Interactive map: how many days left in each country to return to normal

The coronavirus pandemic has forced the whole world to take a close look at global development and vaccination rates. After more than a year since the first appearance of COVID-19, the emergence of various immunizers has become almost humanity’s only hope. While countries love Israel is already moving forward with its plan to reopen after a successful vaccination campaign against the coronavirus, others, especially those in the so-called third world or the developing world, have just launched their campaigns to protect health workers and people at risk.

In this critical context, the site TimeToHerd (time to herd, in English) created a interactive map that calculates the number of days remaining in each country to obtain collective immunity, usually calculated at 70%, in each country, in accordance with their current vaccination plans and rates. This is the time when it is felt that the measures that have shaken our lives over the past year may begin to loosen and return to what they were before the pandemic.

The interactive map reproduced above allows change the countries and also the percentage of vaccination to be achieved for collective immunity (There are those who think 60% is enough and others extend it to 85% of the population).

Immunity collective or herd, as it is commonly called, is the indirect protection against an infectious disease that occurs when a population is immuneeither by the effect of vaccination or by the immunity developed as a result of a previous infection. In such a case, it happens when a sufficient number of inhabitants are protected against an infection which can no longer spread, and even people who do not have immunity are indirectly protected.

Thus, by doing Click on at United StatesFor example, the map shows us that 30.31% of the population has already been vaccinated with at least one dose and that 1.02% is inoculated daily. Accordingly, it is expected that in 78 days the country has 70% of its population vaccinated with two doses and achieved herd immunity.

Germany, the main European power, had on the contrary several problems with the acquisition of the vaccine and the supply of its population. According to updated data from the Ministry of Health, the 18.5% of the population (15.4 million people) have received at least one dose of the vaccine and only 6.4% (5.3 million) already have the full regimen.

At a vaccination rate of 0.63% vaccination per day, Germany will obtain collective immunity in 184 days.

America Latina, meanwhile, It is currently the region most affected by the pandemic, because although in infections and deaths (26.5 million cases and more than 841,000 deaths), it is surpassed by Europe (46.9 million and a million), its recovery is expected to be slower. and more difficult.

Regarding vaccination, there are also internal differences between countries. With only 9% of the region’s population vaccinated, Chile ranks as a regional leader after administering the full vaccine to 22% of its population, while Brazil, the second most affected country in the world, only vaccinated with the two doses at 2.6%, according to the Pan American Health Organization.

Indeed, for Chile You have 81 days left to obtain collective immunity, whereas 33.98% of its population already has at least one dose, and 0.89% of Chileans are vaccinated daily.

A Brazil, on the other hand, they have 235 days left to reach normality, based on data from 7.7% of the population vaccinated with at least one dose and a daily vaccination rate of 0.53%.

It would take even longer Argentina, who with their current daily vaccination rate of 0.37%, collective immunity would only be obtained in 339 days.

Meanwhile, the United States and the Gavi Vaccine Alliance have launched a global campaign to raise at least $ 2 billion more to deliver 1.8 billion more doses of covid-19 vaccine to poor countries by year-end.

With the caveat that the global vaccine supply is “incredibly tight”, the Gavi alliance has set a new funding target to achieve a more equitable distribution of sera and announced that it has already reached nearly $ 400 million of its $ 2 billion target for this year.

“We have an urgent need $ 2 billion in additional pledges from donors, plus $ 1 billion from countries supported by multilateral development banksGavi CEO Seth Berkley said at a virtual conference hosted by the United States.

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