Argentina, since Monday, a different country



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The more moderate Peronism celebrates the idea of ​​an internal change of Kirchnerism that should certainly come from Alberto F., but at the same time warns: "Magical realism does not mean with the economy."

What do they want to say? No one disputes today whether or not there will be restrictions on the foreign exchange market (shares); Today's dilemma only concerns the dimension they will have. And this is not a secret because Cristina de Kirchner herself described it as a virtue in her act in El Calafate: Would you like to take the dollars out of the country? Control of change becomes a virtue when we have had it so far as a bitter remedy.

Macri ended up putting in his stocks, although little, the level of reserves indicates that the current hemorrhage could end in an even more serious scenario. An important stock is coming, and activity with the ticket these days if you do not anticipate it will surely precipitate it.

A discussion is also expected between all sectors on the distribution of income contained during these years. It will be necessary to closely examine the operation of a restricted foreign exchange market, in accordance with a policy of price agreements, while analyzing inflation with the average of parity.

Yesterday, Alberto Fernández did not help much by appealing to one of those unfortunate sentences that usually appear (without being understood as) at the heart of the Argentine crises; "For the Argentineans, that they are calm because we will take care of their savings, we will respect their deposits in dollars. They do not have to be nervous, "he was heard yesterday. (See separate note).

Politics can help situations like the one we live in; The problem is whether this support will be enough. Radicalism is in campaign with Macri, but some of these co-religionists have already sent messages to Alberto F. to offer him parliamentary assistance during the transition. One of them was Federico Storani. Emilio Monzó is also willing to lend a helping hand. The rest is all to discuss next week, but a new transversality seems to be born, like that woven by Néstor Kirchner and Alberto F. himself, with other radicals of the time.

Alberto F.'s trip to Mexico and the United States is not confirmed. although if it is spoken and bondholders and banks who only want to close the renegotiation of the debt with the least possible withdrawal (a month ago, they did not accept any and already speak already d & # 39; A stronger interest), they would receive it with open arms. Kristalina Georgieva will also be waiting there and, as the Fund has always said, will promise to negotiate debts flexibly with the bondholders, but she will not tolerate her getting into debt herself. And here the recipes will come back.

Opposite, there is another country. Cristina de Kirchner spoke yesterday about the crisis with Chile on the scene of the Buenos Aires campaign. The fall of the Chilean model as a virtuous example in the midst of the instability of Latin America may have been one of the greatest dangers facing governments in the region. Also for Alberto F., to whom the requests will be multiplied.

The former president who sees the end of the "prolixity" Chilean economic as a triumph does not think the same thing. This is what some of the guests who have been tempted to travel to Buenos Aires think of during the Peronist triumph celebrations such as Dilma Rousseff, Fernando Lugo, the Chilean Ominamis, and even José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero. This is another Argentina, obviously, that will rise on Monday.

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