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The left candidate Pedro Castillo retains a slight advantage, between 2 and 3 percentage points, on the right Keiko Fujimori, in view of the second round of the Peruvian presidential election on June 6, according to a study by the private company Datum.
According to the book, published this Friday, Castillo receives in a ballot 42% of the intention to vote against 40% of Fujimori, while in a “mock vote” (a simulation of the secret ballot with amphora and ballot paper) he obtains 44% against 41% of his rival.
If in this simulation the blank and null votes were removed, as will happen in the official tally, Castillo would receive 52% of the vote and Fujimori 48%.
The electoral situation
In the survey, which was conducted among 1,201 people nationwide between May 12 and 13, 7% of citizens said they had not yet decided on their vote, while 11% said stated that they would do it blank or imperfect.
In the simulation, which specialists stress that it is “more precise” by granting anonymity to the respondent and by allowing the expression of the “hidden vote”, 7% won their vote and 8% did so in blank .
In view of the second round, 72% of those polled say they have already decided on their vote, 18% that they “are still thinking about it”, 8% that they “have not thought about it” and 2% that they “do not. do not know”.
Support for men and women
In contrast, Castillo receives its largest electoral flow, 45%, from men, with 49% of its total voters between the ages of 45 and 54, while 41% of support for Fujimori comes from women, with 46% of their grand total. between 18 and 24 years old.
Inquiring about the “attributes” that are associated with applicants, 47% felt that Castillo, who is a rural schoolteacher, “will improve public education,” while 43% say Fujimori “will respect the freedom of education more. expression”.
In addition, 45% said that the Peru Free party candidate “will reduce” crime and corruption, 39% that he “will respect the rights of the people” and 35% that he “will reduce poverty”.
In the case of the Force populaire party candidate, 41% of her voters said “she will cope better with the pandemic”, 40% that she “will promote entrepreneurship” and “generate more jobs ”, 39% that it will summon other binding policies and 37% that“ will respect the institutionality ”in the country.
The situation by region
The poll also indicated that Fujimori managed to take the first place of preferences in the north of the country, with 46% against 38% of his rival, while keeping the bulk of his voters in Lima, where he receives 50% of the votes. preferences. against 31%.
Castillo, for his part, maintains 62% support in southern Peru, 61% in the center and 39% in the jungle, although in this region Fujimori has risen to 37%.
The greatest number of voters for the candidate is found in the sectors with the least economic resources, with 51% in the “E” (very poor) and 44% in the “D” (poor), while Keiko has received 66% acceptance in sector “A / B” (upper and upper middle class) and 43% in sector “C” (middle class).
Castillo and Fujimori will run for President of Peru for the period 2021-2026 after having occupied first and second place respectively in the general elections of April 11, in elections to which approximately 25.4 million Peruvians are called.
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