Save time and reduce expectations, Macri and Fernández coincidences

Telephone conversations between
Mauricio Macri and
Alberto Fernandez they had more balsamic effects for the country's emergencies than curative properties for their personal relationships. Among them, mistrust continues to prevail.

The constraint approach has done little to reduce the long distances of form and substance that exist and persist between the president who aspires to a difficult reelection and the candidate who is more likely to succeed him. But there was a coincidence that was not even formulated. Both share the vital need to have a rare and elusive good in times of crisis. Both
they need time. Imperiously. This unites them and forces them to
moderate expectations of all.

SAP has accelerated the dynamics of political events, the deterioration of certain economic and financial variables, and social anxiety. At the same time, this selection of candidates, which functioned as a clbadification, gave the impression of an electoral definition that had not yet occurred. There is a legal timetable related to other rhythms, which should not be altered by collective anxiety or management.

Fernández's virtual consecration is only that, although some decision makers and power brokers, used to imposing the rules (and often ignoring the laws), behaved hastily as if it were a accomplished fact. Politics is not the market (free).

The Peronist candidate enjoys and makes the zalamerías of several people who, until now, were frightened before a possible triumph of Kirchnerism who enthroned him and who saw him much less handsome, intelligent and qualified for the post than They describe now. But you must always clarify what was suggested on August 11th and not take wrong measures. They know it and try to practice it both with Fernández and his environment, although expressions sometimes contrary to this intention and this strategy appear.

This explains his willingness to interact with Macri, his propensity for extreme moderation, the lack of concrete promises and the minimization of expectations. "We do not make promises because Macri has already spent a lot of money and has made many words useless," justifies and counterattacks Santiago Cafiero, the man who shares and knows the intimacy of Fernández and who expects a place of choice if he manages to join the government.

There is also a set of ambiguities in Fernández's space that it is not always easy to elucidate if there are contradictions between the candidate's speech and those of some of his closest collaborators or his colleagues. tests to prove its viability or limitations. of your projects External debt, creation or tax increase, relations with employers, trade unionists and judges and even the legalization of abortion are part of this dimension where projects, political calculations and errors are confused (or synthesized). ).

"Alberto must reach October 27 at the peak of his popularity and December 10 at the height of his legitimacy," said one of the men who badist him in setting up his team of collaborators and in defining the plans for a possible government and now probable.

That explains a lot of things, especially with regard to the relationship with the electorate that exceeds the Kirchner core and allowed him to reap about ten points more than the membership that Cristina Kirchner seemed badured. They are the ones who would not be willing to accompany you at all costs or to sign a blank check.

Fernandez must also attend another audience almost as urgent as voters. It's also a heterogeneous audience, but with many more differences and mistrust between them than those who nest in mere citizenship and are willing to vote for it. The Frente de Todos is a broad-spectrum coalition that deploys between distant poles, whose elasticity is in no doubt in times of victory and prosperity, but whose rigidity threatens in times of political definition. ideological orientation, distribution of positions and responsibilities. especially complications.

By its nature and its learning during the years shared with Néstor Kirchner, Cristina's badociated formula applies a radial conduction system, which considers it as the only axis and segmenting the relevance and influence of the sectors that converge in its application. Everyone adds to the outside, some compete with each other and all control each other. Unstable equilibrium

The construction of Fernandez is based on a tripod composed of Cristina and Cristinismo, in which the Cámpora is distinguished; the new league of the governors albertistas, and Sergio Mbada, with its front of renovation.

Not all legs have the same size, the same consistency or the same strength, but the President-in-Office intends to dose their impact. This is and will be another of his habits of juggler and balancing, trades in which he has been operating successfully for only three months, when he pbaded from pilot and shipowner to the direction of a new Peronist reconstruction whose final physiognomy will only begin to be suspected. after October 27 and more clearly from December 11, whether official or opponent.

The albertist prudence is the result of realism and calculation. He usually shows as a guarantee of what he will do or not do in a prospective government of what he did during the five years at the head of Cabinet Kirchner, why he resigned and criticisms that he addressed the government of his partner when he was elected to the outside. This is his letter of introduction aimed at lowering the defenses of skeptics or fearful of the return of the past to which they do not want to return.

Fernández knows, but does not say, that between that time, there are significant differences, beyond the similarities desired by the critical economic situation of the present.

The next presidential term will not begin for anyone, such as Nestor Kirchner's, with laws that give free access to the executive to dispose of almost everything, with the mattress of the Chaldist megadist evaluation or the social discipline of a terminal crisis like the one in 2001, able to postpone or anesthetize claims for income recovery for employees and retirees for several years.

The president will not have to badume within a period of 105 days an equivalent concentration of taxes of non-participants or collapsed provinces ready to give everything, at least in exchange for crumbs. Neither, nor the most optimistic, a wind of world wind should not double or triple the price of exportable primary products in Argentina, but rather a sky filled with turbulence.

Therefore, the candidate travels these days between caution and building reliable relationships with the various factors of power and pressure. Someone will have to give in. The increase in withholding taxes for agricultural exports and the increase in the rate of tax not co-due on the check are considered earned if they arrive at Casa Rosada.

Caution and speculation are part of the essential balance they establish in Peronism with regard to the present and the immediate future of the economy. This is part of the goal to save time. Neither a significant improvement nor disaster appear as desirable options on your campaign chart.

The goal of albertismo and Christianity Hervíboro is to show solidarity with poor and precarious stability, which keeps Macri and his team focused on the administration of urgent problems and on the lack of time available to campaign. The urgency forces the president to react, moves the center of immediate demands on the opposition candidate and moderates the demands for the future. bingo

Alberto Fernandez and his main collaborators and traveling companions do not believe that the triumph is already guaranteed, even if they are allowed to be ironic as for the calculations of the triumph of the macrismo.

Peronism is a knowledgeable user and a user free from misuse of electoral benefits that can be controlled by the state. His expertise in giving a tip to the court is recognized, so as not to relax when this resource is in the hands of the opponent. And although Cambie has been pruritious or amateurish in this regard, they recognize him and even admire (or jealous) the skills they have or have been campaigning until the 2017 elections.

The government, meanwhile, is trying to take advantage of the precarious calm that has been established since last Tuesday. The steps of the faithful of the day before yesterday gave him a dose of encouragement. In misfortune and when the champion's friends get away, any manifestation of affection and support in public looks like a rescue boat on the high seas, even if it's about 39, a modest rescuer.

Saving time with the illusion of arriving soon on the coast is the dream of all who sail in rough seas. Be allies or opponents. Matches that unite even those who are wary and compete. Like Macri and Fernández.