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As the date of the second expected meeting between US President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-a approaches, speculation about a possible deal to settle one of the largest outstanding accounts of the twentieth century: the signing of a peace treaty between the two countries for the war that ended in 1953.
The declaration of peace, which would end the state of war and permanent tension on the Korean peninsula, is one of Pyongyang's most wanted goals and could be achieved in exchange for a genuine commitment to the denuclearization of the country, a Washington goal, according to Eric Talmadge, head of the agency's office in North Korea . AP. He had already been speculated on his possible signing at the 2018 summit in Singapore between the two leaders, although this did not happen.
The Korean peninsula, occupied for decades by the Japanese empire, it was divided by the 38th parallel after the Second World War (1939-1945), with a north under the influence of the Soviet Union and a south under the wing of the United States.
In those years, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea was proclaimed, with a capital in Pyongyang and ruled by Kim Jong-un's grandfather, and the Republic of Korea with a capital city in Seoul.
In 1950, Northern Communist troops crossed the 38th parallel and invaded the south in order to unify the country under the command of Pyongyang. The United States and a coalition under the auspices of the United Nations mobilized to defend the Republic of Korea, while the Soviet Union provided political and logistical support to the north and south. China has even sent troops to help the Democratic People's Republic.
After the comings and goings, In 1953, the front stagnates precisely around the 38th parallel and an armistice puts an end to the violent fights. But a peace treaty has never been signed and the border has been militarized, with both armies always ready to resume hostilities when needed.
Reach this declaration today would help reduce tensions, demobilize troops, including those that the United States maintains in the south, and open the border to trade, while North Korea is trying to improve the poor living conditions of its citizens by transferring resources from its armed forces to the economy.
seriousalso a symbolic triumph for both countries, and for the narrow communist regime of Kim Jong-aIt would contribute to its rehabilitation in the international community after decades of human rights violations, widespread repression of protest and development of weapons of mbad destruction.
However, that would not be a decision of the United States and North Korea. China and South Korea should also be signatories to a treaty of this nature, and although Seoul seems to want, it is difficult to anticipate Beijing's position in the face of a trade war with Washington.
In his recent speech on the state of the Union before the US Congress, Trump did not mention this time the "denuclearization" of North Korea, but Yes, he spoke of a "historic effort for peace on the Korean peninsula" and pointed out that since the previous summit with Kim in Singapore, the North Korean regime has not proceeded to nuclear or missile tests.as he released American prisoners and repatriated the remains of those killed during the Korean War.
However, the commitments made were limited and there was no agreement between the meaning of the "denuclearization" proclaimed by the two. For North Korea, this means the withdrawal of all nuclear weapons from the peninsula, including those deployed by Washington. For the United States, this seems to mean that the regime has its atomic arsenal recently realized in hiding and before the rejection of the international community and that it dismantles its nuclear complex.
Conditions seem to be again given for achieve the long-awaited peace treaty and deliver on nuclear disarmament commitments in the region. But a recent historical context warns of the difficulty and fragility of these negotiations.
In 1993, when North Korea suffered between famines and the decline of the recent downfall of its main ally, the Soviet Union, Bill Clinton, then president of the United States, went to the Hermetic regime and managed to sign with Kim Jong-il, father of the incumbent president, an agreement "aimed at bringing peace and security to a peninsula Korean without nuclear weapons ". Even in 2000, diplomatic offices were opened in Washington and Pyongyang for the purpose of restoring relations.
But with the arrival of George Bush in the White House, North Korea returned to "the axis of evil", the agreements quickly failed and in 2006, the regime was already testing its first nuclear weapon, germ of the current crisis, that Trump and Kim are now facing.
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