OPINION: López Obrador, the wind of freedom and the creation of a perfect storm

In 1989, the Treaty of Malta between Bush and Gorbachev. With him the cold war endswhich is a very important period of the twentieth century. A time of very dangerous bipolarization between the Warsaw Pact, led by the Soviet Union and its satellite countries, and NATO, led by the United States and its allies in Western Europe.

I remember as a young man having listened Margaret Tatcher in Mexico To say "Whoever believes that this is the beginning of a new world order is wrong … it is rather it will be a new global mess… and he was very right.

The fall of the Berlin wall projected what appeared to be a new world reality: the economy would continue the path of the free market and that of democracy.

In the early 90 winds of freedom were blowing.

In Mexico, Carlos Salinas de Gortari, forged solidarity alliances between the public, the world of work and businesses. They were the first radical changes that have been made to the Constitution since 1917. In addition, with the signing of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the opening of the country that Miguel de la Madrid opened in 1986 with the entry of Mexico into the GATT has been consolidated.

Internationally, Mexico was considered a country moving towards the first world.

But little difficult this honeymoon. The political upheaval that triggered the political killings of PRI Secretary General José Francisco Ruiz Mbadieu and Luis Donaldo Colosio, candidate for the presidency of Mexico for this party, as well as the financial debacle that caused the December error of 1994, meant a difficult awakening of the Mexicans to an austere and harsh reality.

But with this, the Mexican society is also awakened to an opportunity for empowerment. In 1997, under the presidency of Ernesto Zedillo, a first step was taken to separate the PRI from the majority in the lower house. Three years later, the unthinkable was reached in 2000. the institutional revolutionary loses the presidency for the first time in the modern history of the country.

Since then, Mexican society learned that she could punish with your vote to who did wrong. In other words, he learned to punish the past, but always he has not learned to predict or predict the future properly.

It is easier to reject something that has already happened than to accept a future that does not happen yet. Predicting the future is not easy, it requires preparation, badytical skills, research and evaluation of options based on accurate, complete and up-to-date information. Involved support decisions based on logic and reason.

Since the discovery of this empowerment, Mexican society has varied its decisions vote for the PAN of Vicente Fox and Felipe Calderón then return to the PRI of Enrique Peña Nieto. With the latter they detonate a series of scandals of corruption and impunity that offend and annoy Mexican society and this creates the perfect storm that allows Andrés Manuel López Obrador, a different character with a great ability of popular communication, This becomes the preferred option by the majority of Mexicans tired of a status quo that does not respect their interests and feelings.

In this way, AMLO suddenly finds itself with unprecedented political power and begins to release the old dreams since many years.

But power is a master very difficult to control and this usually transforms the minds and hearts of those who possess it. Y the effect that power had on AMLO was not the exceptionbecause in a few months radicalized its authoritarianism to the point of issuing memoranda executives and put aside the Constitution that I swear to obey and defend. Your Megalomania has not allowed him to listen to opinions different from his own and considers that he alone is the holder of the truth. He alone knows what should be done and who should do it. Without further badysis, without professional advice, or serious, we waste enormous economic resources in mega-factories such as Santa Lucia, Dos Bocas, Maya Train and Transism.

Still, Mexico still has a tipo stable change in its currency because of two main elements: the high interest rates we pay (although this makes credit more expensive and deteriorates productivity) and the fact that the level of investment is still maintained.

But AMLO shares quickly erode investor confidence nationals and foreigners who fear a low potential for international qualifications.

The room for maneuver is closing quickly and if AMLO does not correct the course, this big boat called Mexico will start making water… and if that happens, the question persists, Will AMLO accept and correct errors? or, as you usually do, are you going to blame others?

Will the wind of liberty impose the acts of a head of state or transform itself into the perfect storm of a dictator?

* Businessman, Coparmex National Councilor, IPADE Visiting Professor

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