A renewal and dangerous we go for everything, with an uncertain end

Because that breath of air in a body exhausted and still moved by the shocking defeat he had endured thirteen days ago, what sigh lasted. He reached to light smiles and expectations in the Pink house, which were shared at the Monday cabinet meeting, the last one that was lived without the anxiety that characterized the following days.

In the Pink the change of spirit has ignited the campaign spirit, where many have equated the fact that the starting point could be the march of adherence to the government experienced the previous Saturday. This has also been understood by the sectors of the Before everyone, they warn near the President who interpreted then that it is not appropriate to make a truce. It was the feeling that prevailed the same afternoon when the same Alberto Fernandez decided to participate in the meeting of the technicians of the Front of all with representatives of the Monetary Fund in which they delivered a speech away from the moderation that had taken care to present the most voted candidate of the STEP a few days earlier in his presentation to the MALBA, where he shared the poster with Mauricio Macri.

It's not just the very tough statement of In front of all presented to him MFIs Lack the truth; this may be debated, but the authors knew very well that the markets would still be shaking the next day, alerting them to doubts about the possibility that the last installment of the Fund would correspond to what had been agreed with the Council. . government of Macri It really takes shape. In fact, in the middle of the week, it was badumed that the $ 5.4 billion would arrive in Argentina in November, well defined and who would own the president from December 10. Today, in the light of events, this is also questioned.

The government reacted with the measures announced by Hernán Lacunza Tuesday, which, among other things, undermine the opposition by giving voice to the position of The Congress participate in what is solved around the debt. This was the internal and external objective of this part of the announcement, which found for a few hours the collaborative silence of Alberto Fernandez, Special request of the Minister of Finance in a telephone call.

But this commitment did not last long either, because on Friday the candidate Kirchner made it clear that the opposition would not support the party. "Reperfilation" debt. It was certainly the most important of his statements to the influencer The Wall Street Journalbut what struck the most was the categorization of "virtual defect" that the candidate has announced and awarded to Macri and IMF. After such expressions, of which Fernández might well presume the consequences, there is very little room for what can be agreed between the government and the main opposition.

Since In front of all they approve the President continue to campaign and not respect his obligation to govern in the context of such a crisis. But on the pavement opposite, it is recalled that the government can not announce a total claudication like the one he dreamed since Kirchnerism, because it would complete the picture of "emptiness of power", precipitating things dramatically.

"The best the president can do to preserve governance is to remain competitive, as far as reality allows," a media official said late last week. decreases

They interpret in the Casa Rosada the most Taliban of the opposition, with which Fernandez himself must take care to maintain the fragile internal balance within the framework of a force as diverse as the one he leads by his side. CFK -the owner of the votes-, they want a capitulation of Together for changeor a chaotic outcome of the crisis that may allow them to stay even in districts where the ruling party can still resist.

In a kind of renewed "let's go for everything", the target is the major municipalities where the FdT was unthinkably imposed during the August elections and whose mayors will seek to stay alive with the resources they have and can even use the ballot box.

But beyond that, the main goal is the province of Mendoza, where the vote of 29 September was voted and the candidate Anabel Fernández Sagasti seeks to take advantage of the effect Alberto Fernandez, who won there surprisingly on August 11; and the jackpot: the city of Buenos Aires. There, not counting the blank votes, as will be the case in October, Horacio Rodríguez Larreta 50% would pbad and win without a ballot if you repeat the results of the STEP but a disaster scenario would encourage the unthinkable. The hard campaign of Kirchnerism encourages beats PRO in his cradle neighborhood, so as to "definitively liquidate the macrismo".

Somehow expressed yesterday Cristina Kirchner in a new presentation of his book "Sincerely". In front of a crowd convened in the faculty journalism of La Plata, calls for a "never again that" for "these neoliberal recipes that put people in the head for the thirteenth time".

The October campaign, which has not even started yet, will depend on what is happening in the markets. The government knows this, it has rejected some of the solutions proposed to deal with the crisis, but nothing is definitive. As it is proved that it is a "daily", the possibility of finally applying measures removed a priori is more and more concrete. It's like putting some sort of control over the availability of access to dollars. "No to deposits", clarify the economists consulted. Limit the buying and selling of foreign currency and force the sale of dollars to those who produce them, which are the exporters. The fact that these measures transcend expectations only encourages the possibility of finally adopting them.

For the moment, the Argentine bonds and the country risk will have a day of peace on Monday because it is a holiday in the United States, but for Tuesday the consequences of the decision of the Fitch Consultant, which has placed Argentina in the category of "restrictive defects".

The project that the government will send to The Congress It should have been presented on Friday, but it was postponed until tomorrow to finalize its details. minister Lacunza will be presented Wednesday at Bicameral debt chair the very critical Jose Mayans, however, he behaves very responsibly each time he has to manage an event in which an official participates. Can report it Luis Caputo for his memorable pbadage through this commission, at that time he was incredulous Gabriela Cerruti. About, "Toto" Caputo he was again consulted by the national government during the urgency of these days and that, within this framework, he returned to the Pink house, where he was seen playing in an argument with Miguel Angel Pichettowhich, since the opposition, has been particularly critical of the extra-ordinary management of the central bank

Lacunza the weekend was spent finalizing the details of the project, for which he hopes to have the agreement of the opposition, which, we said, anticipates already more than complicated. However, the legislative sources consulted in this way admitted that what really interests the government is the DNU Thursday, which establishes a new payment schedule for short-term debt securities (Letes, Lecaps, Lelink and Lecer), which should be discussed at Bicameral legislative procedure. The government does not want the opposition to make this decree, which involves the current leadership.

The bill concerns medium and long term bonds. "If the law does not come out, it is not the death of anyone", said an elevated legislative source baderting the opposition 's hostility towards this initiative which, in summary, would not put the ammeter back to the government, even if it' s not the same. he obviously wanted speedy processing and the corresponding approval. However, they imagine that the problem will give rise to a "staged" by the opposition, which will benefit from a string of criticisms to carry out a full campaign against the government for the management of its debt.

IN ADDITION:

"Difficult situation": businessmen asked for a dialogue and agreements between Macri and Alberto Fernández

Cristina Kirchner: "Macri did what businessmen wanted"