous technology in recent years means that it is about to become a reality.
All major automakers are investing heavily in autonomous driving technology. In 2018, numerous pilot projects were launched on motorways and urban roads. By the end of 2019, we may not all be driven into the city by robots while we sit back to catch up with our Facebook friends, but we will certainly be much closer than we are. aujourd & # 39; hui.
Here are my five predictions about how this will happen:
First level 5 autonomous cars?
Progress towards fully autonomous cars has been split into five steps – level one, which refers to driver assistance functions common in many new vehicles, at level five – fully autonomous vehicles capable of driving on or off the road, without any human interaction.
Level five autonomy does not exist yet, but manufacturers like Honda, Renault, BMW, and Toyota said they expect to bring fully autonomous cars into production by 2020, which means we could expect some tests and pilot projects this year.
Of course, things do not always go as planned. Tesla, for example, had originally announced that he was expecting his cars to be fully autonomous by 2017. But billions of dollars are being invested in research and development by some of the most Technology enthusiasts of the world. companies, 2019 could be the year when the first fully autonomous cars begin to appear in our streets.
First trip from one ocean to the other completely autonomous?
In 2015, an Audi SQ5 designed by Delphi made the 3,400-mile trip from San Francisco to New York; However, a human co-pilot took over several times for security reasons.
At the end of 2018, a former Google engineer conducted a survey from one ocean to the other. trek in a level 2 autonomous vehicle apparently without taking control of the vehicle; However, cars at this level of automation still require that a human be available to take control.
And Tesla delayed his own attempt several times after initially stating that their technology was capable of exploiting it in 2016, citing security concerns.
The first automaker to make a totally unassisted trip will certainly win some congratulations – and with the race to ramp up these vehicles on our streets, could 2019 be the year we see it coming?
Autonomous trucking becomes a reality
Of course, in addition to transporting us, autonomous driving promises to revolutionize the transport and logistics sector. With the majority of their journeys on straight roads and relatively easy to navigate, trucks and trucks are prime candidates for automation. And, of course, safety is another area that will benefit – long-haul drivers are subject to strict regulations regarding the number of hours they can spend driving, due to the risks of fatigue. and loss of concentration.
Next year will see the launch of Mercedes Benz Arocs Semi-autonomous trucks, which will drive efficiently on highways while allowing drivers to intervene and take control in urban areas, where a higher precision driving is needed.
The Arocs system is designed to be used by a convoy of trucks, with a vehicle with human pilot in mind and autonomous vehicles on its way. It will make trips with predefined routes. The route search is therefore done manually, but autonomous driving systems are able to detect and avoid hazards along their route, as well as react to the unexpected behaviors of other road users. .
Autonomous car sharing hits the general public?
If you think that the future involves owning your own autonomous car, you may miss the point. According to several of the big players in the game of autonomous driving, the idea is that it will no longer be necessary for the majority to own their own car.
A car is often one of the most expensive purchases of a family or individual – and is an object that spends 90% of its time sitting in an alley or unused parking lot. Especially for those of us who live in an urban area, carpooling may be the future of transportation – at least that's the idea behind the self-sufficient development projects of several large companies in the automotive and technology.
Spin-off of Google, Waymo launched his autonomous taxi service in a limited way in the streets of Phoenix, Arizona, in 2018, and if things go well, it can be expected to spread to other areas. & nbsp; Other products, including Ford, GM and Uber, should be unveiled similar services in the near future.
If all goes as planned, the year 2019 may well be the year we call a taxi, and a vehicle arrives without anyone sitting in the driver's seat!
More autonomous technology in non-autonomous cars
While autonomous cars may not be fully ready to take over from their hand-held predecessors in 2019, we are sure we will see the use of much of the technology that will allow the future cars to drive themselves. Vehicles.
In particular, driver assistance features such as automatic braking, acceleration and lane change technologies will be increasingly available in everyday automobiles. In addition, features that take advantage of advanced artificial intelligence systems – such as augmented reality and embedded virtual assistants – for autonomous driving, will become more and more common throughout 2019.
