Open draw in Peru: latest poll confirms Keiko Fujimori’s rise to power and predicts technical draw with Pedro Castillo

A day after the second presidential round in Peru, Candidates Pedro Castillo and Keiko Fujimori are less than a percentage point away in latest known poll, which confirms the final heart attack that the elections will have in the South American country.

According to the survey on voting intentions of the Institute of Peruvian Studies (IEP), Fujimori receives 40.9% of preferences, while leftist Castillo 40.8%, which reveals a minimal favoritism towards the candidate of the Fuerza Popular.

In all cases, the data fall entirely within the study’s margin of error, so the situation is dead heat.

The daughter of former president Alberto Fujimori has gained two percentage points since the IEP’s last measurement in May, while the Peru Free party candidate lost 0.6% in preferences last month.

However, the IEP opinion researcher, Patricia zarate, recognized that there are two groups of voters that cannot be adequately measured in these studies, which are those who live in rural areas and those who reside abroad.

More, 11.5% of votes remain blank or imperfect, and 6.8% undecided.

Most of the votes in favor of Fujimori are in Lima with 53.5% and in the north with 42.7%, while The majority voters of Castillo live in the south with 57.6% and in the center with 50.5%.

For its part, in the eastern Amazon of the country is the largest group of white or imperfect voters with 12.9%, followed by the north with 12.7%.

Of the same shape, voters in the highest economic sector are in favor of Fujimori (53.3%) and the middle with 44.2%, while the lowest with Castillo (45.9%).

By gender and age, voters also clearly defined their preferences in this presidential election, given that women will vote for Fujimori (44.4%), men for Castillo (46.7%), the youngest between 18 and 24 years by Fujimori (42.9%), while those aged 25 to 39 by Castillo (44.3%).

Other studies carried out this week confirmed the tendency for a technical link between the two candidates, According to the Ipsos company, Castillo obtained 44.5% of the votes cast against 43.6% for Keiko Fujimori, while 11.6% were blank and imperfect votes..

At the same time, In the CPI poll, 45% of the votes cast go to Fujimori and 44.8% to Castillo, while 10.2% were blank or invalid votes.

The IEP survey was carried out at the request of the newspaper The Republic, although it cannot be released in-country due to legal restrictions, to a sample of 2,057 people nationwide, between June 2 and June 4, with a 95% confidence level and a margin 2.2% error.

(With information from EFE)

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