Half of Irish people believe the island will be unified in 25 years and 76% fear episodes of violence

The majority of the population of Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland believe that the British province will cease to be part of the United Kingdom within 25 years, according to a poll by the British state television channel BBC .

If the London government were to hold a referendum on the reunification of the two Irishmen now, 49% of Northern Irish people would vote in favor of their union with Great Britain (England, Wales and Scotland), compared to 43% who would reject her, while 8% are undecided.

By transferring this same question to the Republic of Ireland, where its government, in this possible scenario, would also have to organize a consultation on this subject, 51% will now say “yes” to reunification and 27% will say “no”.

The BBC Spotlight television program conducted this study on the occasion of the centenary of the creation of Northern Ireland with the partition of the island into two jurisdictions, with majority Protestant-unionist in the north Yes nationalist-Catholic in the south.

The Lucid Talk firm interviewed 2,845 people in Northern Ireland between April 5 and 7 and 1,008 in the Republic of Ireland between April 6 and 9, coinciding with a wave of serious unrest in Ulster.

During the call for a referendum at 25, the survey found that only 37% of Northern Irish people think the province will stay in the UK, compared to 51% who have committed to reunification. In the Republic of Ireland, these two posts would win 26% and 54% of the vote respectively.

The question of the reunification of the two Ireland has gained momentum in recent years, especially after the Majority of Northern Irish people voted against Brexit in the 2016 referendum.

The UK’s departure from the European Union (EU) has also created a trade border between Northern Ireland, integrated into the Community Single Market, and Great Britain, which is seen as a threat to integrity territorial by the community. Protestant-Unionist of the region.

This new bureaucracy also caused problems with the supply of certain products and heightened the discomfort of the more radical sectors of Northern Irish “monarchism”, loyal to the British crown, which led to clashes with the police and the nationalist-catholic community, in favor of the reunification of Ireland.

In this direction, The investigation asked in both jurisdictions whether there is a real risk that, aside from specific episodes, violence will regularly return to the province. In Northern Ireland, 76% answered “ yes ”, while 87% in the Republic of Ireland believed that the conflict could worsen again.

(With information from EFE)

KEEP READING: