Winner, socialism delays chords and mixes rules solo

MADRID.- The day after

elections in Spain

has risen without haste or urgency for triumphant socialism.

Pedro Sánchez

He already knows that he will be invested as
president of
government of

Spain.

But calmly
winner, keeps the cards of his strategy to add power, since the 123 seats he won in the polls above 350 in Congress do not give him the majority.

Yes, on the other hand, they provide him with peace of mind and all the oxygen to structure a stable government. And this is what he does during these hours, during which he even declares the possibility of exercising "alone", of the minority, without firm pact and with circumstantial allies to reach a majority.

"We could try to govern alone, we understood the support that the
citizenship and I think citizenship understood us, "said interim vice president Carmen Calvo.

First hours of the new political map

These are the first hours of the new political map of the parliamentary elections, with a clear socialist triumph, the collapse of the People's Party (PP) and the fracture of the right. An ideal scenario for Sanchez who, probably with this scheme, remains president "in exercise" until next June, by which time he could be officially invested by the Congress.

Although we still do not know in which formula: yes with alliance, in coalition or if of minority. One that, in any case, would be stable enough not to be harbaded by blockages.

To settle it, expect what will happen after the European elections of May 26, which are based on the revalidation and even strengthening the result of the general.

Disappointment for Podemos

In the immediate future, the repetition of a government "in the minority and alone", as it now slips from the Moncloa Palace, would be a blow to the radical left of Podemos. "What we want is a coalition government of the left," said Pablo Iglesias, head of training yesterday.

A coalition government would save Podemos from the pain he suffered yesterday in elections from 71 to 42 seats. But, to his despair, it is possible that Sanchez chooses to have the freest hands to govern. Although this involves going in search of circumstantial allies in each case.

It is true that the alliance with Podemos was the first option of Sanchez, who had even formally talked about offering "ministries", the erosion of radical left formation was more great than expected.

The PSOE went from 85 to 123 legislators, while Podemos dropped to 42. The sum of forces results in 165, eleven below the 176 required for the absolute majority. Podemos remains an important potential ally for Sanchez, but less than what he expected.

Silence and confusion in the PP

Silence and confusion reign in the popular party. These are very difficult hours in the group led by Pablo Casado, with the historic collapse of the benches on an unknown ground: only 66 of the 350 that counts the Congress.

Nobody speaks at the party headquarters, where a meeting of the board of directors has been postponed until tomorrow. Nobody knows what could happen there.

Options on the table

The new speech that emerges from La Moncloa – that of an isolated government essay – postponed for the moment all the firm agreement hypotheses that Sánchez could try, he proposed, that he There were several.

a) with the PSOE and the citizens; I would comfortably add up to 180 lawmakers. But he has the enormous difficulty of the speech against this agreement made by the leader of the Liberal Party, Albert Rivera. Today, his second, José Manuel Villegas, talked about "sitting at the table" to talk.

b) PSOE plus We can and the minority forces without the Catalan separatists: there are 175 legislators, hardly less than the majority of 176. This would be viable if we obtained at least one abstention in the second round of the vote of the Congress.

c) With the left and with the separatists, more minority forces: it would reach 198 lawmakers, even if that might end up being less, since there are regional parties that declare their opposition to an agreement with the movement of Catalan independence.

What benefits Sanchez is that, whatever the option chosen – even that of trying to govern alone and without firm alliance – the sum of this right is well below 176, with which, its possibilities of blocking are very thin. reduced.

The PP, along with liberal citizens and the radical right of Vox, throws 149 lawmakers. A fragmentation that eventually weakened his harvest of seats. The old and famous "divide and conquer", in which the bow on the right, plunged alone. With the price in sight.