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Raquel Pozzi
International Policy Analyst and History Professor.
When the country of the Saudi dynasty miscalculated the prognosis to be considered victorious before going to war with Yemen in March 2015, against the Houthi rebels, with the conviction of facing a small and weak state, writer John G. Stoessinger (Acting Director, United Nations Political Affairs Division).
In his book "Because the nations go to war," he states that "there is a constant prospect for all leaders when they go to war: everyone expects victory." after a brief and triumphant campaign ". Crown Prince Mohamed bin Salman Al Saud understood then what was happening when he believed in a quick and deadly war to defeat the Houthi rebels in Yemen.
Knowing that detention by Iran could be a major impediment to the goal of Salman's son, Ben Abdulaziz, leader of Saudi Arabia and head of the Saudi house, he formed a coalition of several countries that prevented any reflection on failure. The two Egypt; The bucket; Jordan; Kuwait; Bahrain; Qatar added to the United States and the United States that the "Final Storm" operation was only one procedure.
The logistical support of US armaments and the recruitment of mercenaries from Sudan and other poor African states armed with AK-47 and M-16 Kalbadhnikov war killers of 5.56 caliber have baduredly guaranteed that Arabia Saudi Arabia would crush the rebels in Yemen. But neither the coalition, nor the financing, nor the entry of mercenaries was enough for the only state named dynasty to ensure the success of the operation, even adding other Saudi maneuvers such as the naval blockade. who totally isolated the area. Yemeni population.
The perfect excuse was to neutralize the "Houthi terrorists", regardless of the humanitarian catastrophe that would have led to Yemen, small and large state both for its geostrategic position in the Arabian peninsula. When a war is launched to "fumble" with the arrogance of absolute power, remember the history of the civil war in North Yemen between 1962 and 1970, even if, by strategy, it would have reminded Saudis that the country had a history of combat fighters.
At the time of Gamal, Abdel Nbader (Egyptian president), who led the struggle in the Persian Gulf in the 60s in favor of American Republicans, had the worst mistake of sending a large contingent of troops to Yemen an error that would lead to a start at the fatal defeat of the six-day war against Israel and the books on the worst strategic mistakes of the Third World leader.
The current North American president, Donald Trump, seems to be moving in this direction with his chess movements in the Persian Gulf, of course … No major war has occurred on his territory, which deprives of empathy vis-à-vis other states that live from continual wars.
"Kiss the hand you can not cut"
Count Alexandre de Marenches, French officer and special adviser to the United States under Ronald Reagan's presidency, in his glossary of the book "Secrets of State" paraphrased the above-mentioned subtitle, considering that the question in the East had to do with "Do not underestimate the enemy, however small, because this combat asymmetry can reveal the weaknesses of the greatest."
Trump has moved solid pieces over the sea, sending the carriers to the USS Lincoln, the B-52 bombers and the USS Arlington ship equipped with Patriot anti-aircraft systems, which are in Qatar and which are the Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, believes that "no one should fear the apparent greatness of the United States, nor its deployment in the Persian Gulf, because its true power is much smaller" and that it is only a "war of will".
Trump demonstrates his military fiber but hints that there is some fear towards the Islamic Republic of Iran and that it is not just the Strait of Hormuz. Iran is economically drowned under the sanctions imposed by the United States after the departure of the Nuclear Plan (CISP), the figures of the Persian economy foreshadow a wind of war in the Iranian domestic policy: the GDP predicts a fall of 6% in 2019, Inflation higher than 40% and its currency devalued to 30%, a discouraging panorama not only for Iran but also for its European partners in Brussels-Berlin-London and Paris.
The fear of the United States is shared with the Republic of Israel and with the Saudis, strengthening the Shia Muslim branch in the region activating alerts now resounding in the Republic of Iraq.
"The biggest is the smallest thing"
The US oil giant Exxon Mobil in the Republic of Iraq evacuated all its foreign personnel from the West Quma 1 field to Basra, citing security concerns. Knowing that a conventional direct confrontation with Iran would be a catastrophe, Trump recalls earlier patterns through the "construction of an enemy" by repeating the story again in Iraq.
Everything seems to indicate that Saudi Arabs – with a Sunni Muslim majority – beyond historical hatreds, are extremely worried about the Iranian allies – with a Shia majority – in Iraq, Lebanon and Syria. The mere mention of the head of the anti-American Shiite militia Kata 'Ib Hezbollah (KH) in Iraq has turned into a widespread fear, not only for Trump, but also for states in the region who see it. Expansion of Shiism as a regional threat.
It is true that the Shiite militia and its leader Gamal Ibrahimi are on the list of alleged perpetrators of attacks on the US and French embbadies in Kuwait (1983), the persecution and the systematic execution of Sunni civilians. as well as logistical support. in Basar Al Assad in Syria. This identity encourages anti-Iranian positions in the world. But if it is a question of broadcasting, the Saudis have carried out a propaganda of victimization by revealing the drone attack of the oil infrastructures by the Houthi rebels of Yemen, the news being more globalized because it was functional for the world imagination. on the impending war between the United States and the United States. Iran
Perfect scenario for sensationalism, Noemi Klein's shock strategy is a truly disciplinary and paralyzing technique that annihilates any reasoning attempt, acting as a true neoliberal political policy according to the Korean philosopher Byung-Chul Han.
As long as we consider that war is necessary to neutralize the enemy, we refuse other wars that have already destroyed created enemies.I refer exclusively to the war waged in Yemen against the Houthis, which generated one of the forgotten and forgotten modern genocides.
The creation of the catastrophic title "Persian Gulf on the Path of Disaster" is a negative violence, which is perhaps only so that we consider that the systematic killing of Yemenis by Arab bombs is more important than the destruction of Saudi pipelines by Ottoman drones. "The biggest is the smallest thing," Víctor Hugo.
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