Martín Vizcarra is reinforced by the fight with the …

From Lima

Emboldened after being regrouped, allies winners of the most conservative right and have regained strength, the Fujimori has tried everything and lost. Their objective was to take over the Constitutional Court (CT) – a key element of the anti-corruption processes that overwhelm them – by choosing with their magistrates a parliamentary majority of their own. The government reacted by presenting Congress with a vote of confidence conditioned to end this questioning election. But Fujimori and his allies did not stop and the result before this de facto refusal of this vote of confidence was the constitutional closure of the Congress that they dominated. Fujimori had put the rifle in his temple.

Pride, uncontrollable authoritarianism, overvaluation of the rival's own strengths and underestimation, fear for the progress of the anti-corruption causes that harass them and desperation to urgently control the strategy of TC-Keiko Fujimori is in pre-trial detention, accused of money laundering and freedom It depends on an appeal to the TC, which could also establish key laws for corruption procedures – they are behind what was a political suicide in front of the whole country.

In the streets, the people went to celebrate the closing of a congress called to protect corruption. A study by the Peruvian Institute of Studies published today reveals that 84% of those polled favor the constitutional dissolution of Congress, compared to only 8%. The popularity of President Martín Vizcarra climbed to 75% after the closure of the discredited Parliament and the call for parliamentary elections in January. A month ago, it was 40% and it was down.

"In this political conflict, President Vizcarra, who holds the power, has clearly won. The already dissolved Congress has no power capacity. Fujimori is defeated, "he said Page I12 sociologist and political scientist Alberto Adrianzén, newspaper columnist The Republic.

President Vizcarra comes out victorious in his political war with Fujimori, but his government has to answer questions about his management skills, unsatisfied demands and social conflicts, and his current popularity is more related to Fujimori's rejection of Fujimori's faced this with support for the management of his government. In this sense, it is a fragile popularity.

"Vizcarra is strengthened," says Adrianzén, "but he will no longer have the Congress to deal with it and will therefore earn points as he did.Now they will demand that you solve the country's problems. I see a Vizcarra with serious limitations to govern The new ministerial cabinet (named a few days ago) is mediocre, without political weight. "

On the other hand, the heirs of the former dictator Alberto Fujimori (1990 – 2000) were isolated, more alone than ever. With the authoritarian, obstructionist, overtly revanchist leadership of the government that defeated them very little in the elections and grossly concealing corruption, theirs and that of their allies, which had its parliamentary majority and a fair amount of mediocrity, Fujimori quickly squandered the popular support that would bring Keiko Fujimori to the presidency in 20016. He turned this support into a rejection that borders on the 90%.

"Fujimori's performance over these years is a catechism of what must never be done. In reaction to the closing of Congress, he continued to make mistakes, he failed. Holding Congress makes them look bad in front of people. When you hear them say that Vizcarra is a communist, a chavist, it seems like we were in the asylum, "says Adrianzén. "Fujimorism – he adds – is very much beaten, but I do not think he's dead as he says. Admittedly, he will not have the high vote that he had before, but throwing Keiko to Congress, he may show up because, although he is in remand, he is not condemned. By posing as the victim, the vote could be more important than expected. "

President Vizcarra will govern by decree, with all the power and the risks that this implies, until the establishment of the new Congress to be elected on January 26th. These legislative elections will take place in the wake of the discredit of the political class and the fragmentation and weakness of the parties. The election of new parliamentarians for only a year and a half, in order to complete the mandate of the dissolved Congress, can delete the most important figures.

"You must see what Congress is getting from this election, in which anything can happen. The left is divided and I do not think they'll join. It is very likely that the right will prevail, "says Adrianzén.

This serious political crisis is deeper than a confrontation between the executive and the majority of Congress dissolved, two expressions of economic neoliberalism, one liberal, the other authoritarian and deeply conservative. It is a crisis of legitimacy of the political class and the model imposed by the Fujimorist Constitution of 1992, which elevates neoliberalism to constitutional rank.

"It's a crisis – says Adrianzén – that reveals that a new constitution is needed, new rules of politics, of the economy. But that does not happen with this crisis exit. The best solution was to convene a constituent assembly with legislative powers instead of convening a new convention, as has been done. The solution will not solve the country's structural problems. The laws that most favored businessmen were passed by Congress with the approval of the executive. This policy favorable to entrepreneurs will not change. "

Adrianzén ends his analysis with a warning: "The closure of the Congress is pleasing people, but the future is very uncertain."