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Page 12 in Great Britain
From London
Hundreds of thousands of people took to the streets this Saturday in major British cities during the first phase of a civil disobedience campaign against the central government's strategy to prevent MPs from blocking the "Hard Brexit" : the exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union (EU) October 31 without agreement. But is it possible to avoid the "Hard Brexit", the exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union (EU) October 31 without agreement?
One of the groups in this ad hoc coalition was formed after the announcement Wednesday by the prime minister that mobilization is the first step to save British democracy. "Boris Johnson wants to close our democracy to carry out his Brexit program. We can not wait for the parliament or the courts to avoid it, "said the group" Stop the coup d'état, the defense of democracy "(Stop the coup d'etat, to the defense of democracy)
The protest was supported by opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn. "The indignation of public opinion over Boris Johnson's decision to close our democracy is enormous. People have the right to go out and reverse this process, "said Corbyn. According to Laura Parker, national coordinator of Momentum, a group of young corbynists, the campaign of civil disobedience aims to take to the streets and, if necessary, to "close." "We have a millionaire Prime Minister who has not been elected by the people and who does not hesitate to take advantage of the weaknesses of our democracy to promote a Brexit facilitating the conclusion of a treaty with Donald Trump and the end of our national health system. American private interests, "said Parker.
The government is shaken by the rejection caused by its decision to suspend parliament on Wednesday, but is apparently determined to make every effort to have the UK leave the EU on 31 October. Johnson has been rehearsing since his badumption late July with some repeated formulas until exhaustion – "we will leave with or without agreement, let's do or die (whatever the cost)" – but also with the force of facts. The suspension of parliament in a country that prides itself on being the cradle of parliamentarism and the formation of a government uniting the most radical members of the Brexit-friendly groups are obvious signs that the "do or die" it's not a simple statement.
Time is on your side. In two months, the United Kingdom will leave in accordance with the current law of the European bloc. Is there a chance to avoid it? The civil disobedience movement has a powerful backdrop against Margaret Thatcher's disastrous Poll Tax, which led to an erosion of the Iron Lady government, but between the first demonstration and its downfall, eight months are gone.
The parliamentary route would seem the most appropriate to curb the government's plans. In the House of Commons, Boris Johnson has a majority of one MP thanks to the support of the 10 members of the reactionary and pro-Brexit DUP from Northern Ireland. Last Tuesday, the opposition reached a unanimous agreement to "legislate quickly" to prevent an exit without agreement. The opposition's plan is to invoke an emergency debate based on the so-called Standing Order 24 of the Parliamentary Rules. This order must be authorized by the Speaker of Parliament, the Conservative John Bercow, who has already described the suspension of parliament as a "scandal".
The opposition has already drafted the law that will be pbaded if Bercow authorizes the Order, 24 but his approval will largely depend on the fact that some 40 Conservative MPs dare to vote against their own government. The suspension of the Parliament hardened the position of many of them and decided some who were not entirely convinced. A similar initiative was approved in March in 3 days to extend the deadline, which was March 31. But the political situation has changed.
Johnson made it clear that he was ready to burn the ships. The House of Commons is facing a very likely defeat, but the bill must go through the House of Lords, where it is expected that the Conservatives will call on the so – called Filibusterismo, a mechanism to delay or block the government. progress of an initiative. kind of dilatory tactics.
The narrow term favors this tactic: September 10 will end the parliamentary year. In practice, all invoices not approved by this date will have to be restarted from October 14th.
If this legislative path does not come in or is very cumbersome, there is a second way to avoid a "hard Brexit": file a no-confidence motion with the Johnson government. This option is more complicated than the previous one because many conservatives want to avoid the tilde of traitors who could vote for the demotion of their own government. This is not the only difficulty. Assuming this succeeds, the opposition would be given 14 days to form a national unity government with the support of a majority of parliament.
The opposition has agreed that the government's only goal would be to extend the European bloc's date of departure and to hold elections, but there is no consensus as to who would lead it. The corbynists say that he should be the leader of the opposition, Jeremy Corbyn. Scottish nationalists and Welsh autonomists are willing to favor this option of negotiation. The Liberal Democrats, on the other hand, propose a moderate figure for consensus, whether it be Labor or Conservative, while most Conservatives have made it clear that they will never support a government with Prime Minister Corbyn. which is probably also happening with some Labor. right or center.
As the UK does not have a written constitution and, in this case, there is no unambiguous precedent, everything will depend on the political flexibility of the protagonists and the desperate desire to prevent a Brexit to grant without agreement. To which is added another factor. During the two week period that opens if the censure motion is successful, Johnson would remain prime minister. It would be scandalous, but there is nothing to prevent theoretically setting a date for the general elections after leaving the EU.
Meanwhile, at the judicial level, parallel legal actions have been initiated in London, Edinburgh and Belfast to cancel the suspension of parliament. Tuesday, crucial day in the streets and the parliament, the Edinburgh court will give its verdict, Belfast will do it during the week and the appeal to the High Court of London has not yet taken place. In the midst of all this dizziness, it is clear that the United Kingdom has entered the most convulsive period since the months leading up to the war against Iraq in 2003.
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