The failure of the Brexit negotiations may have left near the abyss



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May participated yesterday in an act for the elections of the European Parliament Source: AFP – Credit: Toby Melville

The dialogue between the government and Labor to unblock the divorce process was broken and the prime minister was about to resign. Cross-accusations with the opposition leader

PARIS.- Probably the last scene of his improbable journey. For the fourth time, the British Prime Minister,

Theresa May

, will ask the deputies early June to agree to the Brexit agreement that he had signed last November with the

European Union

(EU) No one doubts, however, that the results – negative – will be the same, after yesterday Labor leader Jeremy Corbyn announced the failure of his talks with the government.

"The negotiations have gone as far as possible," Corbyn said, accusing "the growing weakness and instability" of the executive.

The fourth vote of the agreement is expected to take place on June 7th. Whatever the outcome, May will resign or, more specifically, will announce "a timetable for the election of a new leader of the Conservative Party". In other words, from a new prime minister.

In Britain, the party leader who holds the majority in the House of Commons becomes head of government.

"There is no common position within the Labor Party as to whether they want to organize the Brexit or hold a second referendum that can reverse it," said May during the meeting. an election in Bristol.

The agreement that led May to sacrifice himself on the altar of Brexit was concluded yesterday morning, at a meeting he had with the cadres of his party. It has been months since they pushed him to the exit door, aware of the damage done to the country by the sidereal vacuum of political action and by the British Prime Minister's futile attempts to buy time.

Naturally, the personal ambitions of all these political animals also weigh in the balance. It's been a long time since many of them are not in the starting line. The first of these is former Chancellor Boris Johnson, who led the campaign for Brexit in the 2016 referendum. Minutes after the meeting, he confirmed his intention to succeed: "Of course I will introduce myself, "he told Manchester.

May's succession occurs not only in an end-of-kingdom climate, but also in a worrying period of weakness in the British political system. The powerlessness of the political clbad and the Parliament has never been so obvious, both contradicting the decision of the electorate to leave the EU.

In case of doubt, confirmation arrived yesterday at Corbyn, who, after weeks of negotiations with May to find a joint response to Brexit, acknowledged the failure. For the Prime Minister, the cause of this failure was "the absence of a common position" within the Labor Party itself.

Labor leaders are in fact deeply divided between Corbyn's friends, who want a Brexit but avoid dirtying their hands, and the pro-Europeans, who demand a new referendum on divorce with the European bloc. The problem is that, by doing partisan calculations, they have brought their own electorate to the brink of implosion.

Because the Brexit, manifestation of English nationalism and divisive factor between the two major parties of the kingdom, not only paralyzed the executive, but also promoted the rise of the far right.

The next European elections opened the door to Europhobe, Nigel Farage, former leader of the United Kingdom's Independence Party (UKIP), who, with 28% of the intentions to vote for his new formation – the Brexit Party – exposed the pathos of the situation.

The tsunami also threatens work. According to the latest polls, 13% of voters favor Brexit intend to vote for Farage, while 28% of pro-European voters will do for anti-Brexit, such as liberal Democrats (7% of voters). voting intentions), the Greens (7%) and, in Scotland, the Scottish National Party (independence).

Meanwhile, the British government seems to be operating on autopilot. The Prime Minister gives the impression to ignore that everything will collapse around her, while her ministers are plunged into an endless controversy and that Parliament is paralyzed.

No law has been pbaded in the last six weeks. "The most important recent debate has been on the law on wild animals in circuses," joked the French newspaper.
The world.

"If May stays in Downing Street, the seat of the government, the whole country will end up with Valium," writes the British newspaper.
The Guardian.

"Nothing happens in Brexit, no one has anything to say and, at the same time, there is only Brexit," he said in his turn.
The weather.

The confusion is such that the government seems to have the shock of the results of Farage in the European elections of May 26 to provoke a reaction of the deputies in favor of the agreement on Brexit. But his announced resignation further weakens his authority and launches the race against time for his succession. In any case, a new leader should be announced by September 29, the first day of the Conservative convention.

The procedure provides that the deputies
Tory choose two candidates and the party members designate the winner. Boris Johnson is not the favorite of the deputies, but if he was shortlisted, he would have a great chance of being elected because he has the sympathy of the adherents.

If Brussels refused to renegotiate the Brexit agreement, as Johnson wanted, the new prime minister would be deadlocked and new legislative elections should be held, which could turn into a duel between Johnson and Corbyn. Then, it is possible that the chaos of Brexit ends with a totally unpredictable duel, arbitrated by the far right of Farage, suddenly revitalized.

Candidates for May's success

Boris Johnson (former Chancellor)

Charismatic and politically talented, Bojo, 54, was one of the architects of the Brexit victory in the 2016 referendum; is popular in conservative basics

Andrea Leadsom (former Secretary of Energy)

A 56-year-old Brexit advocate, she worked for three decades in the City, the financial heart of London. a name was forged during the referendum campaign

Michael Gove (Minister of the Environment)

Eurosceptic aged 51, he is one of the most ardent supporters of Brexit in the May government. could cost him his reputation as a traitor to his political friends

Jeremy Hunt (Chancellor)

Hunt, 52, has defended to stay in the EU in 2016, before changing his mind, disappointed by the "arrogant" attitude of Brussels in the negotiations.

Dominic Raab (former Minister of Brexit)

Fiery Defender Brexit, this 45-year-old karate and boxing enthusiast and specialist in international law, is one of the figures of the new conservative guard

Sajid Javid (Minister of the Interior)

Exbanquero and son of a Pakistani bus driver, aged 49, is the representative of a modern and multicultural Britain. is a supporter of free trade

.

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