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(Special Envoy to Brasilia) During a visit to Israel, Jair Bolsonaro He monitored the political and personal situation of the Acting President of Venezuela, Juan Guaidówho is stuck by Nicolás Maduro and the federal justice of the populist regime. Bolsonaro supports the democratic transition in Venezuela and will carry out the diplomatic movements necessary to prevent Maduro from illegally locking Guaidó. In this context, the President of Brazil do not exclude to go to the OAS, to the UN and to the group of Lima, if Guaidó is stopped by Maduro for the political purpose of beheading the Venezuelan opposition.
Maduro reduced the siege to Guaidó, a moving target of the populist regime. He has no more parliamentary privileges and his family and his main collaborators are persecuted and imprisoned by the Venezuelan intelligence services. A few days ago, without reason and by force, he was arrested Roberto Marrero, Chef Guaidó and personal friend of the family.
"I want it to be clear that the Bolivarian and revolutionary Venezuelan government will not stir up to fight terrorist groups and incarcerate them," said Maduro, referring to Marrero, who denounced before his capture that the intelligence services had been detained planted weapons and grenades to justify their official accusation of "terrorist".
Bolsonaro is not alone in the diplomatic protection of Guaidó. At their side they line up Mauricio Macri, Sebastián Piñera and Iván Duque, among other Latin American leaders. At these times, without light or water, Venezuela is a chaos and the official worry is that Maduro takes advantage of this situation to fall on Guaidó and stop it without any motive or proof.
The Presidents of Brazil, Argentina, Chile and Colombia have already agreed to activate the Lima Group and to move forward with the OAS and the United States. UN, if the populist regime ended up capturing the interim president of Venezuela. Donald Trump badured at the White House that "all options are on the table", at a meeting that he had with Fabiana Rosales, wife of Guaidó. This implies that the President of the United States does not rule out a military invasion aimed at ending Maduro and his government.
The rejection of the invasion by Brazil
Despite Trump's position and Bolsonaro's geopolitical proximity to Washington, this was explained yesterday in the Plbadto Infobae that Brazil will not support a US military incursion, even if Guaidó was illegally imprisoned. Macri, Piñera and Duque are in the same situation: these leaders of the Lima group reject the invasion strategy as a shortcut to overthrow Maduro and his regime.
In recent hours, Guaidó has maintained informal contacts with the diplomats of Brazil, Argentina and Colombia.and he badured that he would not back down an inch in front of the pressure of Maduro and his intelligence services. The acting president has changed his tactics regarding his international agenda and has decided to send his wife Rosales explain what is happening in Venezuela. This was the case when the Prosur in Santiago de Chile and in the bilateral Rosales had with Trump in the oval hall.
Bolsonaro, Macri, Piñera and Duque show their political will to protect Guaidó, but Maduro still manages the territory, the armed forces, the intelligence services and the self-defense groups, in addition to receiving the explicit support of China, Russia and Cuba. The regime's leader knows his tactical advantage and uses it to demonstrate every day that he is still exercising the power of Caracas.
Faced with this complex geopolitical scenario, the Plbadto said yesterday that "the only way is the diplomatic one" and the level of the United Nations Security Council, where the United States, Britain, France, Russia and the United States China have the unique ability to veto. Without these players sitting to negotiate, the more the contribution Grupo Lima should formalize, the situation in Venezuela will only worsen over time.
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