Johns Hopkins University professor predicts when he thinks pandemic will end

Marty makary, professor and surgeon of Johns Hopkins University, admitted on Sunday that the incidence of the coronavirus has declined by up to 77% since January in the United States.

In this way, and in this scenario in which the pandemic would have “practically disappeared”, April would be the month when Americans could resume normal lifel.

“There are reasons to believe that the country is heading towards an extremely low level of infection“recognized Makary through an article published in the Wall Street Journal. “As more and more people are infected, most of whom have little or no symptoms, fewer Americans remain infected“Said the surgeon.

He also assured that after an estimated 28 million people have gone through the infectious disease, some herd immunity is built. Such immunity could develop further in the spring..

In this way, the population has not only benefited from the natural resistance obtained by the virus but also from the combined vaccination. This is how citizens are protected against new strains of coronavirus.

“When the chain of transmission of the virus has been broken in several places, it is more difficult for it to spread, and this includes new strains”he explained.

A South African strain has already been observed in 10 US states.

He went on to invoke the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic in connection with antibody testing, claiming that antibody studies “almost certainly underestimate natural immunity”.

“In 2008, 90 years later, it was discovered that the survivors of the 1918 Spanish flu had memory cells capable of producing neutralizing antibodiesMakary wrote.

Although cases in the United States have fallen by more than 40% in the past two weeks, deaths remain extraordinarily high, with more than 2,600 announced on Thursday alone. In the coming days, the country will likely reach 500,000 total deaths, according to a database of New York Times and Johns Hopkins University itself.

JFG / DS