Four “very hard” weeks and three months of phase 3, the plan the Province and the City will discuss to stop the pandemic

Four “very difficult” weeks to reduce cases. Four weeks of severe restrictions, which will try to be agreed between the governments of the province of Buenos Aires and the city. This is what they conceive at the small table of the government of Buenos Aires, commanded by Daniel Gollán and his second Nicolás Kreplak. And this is also what Governor Axel Kicillof wants to ask Horacio Rodríguez Larreta. They explained it to Bugle indisputable sources of La Plata.

“The weather, we have to discuss the weather,” they expressed from the Buenos Aires health ministry. In the morning, the idea of ​​a “seven week plan” circulated. The scientific explanation is that the government of Buenos Aires considers that it takes at least four weeks to vaccinate the entire population over 60 and that from there it will take another three weeks for the last vaccinated to acquire immunity.

But, consulted by Bugle, they redoubled the bet. “Four tough weeks, not phase 3, but something stronger and more severe,” they said. And they added, emphatically: “Phase 3 is going to take at least 3 to 4 months.”

In June of last year, while phase 3 was taking place, notably in the AMBA and in the province of Chaco, It has been defined as the phase during which infections double between 15 and 25 days.

This is how it appeared in one of the slides which at the time Alberto Fernández himself spread:

“PHASE 3, GEOGRAPHICAL SEGMENTATION: there are provincial exceptions and it is segmented according to epidemiological criteria. In some areas, internal circulation is authorized but national bans are maintained. Up to 50% of the population can be mobilized and the doubling time applies while in cases between 15 and 25 days “.

The daily cases of Covid-19 in Argentina offer a scenario similar to that which occurred in August of last year. But today the curve is accelerating faster and no one can tell when it will stop. In addition, there is the factor of circulation of new, possibly more contagious and deadly strains. The encouraging data is the plateau of deaths. But the peak of more than 16,000 cases last week looked a lot like the 18,000 infections last October, record day of the pandemic in the country.

Almost the whole country has fully resumed its activity. And this Monday, we know that practically all the provinces will lift restrictions. The pandemic compartment, for experts, appears to be the same: it will grow in the AMBA and then radiate inside. It is expected, moreover, what happens with the flow of tourists that this Sunday cHe started to come back from the Easter break.

In the province, they read this: “It’s time to stop everything and vaccinate.” They read that the arrival of vaccines is systematized and they hope that the flow will not stop. “There is no time to waste: strong restrictions and vaccination, there is no other plan. We must discuss it with the City.”

To date, more than 7 million vaccines have arrived in the country. This number was reached after the arrival of a flight from Russia with nearly 500,000 doses of Sputnik V.

In addition, 5,817,845 doses have already been distributed and yesterday 909,000 doses of Sinopharm vaccine began to be transported to all provinces of the country. Still according to official data.

According to data from the Public Vaccination Monitor of the Ministry of Health, up to Sunday morning 4,234,505 doses have been applied, of which 3,550,166 correspond to the first dose and 684,339 to the second.