Latinos in the United States outnumber African Americans and will be the first minority in the 2020 elections

With immigration being one of the issues that most dominated the Donald Trump presidential agenda, Latinos will become the largest racial minority in the United States in the 2020 election, outpacing the population. African-American, as provided by the Pew Research Center.

The prestigious study center pointed out that the non-white population will reach the next elections and reach a third of voters for the first time (or possible voters, taking into account the fact that voting is not mandatory), which could have a significant impact on the result.

"Although demographic changes are developing slowly, It is already clear that the 2020 electorate will be unique in several ways.", badyzed the authors of the study, who pointed out that the Hispanic population has increased the most in recent years.

In 2016, voters of Latin American origin accounted for 11.9% of the electoral population, 0.6 percentage points lower than African-Americans. Black voters would maintain their share of 12.5% ​​by 2020, but Hispanics would reach 13.3% (32 million potential votes). Further back, sectors of Asian origin will account for 4.7% (about 11 million).

In turn, White Americans maintain their proportional decline and will reach the next election with 66.7% of the adult population. Two decades ago, in 2000, during the election of George W. Bush, whites had 10 percentage points more, with 76.4 percent of voters, and Latinos, only 7 percent.

The Pew recalled that the Latin American population had slanted in 2016 in favor of Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, but had avoided any projection on the next electoral scenario. Anyway, Donald Trump has maintained a strong anti-immigrant rhetoric, so the trend could be maintained.

However, that demographic changes are transferred to election results will depend on the participation of these sectors in the vote, for which they must register and, of course, pay.

The study recalled that the African-American population had a stronger tendency to be in agreement. Since 1996, the number of Latinos who did not vote (although they were able to do so) was higher than those who participated, which also represents a huge potential for the candidate who attracts these people. sectors.

In the election in which Trump defeated Clinton, white voters favored the Republican tycoon by a margin of 15 points.

From which countries do Latinos come from in the United States?

According to the 2016 national census data, in the United States, they reside more than 56 million people of Latin American origin.

Mexicans: 35,758,000
Puerto Ricans: 5,371,000
Salvadorians: 2,174,000
Cubans: 2,116,000
Dominicans: 1 866 000
Guatemalans: 1,384,000
Colombians: 1,091,000
Hondurans: 853,000
Ecuadorians: 707,000
Peruvians: 651,000
Nicaraguans: 422,000
Venezuelans: 321,000
Argentines: 274,000