The British Parliament voted against any Brexit without agreement with the EU – 13/03/2019

The British Parliament has regained control of Brexit. In 30 minutes, he inflicted two strong defeats on the Conservative government and opened the door for postponement of a new negotiation with the European Union. British MPs voted against a break without agreement with the EU and the slamming that followed. For only 4 votes, the no.

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For 312 against 308 voted for the rejection of an exit without agreement with the European Union "under any circumstances", the first of the amendments of the day. After the second defeat of his Brexit plan, the Prime Minister Theresa May had announced on March 29 a motion rejecting a no agreement and rewriting its policy, which refused to exclude the no agreement so as not to irritate the Brexiters. But the deputies destroyed their careful wording and voted for 312 against 308 any possibility of leaving without agreement.

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In the middle of the vote, with chaotic scenes and four ministers who had abstained, the voiceless prime minister stood up to warn – in a provocative statement – that an "agreement on Brexit without refusal can only be avoided if an agreement is reached or the Brexit is canceled. "

The amendment against a no-pact exit formulated by Conservative MP Caroline Spelman wanted to be withdrawn by the government but forced by Ivette Cooper, the Labor party that had also signed it. The other defeat of May was 374 votes to 164. The government wanted to extend Article 50 until May 22, one day before the European elections, and propose a transition phase without support in Ireland North. The imbroglio is such that 4 ministers abstained in the government amendment. Now, May threatens to expel or resign. Others think that she will have to resign. She lost control of power.

Without voice, exhausted, she again warned in the middle of the vote: "We can organize a second referendum, but the risk is that we do not have a Brexit." And he continued with his speech of fear: "We will leave without agreement if something is not agreed".

May announced Thursday that he would propose "a brief technical motion and a limited extension of Article 50", if an agreement could be found by the end of March. "A longer extension would require our participation in the European elections, and I do not think that's the right thing to do," he said. Labor opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn said the Prime Minister's strategy "is on the ground". "We need to find a consensus to move forward, I'm going to meet with members in the House to try to find a compromise, and extending section 50 without a clear goal is not a solution," said the Labor Party.

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But this extension will be voted Thursday in Parliament, in another psychodrama already considered a constitutional crisis. Michel Barnier, European negotiator of Brexit, has clearly warned: without agreement, no postponement.

It will be another day of chaos and confusion in the House of Commons, in a kingdom that has lost its north. A second referendum is closer than before in Britain.

After Parliament rejects May's Brexit agreement, lawmakers will dictate the next move. May warned of the "potential harm to the Union that not agreeing can produce" but issued the essential policies to put it in its place "if it succeeded.

Thursday's vote will require an extension of the Article 50 process. The EU application deadline will depend on UK lawmakers. The government can propose a timetable but it can be modified by the members. If this extension is approved, the necessary legislation must be provided to change the departure date of March 29th.

But this vote and this decision of the British will not necessarily be approved by the EU. It should be supported by 27 European representatives in Brussels next week. The head of the European Commission, Jean Claude Juncker, warned that if it exceeds the month of May, Britain should participate in the European elections. A possibility that does not excite them, but does not interest France or Germany either. Britain has been warned that some European governments are inclined to a "clearcut" on March 29, without agreement.

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But this possibility is of no interest to the European authorities: it is very likely that they will impose an ultimatum on British legislators: It is very likely that they will impose an ultimatum on British legislators: a new agreement, a call for a new referendum or find an alternative before March 29th or there will be no extension.

In the midst of this chaos, can Prime Minister May survive? Normally never. But these are exceptional moments. Some conservative candidates even have their printed slogans to replace him. But except for resignation, a vote of confidence has so far been weighed carefully, but not cast. General elections could be imminent in Britain.