Trump, the true vigilance of Macri

In the latest currency turbulence, when the Trump government had not yet convinced the IMF to make Argentina's ability to intervene more flexible, Mauricio Macri had to give an unthinkable explanation. Not the Republican leader, with whom he speaks frequently and whom he contacted again at that time, but his little girl, who had just asked him a question: what's a bonus ? The president has striven to adapt to the 7-year-old finance students: "Something that when he gets up is good, and when he falls, it's bad," he summed up. A few hours later, when she went to school, she took up the subject: she encouraged him not to worry because, he said, the links would surely increase that day. Macri's eyes filled with tears.

The conversation, which the head of state later told some members of the family, took place more than a month ago, during the last fright the dollar inflicted on the government, and at a particularly difficult time for the Pro leader: this end Last week, he admits now, is the worst he has known since the beginning of September last year, while he accepted with resignation four like-minded leaders whom he proposed to join. – Alfonso Prat-Gay, Carlos Melconian Ernesto Sanz and Martín Lousteau had rejected his offer. "For the first time, I felt the torpedo of the" red circle "," he continued. This cold war with the establishment that accompanies it since the campaign of 2015 was a constant in his administration: businessmen, badysts and operators who were then able to close their mouths with the refusal to start agreement with Mbada to defeat Scioli again Four years later, why does he not open his government to other political forces? Translated: closer to the PJ, supposed guarantor of governance.

It is probable that this dialectic which confronts him mainly with the world to which his father belonged, that of business, now curious about the movements of the leader of the Renovation Front and Roberto Lavagna, never dies. Mainly because, by the speed or the dose of measurements, the president finishes a mandate with obvious management errors. It is a self-criticism that no longer hides in private life and was evident at this time of anxiety during which he devoted himself to communicating with old friends, some of whom felt already relegated in the circle of decisions and who again asked for their opinion. .

These calls, which were used by fans to come together, also coincided with two physical mishaps: persistent pain in the sciatic nerve, which eventually forced him to attend meetings, and a knee injury, which was contracted at the time. 39, a football game and multiplied the mood swings. Macri tends to relax with the sport. He loves not only football, but the paddle, for which he has redeveloped an abandoned field in Olivos' villa: as soon as he took office at Casa Rosada, he ordered natural grbad. Bridge is another of his hobbies: he plays with those who were friends with his father; in his environment, they have heard that he would like to devote time to letters when he will leave power.

Those who frequent him say that he has regained energy in recent weeks. That they see him tired, but optimistic for having controlled the exchange rate and, what is even more important, noted some improvement in the polls. It is a novelty that brought him Roberto Zapata, the most important collaborator of Jaime Durán Barba. Sociologist trained at the Complutense University of Madrid, Spanish, Zapata generally diagnoses with metaphors. The most recent: Argentina drowns in the middle of the river and there are those who want to save themselves by advancing to the shore, who will vote for Cambiemos, and those who try to return to the coast from where they are gone, who will vote for Kirchnerism. So much rhetoric fails to cover the dramatic figures. According to its own polls, only the suburbs of Buenos Aires, Macri, has lost since the last election of October 2017, when Esteban Bullrich defeated Cristina Kirchner with 600,000 votes. That's almost the exact amount for which he overtook Scioli in the ballot across the country in 2015.

Your campaign teams are counting on their recovery. The
discussion groups Zapata has exposed in this universe of disenchanted, most of whom belong to the middle clbad and reside in what we call "the source of the stations and 30 streets away", three concrete affirmations: the stability of trade, which begins to loosen of inflation and new infrastructure work. As orders are orders for the campaign, Casa Rosada will attempt to announce a grand opening every two weeks in the coming months, according to a schedule including, for example, four metrobuses in the province of Buenos Aires. This will be Calchaquí Avenue in Quilmes, Route 4 in La Matanza (Camino de Cintura), the second section of Tres de Febrero and the extension of Esteban Etcheverría. The way to cut the bands, including the federal capital, will be in segments: the Paseo del Bajo, for example, will have three laws for all three sections. The second tribute of Cambiemos al kirchnerismo after Essential Prices.

Zapata polls, which take place in Balcarce 412 offices, indicate that a smaller part of the 600,000 votes belongs to the lower clbad, a sector that is harder to listen to for its way of life: 80% of the poor do not leave the colony where he lives and is more within the reach of the local mayor. This is why Macrismo sees a disadvantage in neighborhoods like La Matanza, where coincide great poverty and municipal administration. "Verónica Magario has been working in the area for a long time," they say. Alejandro Finocchiaro, Minister of Education, who will designate himself for the quartermaster, still has to overcome a huge difference in polls.

None of this will be possible with new exchanges. Macri is the main concern of the latter, who recognizes that it will not depend so much on Kirchnerist's electoral offer, but on the international context. That's what makes it shudder every time the tension between the US and China intensifies and as investors flee emerging markets for safer badets. These are the ironies of his main global partner. Macri does not have Zapata's creativity, but he defines this fortuitous curse as "Trump's embrace": someone who supports him locally, but at the same time accidentally suffocates him. The storm is a tweet of the Republican leader because Argentina is fragile. And, therefore, unpredictable as the price of a surety, the question of a seven-year-old girl or the tear of an engineer.