Malvinas: Argentine government assesses termination of historic agreements with UK

The government of Alberto Fernandez evaluate during these hours to execute a coup d’etat with uncertain consequences: definitively cancel the bilateral advances signed over the past 30 years in the area of ​​diplomatic relations between the Argentina and the United Kingdom, link broken after the war of Falklands 1982 and rebuilt 8 years later.

The Kirchner administration – under the advice of the Ministry of External Relations– So I would aim to gain sympathy in a part of the population, especially in this elusive audience in which they are counted military, related nucleus of ex-combatants and nationalist sectors, of a greater sensitivity on the sovereignty of the islands.

Confirmed diplomatic sources Infobae that the government’s analysis would be to use the date of collection of Falklands April 2 to make the announcement. This is how the agreements of Madrid I and II (February 1990) by which diplomatic relations between the two countries resumed. Thanks to the two agreements, a continuous communication of consultation was established between Buenos Aires and London normalize the links and, above all, the situation of South atlantic. In addition to political and military issues, the pact also covered issues related to fisheries and other economic sectors, in order to avoid future disputes and conflicts.

For its part, the bilateral agreement signed on September 13, 2016 and says Foradori-Duncan -by the names of the former Argentine vice-chancellor Carlos Foradori and the Minister of State for Europe and the Americas of the Ministry of Foreign and Commonwealth Relations, Alan duncan– is also in the crosshairs of Fernandez and his closest advisers. That this intention sheet was issued during the management Mauricio Macri This will allow the Argentine government to print the decision with epic bias. In the Palacio San Martin they laugh softly: “They will repeal a Press release“.

However, near the Pink house they get excited: “The repeal of these agreements would justify him (the president) with the Argentines and, above all, with the Cause Malvinas. It is an administrative act that has major political repercussions for the world, for Argentinian soldiers and retirees, for veterans. Also, all the nationalist people would support him“.

In government offices, they believe that right now fighting with the UK is a good idea. To this strategy are added slights to United States, Chile, Brazil and Uruguay, and its growing proximity to Caracas. The last wink was the door slamming Lima group. According to official calculations, this move could strengthen identification with the hard wing of the ruling alliance to which would be added new sectors of society, at a time when there is evidence of a deep political crisis, lack of response to the pandemic, institutional weakening and alarming economic performance.

Already seen nacionalista

Among the arguments put forward by the retractors of the pact, we can cite that the document signed by the government of the time Mauricio Macri did not cross National congress and that the points discussed favor only the British position and that, for this reason, it should be repealed. Two of the voices most opposed to this deal are those of the former senator Black River Magdalena Odarda -the current president of the National Institute of Indigenous Affairs– who introduced a bill to repeal it in 2019 and Secretary of the Falklands, Antarctica and South Atlantic, Daniel Filmus.

In September of the same year 2019, Movies wrote an opinion column announcing what would be the basis of his work in the Chancellery: “We are convinced that in the next government, the Falklands issue will again be a state policy. Armed with this conviction, we Argentines will continue to claim through diplomatic and peaceful channels our sovereign rights over the Falklands, Georgia, the South Sandwich Islands and the surrounding maritime areas. The 21st century does not give rise to situations as anachronistic and unfair as colonialism“. The former education minister criticized the outgoing government for Macri submitted to the demands of the then Prime Minister Theresa May.

Andres Cisneros, one of the oldest diplomats in the Argentina, recalled Infobae how the agreements concluded with the Kingdom United during the first months of administration of Carlos Menem. At that time, he was vice-chancellor of Guido Di Tella. He also explained that thanks to these treaties, progress had been made in several areas, then exploded by the governments of Nestor and Cristina Kirchner and Macri.

Cisneros He pointed out that although there were no improvements in the petroleum sector due to the high production costs, there were achievements in the natural resources of the fishery. “In the fishery, we have done better and for a few years we have shared the resource fairly fairly. Then Kirchnerism came, the agreement ceased to apply and now the English take everything. The air link was a progress, then torpedoed by the Kirchner administrations and badly ended in the Macri era“.

For the career ambassador Roberto Garcia Moritan if this maneuver is confirmed, the “improvisation and lack of experience”In foreign matters of the current chancellery. “In these sensitive subjects like the Falklands, I prefer serenity. Such a complex relationship requires a moment of greater quiet, rather than stirring the waters and tearing it down is easier than building», Expressed in dialogue with Infobae.

Garcia Moritán considers that the termination of these agreements would not be appropriate, in particular those of Madrid. “Madrid I established the resumption of diplomatic and consular relations. Are diplomatic relations suspended?“He wondered. In addition, he was concerned that decision-making on international political issues could be marred by domestic issues.”It would be a shame to mix local issues with such important issuesHe warned.

“If now they end up cutting everything, those who will celebrate it are the English: their future entries on the continent will no longer have to go through Argentina but they will be able to fly and trade even more with any of our neighbors.», He said for his part Cisneros. For the old strongman of the San Martin Palace “This cancellation measure fits like a glove with the rest of an isolationist foreign policy, jingoist and demagogic. Everyone was waiting for him“.

Since Kingdom United, the potential measure of the current administration is seen as a already seen of the tragic decision taken by the former dictator Leopoldo Fortunato Galtieri, who ordered the invasion of the islands 39 years ago. “If the Argentine government repeals these agreements, it would represent a serious step backwards in relations between the two countries and for the possibilities of a possible agreement.“said to Infobae the experienced British diplomat Dudley Ankerson, who was a member of the diplomatic service of Kingdom United between 1976 to 2006.

“I guess President Fernández, under the influence of CFK (Cristina Fernández de Kirchner), will try to use the Falklands issue to distract the public from the problems of his government, like what Galtieri and the Council administration in 1982“The Ambassador noticed while enjoying his vacation. For Ankerson, “Argentina’s best hope of achieving long-term sovereignty over the islands would be to win the goodwill of the islanders. It always has been“. However, the strategy of House Pink at present it would be based on more hostile roads towards its inhabitants.

Madrid agreements

“From time immemorial, every country that loses a war begins its recovery by trying to restore the situation that preceded it. (Raúl) Alfonsín did not end the state of war and we started by declaring it, again maintaining diplomatic relations with the United Kingdom”, Indicated Cisneros by taking stock of this era of foreign strategy.

Cisneros He recalled that at that time – as today – many protagonists of Argentine political life “they continued to beat the patch of the chauvinism and the demagoguery which has never led to anything other than the deception of the people“.

“Our vision was to reach a final settlement with the British more quickly, mutually satisfactory, if instead of insulting each other, we embarked on cooperative tasks that would show the world a different attitude than Galtieri’s and allow us to ‘pave the way for this definitive solution.», He stressed. “The agreements which now threatened to be canceled were an attempt in this direction. Were they perfect? No. Could we have done more? Maybe, but we don’t get much after a war started by ourselves and on top of that we’ve lost“He added.

Today, these advances are close to being boosted by a new economic speculation. The chancellery which directs Felipe Alone seeks to show an “achievement” on the international scene with a maneuver that would deteriorate relations with the United Kingdom. Terminate agreements Madrid would leave the country on the verge of a diplomatic break with London. Repeal a press release, a tribute to the theater of the absurd. The original diplomatic heterodoxy of the government of Alberto Fernandez could lead to a final push towards final isolation at which the Argentina.

Twitter: @TotiPI

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