Elections in Spain: the legitimization of socialism and Pedro Sanchez at its head – 28/04/2019

There are few doubts: Pedro Sánchez will continue to La Moncloa. After ten months of a government that has pbaded through the window – the fruit of a motion of censure against former President Mariano Rajoy – these early elections that he had to convene himself when he ruled with only 84 deputies turned him into a hell. legitimized as the most voted candidate by the Spaniards.

This great concern for his self-esteem, however, does not guarantee him to govern alone and under the sign of socialism. Its main partners, the United We Can of Pablo Iglesias, which did not shine in an election in which he lost seats – 71 out of 42 – will give the gap: last May, they supported the motion of censure of Pedro Sánchez and agreed to not to be part of the government But this time, Iglesias will not add his purple votes in exchange for a "thank you": yes, he will push to support Sánchez in exchange for entering into a government that would be a coalition and with the ministries to distribute.

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The novelty is that, to complete the 176 deputies involved in achieving the majority, the Socialist Party can add other political forces such as the Basque Nationalist Party and other minorities, but it could do so without having to negotiate with Catalan separatists who have so many headaches. provoked within ten months of his first administration of the government.

The biggest impact of these elections, however, is the debacle of the forces that make up the block on the right. Fragmented and emaciated, the Spanish right has been broken. He imploded by the irruption as disturbing as destabilizing Vox the party of the far right Santiago Abascal, former PP who played this April 28 for the first time in the big leagues.

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Pablo Casado, the PP leader who debuted in these elections as a presidential candidate, saw the collapse of the party that historically ran the conservative space. His hand drowning at the end of the campaign, when he proposed to Vox to enter the eventual government that he would direct, was his conviction. "Absorb Citizens and Vox", Casado had confessed that it was his final intention.

Ciudadanos, the neoliberal party created by Albert Rivera in 2006 to run the center of Spanish politics, lost his lucidity when he tried to challenge Casado as leader of the right. This movement of Rivera, leaving the center, left a free ground to socialism to sow and reap votes.

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At a time when nationalisms are gaining ground on several continents, the Spanish right has to reinvent itself. The Spaniards are not, ideologically, a public as radical as Casado thought to absorb his fiery diatribes. The Spanish society is more moderate and allowed Casado, Sunday night, to verify that his experience had failed. This Vox mobilized the vote, but against the right. "For this, Vox served," they lamented in a low voice at the headquarters of the PP.

Vox, however, appears stronger and emotionally more complete than his partners. He will have more than thirty seats. Nothing regrettable for a coup to send to the Congress of Deputies.

In Catalonia, the winners of these elections are Esquerra Republicana de Cataluña, the party of former Vice President Oriol Junqueras, in pre-trial detention since 2017 and prosecuted to this day by the Supreme Court for having participated in the process. ;independence. His former partner in the declaration of independence of Catalonia, the former president Carles Puigdemont -Spain and refugee in Belgium-, he was the big loser of the independence movement. Esquerra leads from prison.

In the non-nationalist bloc, the Catalan Socialist Party won more votes than the PP, Ciudadanos and Vox combined. This is not a detail: it testifies to the moderation sought by the non-independentist population, given the threat of a permanent intervention proposed by Citizens and the groom's party: the application, no date expiry, Article 155 of the Constitution.

People wanted to vote this Sunday. The participation of more than 70% of the voters list in elections where the vote is not mandatory was also a thermal factor of the popular desire to participate in incunabula, unique elections.

"If we did all this with 84 deputies, can you imagine what we can do if you give us your trust?", Said the campaign spot of Pedro Sánchez. At midnight this Sunday everything indicated that the Spaniards had trusted him.