Severe evening weather update: what to expect, radar forecast

The latest wave of severe thunderstorms will likely sweep the southern half of Lower Michigan between 9 p.m. and 1 a.m. this evening.

There is a slight trend towards good news in the severe weather department. While severe storms are still likely for this second half of the evening and just after midnight, the tornado threat has abated. There is also a reduction in the fastest possible wind gusts in thunderstorms.

It appears that a line of severe thunderstorms extending over Lake Michigan and southwestern Lower Michigan at 8:45 p.m. is expected to continue to develop into a continuous line of severe thunderstorms. Here is the always updated radar.

The radar forecast below will give you a good idea of ​​the location and timing of the thunderstorm line.

The southern half of Lower Michigan is where severe storms will hit tonight and tonight.

Here’s a quick timeline.

Between 9 p.m. and 10 p.m., storms will develop in the southwest quarter of Lower Michigan at Grand Rapids, the Kalamazoo area and approaching Lansing. Between 10 p.m. and 11 p.m., thunderstorms could occur in Saginaw, Flint, Lansing and Jackson. From 11 p.m. to midnight, storms hit southeast from Lower to Ann Arbor and the Detroit area.

There are indications that a second line of thunderstorms will develop in the southern portion of Lower Michigan, then cross Jackson, Ann Arbor and Detroit again after midnight.

These storms likely still have the capacity for isolated gusts of 70 mph, but gusts of 60 mph to 65 mph will be more common. There could be one inch isolated hail. Widespread and strong tornadoes are not likely, but a rapid tornado cannot be ruled out.

So get ready for our next round of severe thunderstorms in the southern half of Lower Michigan. Remember that the severe part of a thunderstorm lasts only less than 15 minutes, then heavy rain and lightning can last for an hour or two.