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Although last week was up nearly 4.5%, the surprising rise of the dollar again alerted the markets on Monday, because of the rise recorded yesterday and which closed at $ 39.90 to Banco Nación, leaving at the door $ 40.
Immediately, explanations were requested and experts pointed out external and internal factors. Look at the most important points for which the dollar has rebounded:
The dollar's rise over the past week has been two months of fixed-term rent or a letter. An incentive to close positions, after recovering part of the year's losses in October and early November, in a negative global environment for emerging markets.
The latest data from the INDEC showing a decline in economic activity have widened the window of doubts about the form of the letter that will drive the exit of the recession.
Businesses exceeded $ 1.5 billion, with an implicit rate of 60% for the month of November, which closed at $ 39.50. The Central Bank is said to have intervened to sell $ 600 million.
The export offer of recent days would have been only 130 million US dollars. Nearly a quarter of the usual volume. Next week, the place could be normalized with the start of wheat sales.
The Central Bank kept the Leliq rate at 61.24% a year almost unchanged and anticipated that it could lower it by 60% if inflation expectations dropped. The last poll will be known next week and the previous one has already shown a compression.
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