Winds of war in the Persian Gulf

Secretary of State Mike PompeoI had planned a meeting with the German Chancellor, Angela Merkelfor Tuesday, May 7 in Berlin. However, a few hours after it was held, the meeting was canceled.

Pompeo departed urgently for Iraq by plane, while the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier was heading to the Persian Gulf. The motive: "An imminent threat" against American interests in this region originated in Iran, revealed Pompeo himself once in Baghdad.

There, he met the president Barham Saleh and the Prime Minister, Adel Abdel Mahd, warning about the "growing activity" of Iranian forces in the region. The visit lasted a few hours.

The blog "Intelli Times", an Israeli site specializing in monitoring and gathering information about Iran, has published a program of who would be involved in planning the "imminent attack" against American targets in the Persian Gulf.

Infobae contacted the badysts who work there, who, for reasons of sensitivity, chose to keep their names under reserve, but agreed to reveal the details of the plot outlined by Pompeo.

"If we take the information and translate it into words and characters, a clear image will be reflected in front of us," they said.

In this regard, they stated that information on a possible attack would have come from information allegedly obtained by Israel.

They hinted that the plan "would be born of espionage between an Iranian factor and one of the Shiite militias, and the only one to be able to do this is Qasem Suleimani," chief of the Quds Force, the Iranian Revolutionary Guards.

With regard to possible stalkers indicated by Intelli Times There are three militias that respond to the direct orders of General Suleimani and one of his Shia badociates in Iraq, as he is Abu Mahdi al-Mohandes, Hezbollah leader of Kata ib (the Party brigades, in Arabic)

They also explained (see diagram) that there were two responsible units at the planning stage, as was the case on previous occasions: "Unit 190, dealing with the traffic from the arsenal to the militia Shiites in Iraq and Unit 400, special operations of Iran abroad, both belonging to the Revolutionary Guard.

Analysts also pointed out Infobae in recent months, they have seen many signs of future attacks on western targets: US military bases near the Gulf, as well as naval targets.

In December 2018, the general Amir Ali Hajizadeh, commander of the Revolutionary Guard's aerospace force, presented on local television a map detailing US-related sites in the Gulf; a clear message to the White House and President Donald Trump.

Are we on the threshold of a new war?

One of the peculiarities of the Iranian strategy is the use of allies (subrogations) commit attacks in different parts of the world, thus avoiding entering a direct conflict.

This is seen in Syria and Lebanon (Hezbollah), Yemen (Houthis) and Iraq through Shiite militias, among others.

"The frequent resort to allies by Iran has left it completely exposed and, as stated by Trump government officials, The United States will see the attack of one of these organizations as an Iranian attack of the first order "says Dr. Yossi Mansharof, researcher specializing in Shiite political Islam at the Jerusalem Institute of Strategy and Security, in an interview with Infobae.

"Such a scenario will lead to a US military attack on Iran, which the Iranian regime has been trying to avoid since the establishment of the Islamic revolution in 1979," he added.

Mansharof, who also works as an expert at the Ezri Center for Iran and studies on the Persian Gulf at the University of Haifa, however, said: "The likelihood of a military confrontation between the United States and Iran is not high, although one of the following scenarios should be taken into account: 1) That Iran decides to start a local crisis in the Middle East, in order to show the United States to show that their patience is over. 2) Calculation error by Iranian forces or their substitutes in the context of an attack against an American target. "

According to the academic, the achievable goals for such attacks could be: "US bases in Bahrain, Qatar, Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, aircraft carriers in the Persian Gulf, Israel and foreign embbadies in Iran."

The Trump administration has toughened the sanctions against the country of the ayatollahs and has withdrawn from the joint and comprehensive Action Plan, better known as the Nuclear Agreement, signed in 2015 with the P + 5 powers.

Another sign of continued escalation occurred on Thursday, when reports said Trump was seeking to establish a direct link with Iranian leaders through Swiss officials in Tehran, where the embbady Switzerland was the American diplomatic seat.

"I'd like to see them call me"said Trump, then to order the landing and deployment of several "Patriot" missile batteries in the area; another clear message from the United States to Iran.

For its part, the country where Ayatollah Ali Khamenei reigns is plunged into an economic crisis, due in large part to the sanctions imposed by the United States against Iranian oil.

There are days, Rouhani said in a speech that he would partially withdraw from the "obsolete" nuclear deal within 60 days, which has been taken by European countries as an ultimatum to consider.

"The United States does not seek to wage war on the Iranian regime, but we are fully prepared to respond to any attack, whether through its substitutes, Revolutionary Guards or forces. Iranians, "said John Bolton, advisor for Homeland Security. Blanca