The 5 data in which the markets will be attentive



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Little by little, the optimism created by a fast trade agreement between the United States and China is dying out. And as a result, global markets are expecting more days of high volatility. At the local level, the most awaited data is the announcement from MSCI, which would confirm that Argentina is again seen as an emerging market.

  • Concern over the delayed trade agreement between China and the United States

Another week in which we will wonder whether the United States and China will close the long-awaited trade agreement or not. The division seems to be deep and the trust between them continues to be diluted.

The president of Verborrágico, Donald Trump, has returned to the load on the weekend on Twitter to tell him that in China he is doing a treatment now, otherwise the conditions will be more difficult after his victory in the reelection in 2020.

China dreams that Sleepy Joe Biden, or one of the others, will be elected in 2020. They love to scam America!

– Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump)
May 12, 2019

Last week, the US president also convened the markets by warning China against further tariff increases of 10 to 25%, which would jeopardize the growth of the global economy.

The Trump government has announced the imposition of additional customs duties on Chinese import products worth about 200,000 million US dollars.

Trump also ordered the process to impose tariffs on the rest of China's imports, which totaled US $ 540 billion in 2018, which would imply additional tariffs of just over $ 300,000,000. US dollars.

The measure means that all Chinese products will be subject to additional tariffs, the justification being that China violates intellectual property rights. Trump intends to use the tariff threat to force China to accept US requirements, including the signing of legally binding agreements.


In a message posted on his Twitter account, Trump explained that consumers can avoid the effect of customs duties if they buy products from countries not affected by them.
"Many affected companies are leaving China for Vietnam or other Asian countries. That's why China is eager to reach an agreement, "he said.

  • They expect volatility to dominate the markets

Trump's weekend tweets' extra fight brings traders to anticipate new wave of volatility in global marketsas investors flee higher-risk stocks for the safety of the dollar, gold, treasury bills and the yen.

After some bags, such as the Spanish and Shanghai Asian, closed the worst week of the year and a weekend without words that denotes an approximation between the United States. and China, the pressure will be on the agenda.

For international badysts, global stock markets are entering a "stabilization lateral stage" affected by some "altitude sickness".

  • Argentina becomes an emerging market again

MSCI will confirm today that Argentina will be included in its Emerging Markets Index as expected, despite market volatility in recent months. In summary, Argentina is now considered an emerging market.

Argentine companies that will be part of the index will also be announced. It is estimated that Argentina's participation in the index will be 0.3%.

In deciding which shares will be the same share, the market capitalization of each share, which is updated daily, is taken into account. According to the latest calculations, the roles of Grupo Financiero Galicia, YPF, Telecom, Banco Macro, BBVA Frances, Pampa Energia, Transportadora de Gas del Sur, Globant and Central Puerto, are the roles of the company. 39, provisional index of MSCI.

In April, the MSCI acknowledged receiving requests from institutional investors regarding the reclbadification of Argentina from the Border Markets Index to the Emerging Markets Index.

"As announced on June 20, 2018, in case the Argentine authorities introduce restrictions on the accessibility of markets, such as capital or currency controls, MSCI will reconsider its planned redeployment decision," the statement said.

The first polls published in the United Kingdom following the European elections blocked unions and conservatives. The probes show how Nigel Farage's Brexit Party adds more support than the forces of Jeremy Corbyn and Theresa May. The match "torie" is the one that deteriorates the most, since it falls to the fifth position on the intention to vote in the elections of May 23 in the United Kingdom.

The first polls for these elections, published in "The Times" or "The Observer", they give 34% of the votes to Farage formation, against 10/11% with which the conservatives would be trained and 16/22% of the work. Conservative party collapse increases pressure on Premier Theresa May to set departure date. In addition, they regret what they see as a tactical mistake in May to allow the holding of elections that drag the party into an unprecedented electoral disaster.

Nigel Farage's party was released just over three weeks ago, a short period in which he managed to get more than a third of voters, especially the Conservative party.

Analysts explain the realignment of British policy because of Corbyn and May's inability to define their position before Brexit. Polls also reveal that, in the case of general elections, 40% of supporters of the European Union exit would vote for the former leader of the ukip party.

Wall Street last week added a new member on the trading screens: Uber Technologies, and faces today its second day with new doubts among badysts about its valuation after the fiasco of its introduction in stock Exchange.

During the pre-opening, when you set indicative prices for your session price, Uber shares go down by 4% to $ 39.7. Is part of a lower price of 7.6% to his opv, after closing Friday at $ 41.57 (37.02 euros), against $ 45 (40.07 euros) with which he was created his arrived on the New York Stock Exchange.

This is occurring in the midst of a situation complicated by the increased tensions around the trade war that, according to experts, are harming their business by affecting consumer confidence and economic prospects.

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