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Our first Monday Night Football game of the 2021 NFL season is sure to be entertaining. Lamar Jackson and his Baltimore Ravens travel to Sin City to take on Derek Carr and the Las Vegas Raiders. This game is special because it will be the Raiders’ first real home game with fans in the stands. It should be an electric atmosphere.
Jackson will miss several key players on offense in Week 1, including his top three running backs. JK Dobbins tore his ACL in the preseason, Judge Hill tore his Achilles in training, then Gus Edwards tore his ACL last Thursday. It certainly opens the door for a Raiders upheaval.
The Ravens lead the series all-time, 8-3, and have won the last two games. Below, we’re going to break down this match from a gaming perspective and look at line movement, Over / Under props, and players to consider. First up, here’s how you can watch Monday night’s game.
All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Dated: Monday September 13 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Site: Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas, Nevada)
TV: ESPN | Flux: fuboTV (try for free)
To follow: CBS Sports app
Chances: BAL -4, O / U 50.5
Line movement
Latest odds:
Las Vegas Raiders +4
This line opened at Ravens -5.5 on May 12, but fell to Ravens -4 hours later. He stayed there until August 31, when he increased by half a point for the Ravens -4.5. On Thursday he returned to the -4 Ravens – the same day Edwards and cornerback Marcus Peters tore their ACLs.
The choice: Raiders +4. I made this game a “best bet” in my weekly column. Earlier this week, I wrote about 17 reasons why this season could be one of the best NFL seasons of all time. Number 3 on this list was the Sin City fans. COVID-19 derailed the Raiders’ inaugural season there, but the city’s passion for the sport has not gone away. If the NHL’s Las Vegas Knights were any indication, then the Raiders could end up having one of the best advantages on the field this season – and it will be proven Monday night. Plus, I’m confident in the underdog as Baltimore has lost its top three running backs, a starting cornerback and has two of its top four IR spreaders.
Over / Under 50.5
Latest odds:
Less than 50.5
That total opened to 52 on May 12, but fell to 51 the next day. It edged up to 51.5 on May 26, but fell back to 51 last Thursday, then hit an all-time low of 50.5 on Friday.
The choice: Less than 50.5. My skinny is in the Under in this game. The Ravens are still going to run the ball even if their backs haven’t been in the system for very long, and their defense is still talented even without Peters. The script of this one seems unpredictable when it comes to the total number of points scored.
Lamar Jackson Player Accessories
Touchdown passes: 1.5 (Over +110, Under -140)
Overtaking sites: 210.5 (over -115, under -115)
Success attempts: 27.5 (over -110, less than -120)
Pass Completions: 18.5 (over -125, under -105)
Longest completion: 33.5 (over -110, less than -120)
Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +140, Under -170)
Rush attempts: 11.5 (over -120, less than -110)
Precipitation course: 68.5 (over -115, under -115)
Jackson threw at least two touchdowns in nine of 15 games last season, and with his three best running backs, it could be a good game at +110. Even if he throws two touchdowns, that doesn’t mean he’ll hit the Over on his passing yards. Last year, Jackson threw three touchdowns against the Cincinnati Bengals with just 113 yards. Many will focus on Jackson’s rushed props Monday night. He only rushed for 69 rushing yards six times in 15 games last year, and while he’s probably more prone to falling out with his running backs, his best to avoid his O / U on the rushing yards. ground.
Excited for the bigger one NFL Calendar in history? Follow the CBS Sports app and get the latest information from our NFL Insider Team, as well as news from our team of experts, as well as information on each player’s data.. If you already have the CBS Sports app, be sure to bookmark your favorite team so you don’t miss a thing!
Accessories Derek Carr
Touchdown passes: 1.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
Overtaking sites: 255.5 (over -115, under -115)
Success attempts: 33.5 (over -110, less than -120)
Pass Completions: 22.5 (over -135, under +105)
Longest completion: 37.5 (over -110, less than -120)
Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +130, Under -160)
My preference is for Carr’s touchdown passes since he pitched at least two in 10 of 16 games last season. Carr averaged 256.4 passing yards per game last season, but that doesn’t guarantee the Over on Yards will hit Monday night. I also like to play on the under 33.5 passing attempts.
Player Accessories
Josh Jacobs rushing yards: Over 50.5 (-110). The Raiders have added Kenyan Drake this offseason, but that doesn’t necessarily mean Jacobs’ role in the offense will diminish. He passed 50 rushing yards in 11 of 15 games last year. The line seems too low for me to pass.
Receptions from Mark Andrews: Over 4.5 (-145). With questions on the running back and two wide receivers on IR, you know Jackson is going to trust Andrews when it comes to the passing game. He caught at least five assists in seven of 14 games last season, and I expect him to surpass that number on Monday night.
Daniel Carlson made extra points: Over 2.5 (+120). I am a huge fan of this piece. It’s practically a bet that the Raiders will score at least three touchdowns, and hopefully Carlson scores all of his extra points. The Raiders’ O / U for touchdowns is 2.5 (-115), so you can double that bet if you have faith in Vegas.
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