Elon Musk predicts a probability of & 70% & # 39; to live on Mars Elon Musk predicts a '70% chance of living on Mars



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For many people, the idea of ​​a human presence on Mars seems to be coming to fruition soon, with adequate funding and a bit of luck. For Elon Musk, it is quite possible that Mars is his future home.

The founder of SpaceX and the owner of Tesla have long since announced his intention to send a spacecraft – first unmanned freighters and then manned missions – to the red planet, with its own projections. putting up human beings on Mars by 2024. He also explored the idea of ​​being part of one of these future trips, and in a new interview with Axios for their HBO docuseries, he tried to to understand how serious he was about this goal.

When asked what would be his likelihood of going on Mars, Musk, 47, put his chance at 70%, and pointed out that when he says he's going on Mars it means that he "talks about settling in".

Musk has long advocated exploring the future of human life on Mars as an alternative to life on an Earth increasingly dangerously impaired by climate change and overpopulation. In the past, he has advocated for various methods of transforming the planet and believes that, with adequate resources, it could become viable for human life on a larger scale than some space missions with crew.

This of course raises the question of who exactly could go to Mars and how much it would cost them if permanent life proved viable. Asked about critics that the idea of ​​life on Mars was a "loophole for the wealthy," Musk responded by highlighting the harsh reality of being one of the first inhabitants of the region.

"In reality, the announcement to go on Mars would be like the announcement of Shackleton to go to Antarctica.It will be difficult.It is likely to die.If you enter a tin can, you could successfully land, once landing successful, you will work tirelessly to build the base, not a lot of time for recreation, and once you get there, even after all this, you will end up in an environment very rough, so there's a good chance you'll die there, but we're not sure, now, does this look like an escape hatch for the rich? "

From the point of view of science fiction enthusiasts, it is easy to imagine that once the hard work done on Mars, the wealthy could indeed buy a ticket and walk in a colony if they wanted, without that Musk does not sell his product. version of the trip that way. Although he felt a price to go on the spot (after all equipment is paid and built, of course) to "a few hundred thousand dollars", he also speaks of being one of the field employees doing the hard work. to see if future travel and living conditions are still possible. When asked why, he likened the possibility of dying on Mars to the possibility of mountaineers dying on Mount Everest.

"They like to do it for the challenge," he said.

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