Marcelo Longobardi

Tuesday, April 30, 2019

In his usual commentary, Marcelo Longobardi badyzed the latest developments in Venezuela after the announcement by Juan Guaidó of the final phase of "Operación Libertad".

In a morning devoted to the consequences of the strike and the new exchange program announced yesterday by the Central Bank, a very important problem has arisen on the international scene, as is happening in Venezuela, a country where different things happen. produce simultaneously as the participation of other countries, there is something very complex from the military point of view.

But suddenly and unexpectedly, two things happened. First, Juan Guaidó, president in charge of Venezuela, announced the final phase of "Operation Libertad". At the same time, Leopoldo López, a jailed political leader, was released by the soldiers who had captured him.

These two situations triggered a series of simultaneous events, including the stance of several governments around the world. For example, Bolivian President Evo Morales announced that he was giving up what he considered to be a coup d'etat and Cuban President Diaz Canel himself condemned this process which seems to be the referral from Maduro.

At the same time, Colombian President Iván Duque was very supportive of these events, including Luis Almargro, Secretary General of the OAS, and Argentine Foreign Minister Jorge Faurie. The Spanish government has warned against a bloodbath in Venezuela.

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There are three questions that we will see how they evolve. First, the US has not spoken, we still do not know what the US government thinks or will do about it.

Second, they know that in Venezuela there are two presidents, Nicolás Maduro and Juan Guiadó. But in addition, there are two parliaments because the parliament is controlled by the opposition and there is a parliament invented by Maduro, the constituent badembly. It will be necessary to see if there will also be two armies at the same time. We do not know with how many armies Juan Guaidó must for the moment address the third question: what will it lead to?

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I imagine that Guaidó decided to play and propose an outing to see what he's got on the road. If this attitude of directing a situation actually produces an uprising against the Venezuelan regime and if it is not the subject of a major operation, it is likely to end up in prison.

At the same time, it will be necessary to see if this triggers a civil war. In other words, how resistant would President Maduro be with what story. One can imagine a very complex situation with a question about the United States, with a question about the problem of the army and with a question of whether Guaidó actually enjoys significant popular support for undertaking what? 39, he called the operation "Freedom Operation".

This might interest you: Decisive hours in Venezuela: "With the operation Libertad Guaidó, it is triumphant or vanquished"