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Just a few years ago, the idea of driving cars in our streets seemed like a delusional fantasy fantasy. However, the rapid progress of machine learning and autonomous technology in recent years means that it is about to become a reality.
All major automakers are investing heavily in autonomous driving technology. In 2018, numerous pilot projects were launched on motorways and urban roads. By the end of 2019, we may not all be driven into the city by robots while we sit back to catch up with our Facebook friends, but we will certainly be much closer than we are. aujourd & # 39; hui.
Here are my five predictions about how this will happen:
First level 5 autonomous cars?
Progress towards fully autonomous cars has been split into five steps – level one, which refers to driver assistance functions common in many new vehicles, at level five – fully autonomous vehicles capable of driving on or off the road, without any human interaction.
Level five autonomy does not exist yet, but manufacturers like Honda, Renault, BMW, and Toyota said they expect to bring fully autonomous cars into production by 2020, which means we could expect some tests and pilot projects this year.
Of course, things do not always go as planned. Tesla, for example, had originally announced that he was expecting his cars to be fully autonomous by 2017. But billions of dollars are being invested in research and development by some of the most Technology enthusiasts of the world. companies, 2019 could be the year when the first fully autonomous cars begin to appear in our streets.
First trip from one ocean to the other completely autonomous?
In 2015, an Audi SQ5 designed by Delphi made the 3,400-mile trip from San Francisco to New York; However, a human co-pilot took over several times for security reasons.
At the end of 2018, a former Google engineer conducted a survey from one ocean to the other. trek in a level 2 autonomous vehicle apparently without taking control of the vehicle; However, cars at this level of automation still require that a human be available to take control.
And Tesla delayed his own attempt several times after initially stating that their technology was capable of exploiting it in 2016, citing security concerns.
The first automaker to make a totally unassisted trip will certainly win some congratulations – and with the race to ramp up these vehicles on our streets, could 2019 be the year we see it coming?
Autonomous trucking becomes a reality
Of course, in addition to transporting us, autonomous driving promises to revolutionize the transport and logistics sector. With the majority of their journeys on straight roads and relatively easy to navigate, trucks and trucks are prime candidates for automation. And, of course, safety is another area that will benefit – long-haul drivers are subject to strict regulations regarding the number of hours they can spend driving, due to the risks of fatigue. and loss of concentration.
Next year will see the launch of Mercedes Benz Arocs Semi-autonomous trucks, which will drive efficiently on highways while allowing drivers to intervene and take control in urban areas, where a higher precision driving is needed.
The Arocs system is designed to be used by a convoy of trucks, with a vehicle with human pilot in mind and autonomous vehicles on its way. It will make trips with predefined routes. The route search is therefore done manually, but autonomous driving systems are able to detect and avoid hazards along their route, as well as react to the unexpected behaviors of other road users. .
Autonomous car sharing hits the general public?
If you think that the future involves owning your own autonomous car, you may miss the point. According to several of the big players in the game of autonomous driving, the idea is that it will no longer be necessary for the majority to own their own car.
A car is often one of the most expensive purchases of a family or individual – and is an object that spends 90% of its time sitting in an alley or unused parking lot. Especially for those of us who live in an urban area, carpooling may be the future of transportation – at least that's the idea behind the self-sufficient development projects of several large companies in the automotive and technology.
Spin-off of Google, Waymo launched his autonomous taxi service in a limited way in the streets of Phoenix, Arizona, in 2018, and if things go well, it can be expected to spread to other areas. Others, including Ford, GM and Uber, are expected to unveil similar services in the near future.
If all goes as planned, the year 2019 may well be the year we call a taxi, and a vehicle arrives without anyone sitting in the driver's seat!
More autonomous technology in non-autonomous cars
While autonomous cars may not be fully ready to take over from their hand-held predecessors in 2019, we are sure we will see the use of much of the technology that will allow the future cars to drive themselves Vehicles.
In particular, driver assistance features such as automatic braking, acceleration and lane change technologies will be increasingly available in everyday automobiles. In addition, features that take advantage of advanced artificial intelligence systems – such as augmented reality and embedded virtual assistants – for autonomous driving, will become more and more common throughout 2019.