Elections in the United States: Hispanic minorities …

Hispanic and black minorities they can explain the election result in America like never before. Perhaps the busiest for over a century. The categorical dimension that the numbers have or not – the polls predict in favor of Joe Biden – would be given by the participation of these two groups in the elections. For the first time in history, the Hispanic community, that umbrella term that encompasses a common language or culture, overtook the African American community in voting for the president. Between the two they border the 26 percent of the electorate, with a slight advantage, quantifiable in decimals, for the Mexicans, Puerto Ricans, Central Americans from Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala or Cubans from Florida. All Latinos, either went to the polls or massively anticipated their postal vote, given the stakes. This is demonstrated by 83% of those consulted in a survey which defined the election – almost a plebiscite – as very important. Either way, this will be settled at the indirect suffrage electoral college where 538 people will have the final say. With more “popular” votes in the 2000 and 2016 elections, Al Gore and Hillary Clinton – both Democrats – lost the elections to George W. Bush and Trump himself due to the system of indirect democracy that remains in the states. -United.

The massive participation of Hispanics and blacks in the vote was proportional to the crimes the current president has inflicted on them. His tirades were a classic of the most brutal racism, before reaching the White House and during his tenure. The immigration policy that separated entire families and the determination to end its border wall with Mexico these are just two examples of his policy. He derided the black community in every claim he made of white supremacists or when he applauded the police crackdown on the Black Lives Matter movement with its death toll of several.

A sign of the times we live in the United States is that the trigger for these mobilizations, the murder of young black George Floyd, frees his executioner.. Police officer Derek Chauvin, who strangled his knee on his neck until he suffocated him, has posted a million dollar bond – who knows where he got the money – and will wait at his home for the oral trial planned for 2021.

The black vote, and to a lesser extent that of Latin American origin, has been an electoral capital of the Democratic Party for decades. Until these elections, if you consider those between 1980 and today, Bill Clinton was the presidential candidate who had obtained the highest percentage of the Hispanic vote, 72% in 1996, by defeating Bob Dale. The Republican who achieved the highest membership in this community was George W. Bush in 2004 when he won 40% against John Kerry. It is estimated that Biden would far surpass Clinton, despite being a candidate without charisma and struggling throughout his campaign to arouse the enthusiasm of the more progressive sectors of his own party.

It is curious what situation could arise in the United States if the Latin and black vote gave the victory to Biden in a broad way and with no possible option for Trump to judicialize the result even with these limits the Democrat might be President. Most voted American in history.

In the case of the Hispanic community, certain clarifications are essential. Mexicans easily represent the highest percentage (they make up almost 60% of the register), 14% include those who come from the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico and it is only in third place that Cubans in the diaspora appear with 5 % (the figures are from the 2016 election). This explains an overestimation of the latter group, often absorbed in its dialectic of the Cold War against the socialist government of the island. Trump didn’t care. He repeated “communism,” “Cuba” and “Venezuela” ad nauseam as if they were magic words that would bring voters in key Florida state closer together.

It is also not the only one where the Latin vote will be crucial. Four years ago, Trump cast his best vote among Hispanics in North Carolina. It reached 40 percent grip. Yet of the nearly 60 million Americans in this first minority, less than half historically vote. The fact that the election takes place on a working day and that the vote is not compulsory has always attacked employees who must ask for permission to leave their jobs and exercise their citizenship rights.

The other pivotal states where the election result is unpredictable and can tip the scales one way or the other are: Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia and Texas, in addition to the aforementioned Florida and North Carolina. The electoral will of the now second-largest African-American minority suggests there will be a lesson for Trump. In 2016, the mogul managed to scrape 8% of this segment of the electorate. Hillary Clinton got 88%. This time and despite Biden, the difference could be even bigger. It happens that for the black community, with the president of the tycoon, discrimination reaches its peak. It is more than a choice between two candidates. It is the ratification of a second wave of struggles – as happened with the civil rights protests in the 1960s – against racism and all that it implies. Dozens of people murdered, beaten and imprisoned just for being black.