A survey measured the electoral impact of Alberto Fernández, Axel Kicillof and Horacio Rodríguez Larreta in the province

Nail new survey election in the Province of Buenos Aires evaluated in a particular way the path of the legislative elections of 2021: it measured the impact that the figures of Alberto Fernandez, Axel Kicillof Yes Horacio Rodríguez Larreta. They are the leaders most publicly exposed during the pandemic. To what extent would the support of the president, governor and / or head of government influence candidates in the country’s main district? And how many “anti” votes could he generate? First conclusion: even with the fall of your image that you feel months ago, Fernandez wins on the rest.

The study that raised this scenario and that moves forward Bugle this monday is Reale Dallatorre Consultores (GDR), a pioneering company in measurement via social networks. This is a Buenos Aires investigation of 1,200 cases, between January 20 and 23.

The first part of the report ends at “social climate”, in particular with the debate on face-to-face lessons. Here are some of its main findings:

– “There is a cracked opinion on the effectiveness of the learning experience with virtual classrooms. 52% consider it a new way of learning vs. 46% who define it as a disaster for education ”.

– “The segment of low level of education is the one who manifests the higher degree of non-compliance with virtual lessons. Only 36.9% rate them in positive terms. “

– “The 24% of people consulted with children at school admitted that one or more of your guys has stopped connecting to virtual classes “.

– “62.1% said dissatisfied with the level of learning that their children have received through virtual education ”.

– “More than 73% of respondents are depending on return to class, with the corresponding protocols. The return mode finds disparate positions. “

– “The reluctance of teachers’ unions with regard to the return to face-to-face lessons for lack of health guarantees, it has collected 51% of membership ”.

– “The study data also reveals a growing pessimism about the economic situation of the country for the end of the year. 65.2% believe the economy will be just as bad or worse. “

Then, the investigation advances in the “political climate” – still in the region of Buenos Aires – and concludes:

– “The classification of images leaders (national and provincial), classified by differential (between positive and negative), conducts Horacio Rodríguez Larreta (+ 10.5%). Alberto Fernández (+8) and Facundo Manes (+7) complete the podium “.

– “The direction of Alberto Fernández he is more appreciated by the inhabitants of Buenos Aires than Axel Kicillof. 48.6% approve that of Fernández, against 39% who adhere to that of Kicillof.

Then the investigation advances on the Buenos Aires electoral question. And in a virtual ranking, the president could be located first, then the head of government, and finally the governor. RDT assessed “the intention to vote for the government against the opposition”.

He specifically asked if he would choose a candidate “backed” by Fernández, Larreta and Kicillof; or “opposing” to these same three leaders.

– In the case of President, a supported candidate for him I would have 43% against 42.2% of an opponent of his own.

– In the case of head of government, he also ended up with his favor, but 37.6% a 35.8%.

– While the lowest rated was the governor, which was left with a red differential: 36.7% would choose a candidate supported by him, while 43% would choose one who is against him.

– In all cases, finished the undecided (“He does not know”).

The report sums it up as follows:

– “According to the survey data, it appears that despite the high levels of pessimism observed around the economic situation, Alberto Fernández emerges as the most competitive figure in electoral terms in the province of Buenos Aires “.

– “A candidate supported by the President would get 6.3 more points than that held by Governor Kicillof. Yes would win by more than 5 points, above the one promoted by Horacio Rodríguez Larreta “.

– “However, there is still a average 20% undecided. The definition of this portion of the electorate will surely depend on the crystallization of the electoral offer of the candidates. “