Government celebrates signs of Kirchner and promotes "calm plan"

A dollar that gives respite, an international context that gives rise to ghosts and opposition that begins to materialize. The publication of Cristina Kirchner's book, added to the truce shown by the markets – unlike the black day recorded a week ago – allowed the government to take action, to activate the "calm plan" and to let the polarization disappear. his work.

In government, they recognize that the scenario is still very volatile. "Everything changes day after day, week after week, let's not forget that people define the election in the last weeks of the campaign," they repeat at Balcarce 50 in a spirit of non-acceleration. At Casa Rosada, however, they began the month of May with gestures of greater tranquility. "Last week, we were all in the arc, they did not give us the hand to stop the movements of the markets, but we could reverse," said Thursday a close badociate of Mauricio Macri. The president arrived at Balcarce 50 around noon.

In Cambio, we recognize that a combination of internal and external events has brought relief to the official offices. After the fluid contacts with the IMF and the green light to the BCRA to intervene on the dollar market, the currency showed, after the holidays, a slight upward trend, although without major upheavals. This is a key variable for the Cambiemos Electoral Thermometer.

The ruling party, meanwhile, has reinforced political signals. After the closure of the debate on the "Plan V" and the possibility for Macri not to be a candidate, the photos of the campaign team at an informal dinner Monday night and the act that has was shared yesterday in Lanús, the president, María Eugenia Vidal and Horacio Rodríguez Larreta finished ordering the home front.

To emphasize, we have distributed this morning a study containing "electoral indicators" of one of the 14 officially recruited government investigators reporting Mauricio Macri's recovery in the last days of April. The Demos Consulting survey presents a hypothetical scenario of voting between Cristina Kirchner and the president: shows that between April 12 and 19, the former president had taken advantage of it, but that this trend was taking place. 39 was reversed last Friday, leaving Macri two points higher than the senator. The difference is very narrow if we take into account that the margin of error is +/- 2.8%.

Although the government has declared that it has not actively disseminated the investigation, the truth is that these figures are a counterweight to the aforementioned study on Isonomía, which provoked a cimbronazo in the markets by revealing better chances to Cristina Kirchner.

Meanwhile, at Casa Rosada, they celebrated the arrival of Kirchnerism showing little signs of moderation. "We thought it was going to be good, but Cristina turned her back on the charge, you must tell Mempo Giardinelli that we must eliminate the judiciary, they ask the retruco", badyzed this morning a manager close to Mauricio Macri.

"We have not seen the time to appear, since the launch of Cristina's book -" Sincerely "- until March in favor of Nicolás Maduro and opinions on Venezuela, all this is a profit , almost the dollar takes second place ", celebrated Thursday another collaborator of the electoral laboratory of Pro: a close official of the president recognized" that it misses only its appearance and its lighting ".

Beyond the figures provided by the polls, at Casa Rosada, the electorate is today divided into three thirds, with a huge mbad of undecided. And they bet a full on polarization. "There are many people who do not want Cristina to come back, when she will come and the time will come, the fire will only get worse," they confide to the president.

Cristina plans to perform on stage next Thursday at the Book Fair. His words could once again move the cards of political and economic advice. Macri has to stay in the delicate balance between calm plan and polarization.