UK votes in uncertainty about …

From London

The UK votes in the European legislative elections amid rising rumors of Theresa May's imminent resignation. In a campaign with clear surrealist tones, polls predict that the conservatives could be in fifth place, but it is not these catastrophic predictions, but May's latest European plan and the ambitions of her potential successors who leave her at the foot of l & # 39; scaffold.

Plan 4 this week by the British Prime Minister tried to please many and angered the world. On Wednesday, the powerful committee of 1922, which brings together MPs without a government function, gave him an ultimatum to withdraw the plan and present a specific timetable for his departure. This Friday, the group's leader, Sir Graham Brady, will meet with May amid a vertigo of speculation about his future as head of the Conservative Party and the executive.

Regicide evidence is in sight. On Wednesday, the minister in charge of relations with Parliament, Andrea Leadsom, who was May's main rival in the election of the 2016 post-referendum European Conservative leader, resigned. "I do not believe that the UK remains a sovereign country with this offer of pact with Europe that is being formulated," Leadsom wrote to May.

In the annals of the Conservative Party, resignations of this caliber are the pretext for unsustainable pressure for the resignation of the Prime Minister. If it happened with the powerful Margaret Thatcher in 1990, why is not it going to happen with May, more and more weakened and cornered?

Plan 4 of May, the straw that breaks the camel's back, offers MPs the opportunity to vote on the possibility of a second referendum and a temporary customs union with the EU, promises which should appeal to the Labor and Pro-European parties (Scottish nationalists, liberal Democrats, Welsh and Green autonomists). With this art that seems to characterize it as a tactical and strategic mistake, May has not only achieved his goal, but has put the pro-Brexit conservatives, whether they be moderate or ultra, on the trail of war.

The Prime Minister's lack of political capacity was evident in the deadlock in which she had engaged in Brexit negotiations and in her call for early elections in 2017. "May Wins the Price of the Worst Electoral Manifesto, the Worst speech to a party congress, the worst parliamentary defeat in history and, with these European elections, probably the worst conservative election defeat, "said Wednesday's editorial. Standard evening.

The evening is characterized by being a conservative newspaper, published since 2016 by George Osborne, the former pro-European finance minister of May's predecessor, David Cameron. In his editorial, Osborne advises to vote for liberal Democrats who are in favor of keeping the EU. The "Standard evening"qualifies May Plan 4 as a" desperate attempt "to offer something to everyone" and, like his role as prime minister, he gave nothing to anyone "

In an attempt to neutralize the virulent rejection generated by Plan 4, the Prime Minister retreated ahead of the date she announced for her vote in the House of Commons in early June. In this new version, May will attempt to dialogue with the ministers who rejected Plan 4 to try to convince them or incorporate their concerns into their proposal, with the obvious danger of turning the agreement into a more Frankenstein. monstrous and unrecognizable as the current.

This is not the responsibility of May. Society and parliament are polarized to the point of fragmentation. The ambitions of many Conservative MPs to dethrone and succeed are the scene of endless speculation, parades and daily counter-marches. In the campaign of these European elections, nobody knows what is the conservative proposal. This is partly because they are so divided that they can not have a more or less homogeneous program, but also because the 16 MPs who aspire to replace May have been much more focused on their own campaign for the post of Prime Minister than in the 73 reserved seats in the United Kingdom in the European Parliament.

The Brexit party, Europhobe Nigel Farage, which holds one of the most coherent platforms of the fragmented British political spectrum, took advantage of this vacuum. Farage leads the polls in the hand of his monkey – the promise to leave the EU without agreement. With this simple message, you have between 32 and 37% of the intention to vote. The Labor Party ranks third, behind the pro-European Liberal Democrats, and the fifth Conservative, with a pathetic 7% behind the Greens.

If the result is confirmed, the pressure to resign may be difficult to contain. The media are talking about this Friday, but the announcement of the results will take place on Sunday, while the rest of the elections will have taken place in the European Union. So it's just as possible for May to speak on Monday. Today, in this madness that is the British political scene of Brexit, no one can guarantee anything.