Christianity unable to fly | Profile

You have to be very stupid to lose the election this year with $ 500 soybeans ”. The author of the crass sentence, an economist, confirms that there will be a donation of $ 10 billion for the harvest and, although there are three months left, prices tend to go up more than down (on guess the Chinese will increase shopping at the end of your Eastern New Year holidays).

The latest rains also guarantee higher-than-expected incomes and, “if it’s the economy, stupid” the electoral trail seems clear for the ruling party. As has been historic, optimal grain prices give stability and presidents an unexpected splendor: it happened to Carlos Menem, as well as to Néstor Kirchner. The reverse, of course, of Fernando de la Rúa. Simple equation: good international prices, good presidents; bad price, bad presidents. God or heaven are Peronists. And, even if producers pay less, 60% of their income will be wasted to solve inevitable costs: a policy of greater economic activity. Guzmán, of course, will have another version and Alberto will attribute the clinical eye to luck.

The economist who predicts the triumph is more convinced of the favorable fortune of the Fernández than of their financial diligence. Hence his criticism of the waste of time to change the date of the electoral calendar, the suspension of detainees, the demand of La Cámpora to occupy the national PJ and Buenos Aires, although the latter role – shared by Cristina, Alberto, Máximo, Kicillof and Massa – so far it’s a defeat: three months later Fernando Gray is still standing and the other members of Congress are not resigning. So much sectarian political ambition seems to be Nestor’s inventiveness with the testimonies of Buenos Aires: useless and negative fascination to increase his audience, failure. What can decide other results, it is the formidable incomes which are announced with the cereals, to which are added additional interventions to improve the artificial mood of the population: calm and backwardness of the dollar, a certain improvement of the level of life, rate controls, ceiling food prices, restriction of imports, more money in their pockets and, of course, a turn to popular disgust at the official treatment of the virus.

Another turn of the hazardous fortune that benefits the Fernández: when they least thought they could be saved with the Russian vaccine, it became a passport to happiness. The help of the harvest and the placebo so that “there is no lack of bread on the table” constitute bridges of limited duration, to reach the elections and not to get lost like “shakes”, according to the graphic expression of the ‘economist. And, as he points out himself, after this electoral stage, there will be a correction in the exchange rate, obvious devaluations, as in 2011, 2013, 2015, 2017 and 2019. Always on the same date, whatever government never fails. After the polls.

Cristina also repeats herself in these periods: she proposes in favor of dialogue, agreements, pacts, a certain benevolence with her rival, an attitude that she modifies because of the unbridled confrontation as soon as the elections close. It’s not bipolar disorder or female multiple personality disorder: it’s political opportunism. This was noticed in the respectful wake he organized in Congress for Carlos Menem during the week, whose pests he always spoke of and shared the horns with her husband as soon as he heard the Riojan’s name (although , on another occasion, they believed him the best president of Patagonia which sheltered them). On this occasion, before deciding on the death certificate, he asked a close friend: “What should I do with the protocol, be there, watch over it?” Slightly paws, the interlocutor replied, “Everything you think matches, what you feel.” Even Eduardo Menem, another of her hated ancestors, saved the ceremony she proposed, her discretion and also the separation of journalists so that the family could revoke him in peace and without distinction. Unlike their marriage in the province, where the men celebrated on the first floor and the women on the ground floor, Arab customs.

There’s another piece of information: Zulemita, whom she now distinguishes, could use her father’s last name in La Rioja to run for the ruling party. Alberto also became a smoothie with the stem. On that day, other peaceful encounters were lavished: Alberto greeted Duhalde, despite the fact that a few days before he had been reduced to a mere secretary to Nestor and had declared that he had never considered him as a chief of staff. No one knows what you think of him today, you better not ask. But the current president has avoided reproach, he owes him prosperous moments in his life, favors that he does not forget. He avoided meeting Pichetto, whom he began to hate despite the listener translating the stuttering scribbles Alberto and his boss gave him in defense of the 125 into a memorable speech. No thanks.

Of course, future income does not guarantee success. Cristina, con veno a favor, le hizo perder la Presidencia a Daniel Scioli –que piensa postularse otra vez in 2023, es más deportista que político– por falta de respaldo personal e imponerle laderos que la gente sospechó como policías de gestión (Carlos Zannini, for example).

Inescapable arrogance error in a leader. She now lives in uncertainty: she has improved traffic with Alberto but hopes for changes that he will not grant (from Losardo to Moroni, from the spokesperson to Cafiero, the environment of the favorites), his economic cast ( like MP Vallejos) turns out to be flyweight even before a docile and light Guzmán and, worst of all, she seems trapped with a multitude of legal schemes from which her supporters and supporters derive more profit than herself. On the contrary, they entrust it with the paternity of everything, the interest of empowering justice, while its various procedural situations are maintained and intensified.

His insatiable fans, on the other hand, get positions, promotions, build their structures. They claim to defend it against judges, prosecutors, chambers and the Court, but their cases remain complicated. There is even a lack of trained and respected transmitters, there is a lot of Christianity and no Cristina. A victim of his own isolation and whom Salamanca does not even lend a book to his representatives, he only has the protection of an election-friendly performance to hang on and attack in the next two years if he reaches his own quorum of deputies. A little more life to reach 70 years old with a little peace of mind. Oddly enough, the land and its international awards will be more useful than any other business. Gift from heaven.