Brexit returns early: Premier May agrees to vote for the third time – 15/03/2019

If Theresa May enters history, it is mainly because of her obstinacy. He decided to resubmit his plan for Brexit Tuesday in the House of Commons, which has already been defeated twice by lawmakers. Until now, it is the only existing plan, officially approved by the EU but rejected several times by the Parliament. It proposes a transition until 2021, during which a trade agreement can be negotiated.

If this happened miraculously, she would only ask for a brief extension of Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty relied on for divorce. If he again loses the "meaningful vote", he will put an end to the patience of Europeans who might even demand that the Brexit leave him or bury him, as he can not continue to dominate the program. # 39; EU.

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With an imploded government, the ministers who voted against the government's proposal to extend Brexit and Labor backed the amendment to extend the divorce until June 30 have begun another stubborn adventure. He wants to convince the Protestant Democratic Unionists of Northern Ireland (DUP) – who usually give him the majority but vote against the same plan he is going to present – to support him.

Discussions are taking place this Friday in government offices and will continue over the weekend. The May bid is the role that will be played today by the dissolved Northern Ireland Assembly if Irish guarantees or "palettes" that concern the DUP are used. Trade unionists want a veto over them in the face of any regulatory difference.

But politics is a commitment and compensation. Chancellor (Minister) Finance, Philip Hammond, meets the DUP to see what legal guarantees it can offer the Protestant party. A "working group" of ministers is included in this effort to convince the most radical and antediluvian party of the Irish parties. The Attorney General, Geoffrey Corx, is studying whether Britain can free itself from the "backs" or guarantees provided by the Vienna Convention. Although the House of Commons voted overwhelmingly to extend Article 50 until June 30th yesterday and postpone Brexit, all options and nightmares are open. From a Norwegian model, an exit without agreement decided brutally by Europe, to an extension conditioned to a Soft Brexit, with a single market and customs union included, and the requirement of a second referendum, as confirmed by European diplomatic sources in Clarín.

Europe is demanding from May the lifting of its "red lines" if it is necessary to extend Article 50. A plan including the adoption of its agreement on Brexit but accompanied by a declaration providing for a permanent customs union with the EU The work supports this possibility. Many conservatives want a flexible Brexit, but are worried about the free movement of Europeans, which involves being part of the customs union.

The other big question is the second referendum, which was overwhelmingly rejected Thursday night in the House of Commons. Europe requires it if it wants to approve the extension and that the EU president, Donald Tusk, is the first activist of a second vote in Britain. That's why he supports the extension of section 50 to at least a year.

The fact is that there are several types of referendums. Citizens can be asked if they approve of the May agreement. But you can also offer them the three options of consultation: an agreement, a non-agreement or a follow-up in Europe or simply a first referendum: go or stay. It is the parliamentarians who must decide this issue and it must be approved by the Electoral Commission.

May fiercely opposes the referendum, which is supported by a hundred members of the Labor Party, Conservatives and the new independent parliamentary group. Although there is no majority now for a second referendum, the idea could come back as an amendment if the Brexit is "on the precipice" for parliamentarians. But you can not exclude an unopposed agreement and a "hard Brexit" at the end of this route. The only way to prevent the UK from leaving without an agreement on March 29 is that Europe grants an extension to Article 50. It does not have it yet. This will be decided on March 21st, at the summit of European heads of state. This is the abrupt departure that Brexiters are looking for.

May only fall with a vote of confidence. The alternative is to be replaced by another Conservative candidate or to hold general elections, as Labor Party leader Jeremy Corbyn wants. But today, there are "national interests" that make legislators hesitate to make this decision, which would normally have been the only one possible. There is another possibility at the table. For Britain to repeal Article 50, buries the Brexit and avoids an exit without agreement. For this you do not need an authorization from the European Union. The Prime Minister will attend the EU summit, where she will formally request the postponement of Brexit. But the British have the impression of losing control of their own destiny and plunging into a crisis that no one knows where ends.