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"Iran has given us a 60-day delay:" We're going to break a deal, we're going to provoke a bit, let's see what happens. "They told Europe that if they did not put their beards in the water, they could not get their American allies to change their position, in this case," we feel free " . Something very important happened, announced the chronicle of a rape", explained the diplomat in an interview with Infobae.
A year after the announcement by Donald Trump to withdraw the United States from the nuclear pact signed in 2015, the Persian regime, heavily affected by Washington's sanctions, calls for the lifting of restrictions on transactions with the Iranian banking system and The sale of oil The White House quickly condemned this announcement and Russia and China defended their ally, seeking to keep alive the international pact.
"If Iran withdraws from the agreement, the European Union has no choice but to reimpose the sanctions. It is very likely that Europe will not feel more tied to it", considered Grossi.
The ambbadador, former deputy director of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), was not optimistic about the possibility of reaching an agreement within the proposed two months. "I do not believe that Europe is acting under pressure, it is a strong commitment of Iran.It calls Europeans to help reverse the US decision, which is impossible. It's like the dog biting his tail, a very difficult escape situation ". The countries of the Old Continent, subject to possible secondary sanctions if they negotiate with Tehran, have little room for maneuver.
The next steps
From New York, where he is attending a preparatory meeting of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference to be chaired next year, Grossi said the news had become a central part of the talks. "This changes the angle of badysis. What was being badyzed is a relative status quo: Iran protested, denounced. "It is now expected a violation of the agreement, a scenario that will generate new tensions.
He explained that if the inspectors found a violation of the terms of the agreement, the IAEA Board of Governors would adopt a resolution calling on Iran to respect the agreement and to ensure compliance with the agreement. inform the United Nations Security Council. "Here, a complex situation will be presented because the Security Council is in a different situation than in 2015, while there was a unit in the P5 (United States, Russia, China, France and United Kingdom, signatories of the agreement). Now it's P4"Currently, the tensions between the powers are much greater than those of five years ago.
The war potential of Iran
After the announcement of Hbadan Rohani, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned that he would not let Iran become a nuclear power. In this regard, Grossi pointed out that the implementation of the agreement had reduced the potential weapons of Tehran.
Iran has had a definite delay. We have to go back to July 2015, where there were 18,000 tonnes of enriched uranium. Now it has only five thousand centrifuges, it has no plutonium Arak reactor. From this point of view, It's very decimated.
If the regime seeks to restore its capabilities at this level, it would need a speed of enrichment that would mean "a complete breach of all IAEA agreements". it would be a major international crisis. There will be conversations at the highest level to see how to contain the problem. "
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