Such a measure would harm US consumers and US companies as taxes would be levied on goods upon entry. Apple should decide whether to increase its prices to compensate.
"The direct impact would be in the United States," said Bryan Ma, an analyst at IDC's research firm. "If things go wrong, 25% on a $ 1,000 phone is not kidding, no matter if Apple absorbs some or much of it is passed on to the consumer."
Trump said the tariff could be 10% to 25%, declaring to The Wall Street Journal earlier this week: "I can do it at 10%, and people could bear it very easily."
Even if it could be done, more expensive American work and production facilities would seriously increase the cost of the iPhone, according to Tim Bajarin, president of Creative Solutions.
"If they were making smartphones in the United States, it would increase the final price of phones sold to the public by 20% to 35%," he said.
At the top of the Bajarin range, it would be an extra $ 350 on the basic iPhone X. This means that moving the production of the iPhone to the United States would cost more than absorbing the tariffs threatened by Trump.
"This would further threaten global supply chains, resulting in higher prices for the electronic devices that people rely on every day and even the loss of US jobs," said Jose Castaneda, spokesman for the group. .
Apple says the essential research and design for the iPhone and other devices is done in the United States. But the country lacks skilled manpower to manufacture these products, according to CEO Tim Cook.
"In the United States, you could have a meeting of tooling engineers and I'm not sure we can fill the room In China, you could fill several football fields," he said.
Apple has other options in Asia
Plus, Apple does not have to bring back the making of its iPhone home to bypass Trump's tariffs.
Some of Apple's competitors have tweaked their production, retaining the basic manufacturing of telephones, computers or televisions in China, but performing the final assembly in places like Taiwan, Vietnam or Malaysia ., said Bajarin.
"It would help them avoid the prices of products shipped directly from China," he said.
Trump's efforts to bring back such jobs to the US are futile, according to Bajarin.
"The United States lost its place in the manufacturing sector decades ago, especially in the consumer electronics arena, and it will never come back."