Biden, after the triumph in the USA: “I feel honored”

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Biden, 77, “is going to change some things, but not all; he will certainly give importance to multilateral organizations,” Patricio Navia, professor at New York University and Diego Portales University in the United States, told Telam. Chile.

“He’s coming back to the Paris agreement and probably also to the pact with Iran, or at least he’s going to sit down to talk with the historical allies of the United States,” said the sociologist and political scientist.

Under the Trump administration, the United States formally withdrew from the Paris Agreement on climate change, signed by 195 countries in New York on April 22, 2016, the final phase of which came into effect on November 5.

Navia also said that “in other dimensions things will change less” and predicted that “the tension with China will continue, even if the conflict will be channeled through more institutional channels. Nothing will be rosy.”

“As far as Cuba is concerned, there will be progress, but only in exchange for helping and facilitating Havana relations so that Venezuela can make substantial progress towards greater democracy,” he said. he declares.

Antecedent

Under the Obama administration, the United States resumed diplomatic relations with the Caribbean country on July 20, 2015, and in March 2016, the former president visited the Cuban capital.

In contrast, Juan Battaleme, professor of international relations at the University of Buenos Aires said that “Biden is going to have a much less confrontational foreign policy from a discursive point of view.”

The analyst wondered “what is the margin for the American situation to change with China or with Russia?” And the answer was that “it is very little, in essence, because the three countries are part of a structural competition”.

“So we have to look at it from the point of view that Biden has a worse relationship with Moscow, but a little better with Beijing in terms of business dynamics,” he said.

On security, the analyst said Trump “has done a lot of things right” and that Biden will have to push, such as “renegotiating agreements on the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, in which neither China nor the United States. India and Pakistan are not among them. “

“Biden, moreover, is going to have to lead economic reconstruction and stop the coronavirus pandemic, in which discussion arises over whether or not to shut down the United States; but the country is divided,” Battaleme said.

The analyst said that with Biden there is probably “more room for multilateralism, but not necessarily more room for a North American leader, since the United States is not going to sit at the center of the debate. table, but rather a “primus inter pares” (the first among equals) “.

“Today, American leadership is less accepted,” Battaleme said.

Biden will also face the delicate conflict with North Korea over its ambitious nuclear program.

During his presidency, Trump met three times with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un in Singapore on June 12, 2018; in Vietnam, on February 27, 2019, and in the demilitarized zone of the two Koreas, on June 30 of the same year.

“With Biden, there will be no more presidential diplomacy or personal letters, no closed-door summits with Kim,” said Florencia Grieco, author of the book “In North Korea. Journey to the Last Communist Dynasty.”

The analyst pointed out that with the Democratic president, “there will likely be a return to the more traditional policy of supporting allies and traditional diplomacy, very resentful towards Trump.

Certainly, Biden will put “a lot more emphasis on international sanctions and the human rights situation in North Korea, which Trump is missing,” Grieco said.